Tag Archives: textbook

Getting close to finishing the first draft of… “Fat Tails and Asymmetries”

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Getting close to finishing the first draft of the book. Changed the title to “Fat Tails and Asymmetries”. Wrote a preamble.And the central message:” It is better to take risks you understand than to try to understand risks you are taking.” http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FatTails.html

Questions: There are two options, 1 academic publisher , 2 staying at Random House & Penguin. The MS will remain free on the web in both situations. The academic route requires academic reviewers, etc., much less the other. Any pros and cons of either?

Thanks for comments.

via Getting close to finishing the first draft of… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

One more attempt with the title of the technical version.

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One more attempt with the title of the technical version.

Looks like:

*Elements of Risk Engineering: Probability and Decision in the Real World*

is more descriptive of the effort. I wanted Engineering in the title to stress the necessity of an anti-intellectual, nobullshit approach to risk.

I rewrote the introduction to cristallize the approach.

textbook.pdf – Google Drive

via One more attempt with the title of the… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Facebook.

Friends, 1 Changed the name of the technical book to: FAT TAILS AND ANTIFRAGILITY…

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Friends, 1) Changed the name of the technical book to:FAT TAILS AND ANTIFRAGILITY: Lectures on Probability, Risk, and Decisions in the Real World, which should be a completely parallel piece of work, standalone. 2) Completed the main technical points of The Black Swan, and showed IN MATHEMATICAL TERMS the limits of current probability theory and the bullshit by social scientists misusing the math of probability. 3) Realizing that there is nothing more soothing than math in airports, hotel rooms, and train stations. Somehow, psychologically, if you put the argument in precise mathematical form, you feel it is there and you don’t need to make extra effort to convey it to others and avert misinterpretation: truth is robust, particularly when put in non-ambiguous form.

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B_31K_MP92hURjZxTkxUTFZnMVk/edit?pli=1
textbook.pdf – Google Drive
docs.google.com

via Friends, 1 Changed….

Friends, the first 57 pages of my linear textbook-style treatise are online…

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Friends, the first 57 pages of my linear textbook-style treatise are online. I am still in the pre-antifragility phase. Risk management is the only area in which “practical” and “no BS” are central. Comments are welcome.

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B_31K_MP92hURjZxTkxUTFZnMVk/edit

via Friends, the first… | Facebook.