Papers/articles by NNT linked to in this tweet batch.
Where You Cannot Generalize from Knowledge of Parts (continuation of the Minority Rule)Stochastic Tail Exponent For Asymmetric Power Laws (pdf)
MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE PREC PPLE (pdf)
PRE-ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIOR AND FAT TAILEDNESS (pdf)
@nntaleb .@Nvania You are welcome to go follow and lecture someone else. There are a lot of journos on twitter. Permalink 3:27 PM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Coordinator for the defamation of Seralini, Henry I Miller,in charge of smearing me.4 articles. F**you money workshttps://twitter.com/madgeaustralia/status/774889523603845120 Permalink 2:42 PM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb The right way to look at probability: how many 70 yo people w/heat strokes in % in East Coast today?https://twitter.com/pauld1981/status/775080526528978945 Permalink 2:19 PM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb 2/ The other piece of evidence is that the bodyguards who caught Hillary Monsanto-AlSaud did not deadlift, or if they did, < 180 combined. Permalink 2:17 PM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb The 3-5 daily prayers are Semitic: Judaism, Islam & early Christianity. Sa7ar both Hebrew 7 Arabic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_prayer @vyoman @trscbrs Permalink 2:10 PM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb This additional “nonhealth event” for Hillary Monsanto-Malmaison makes the probability that “nothing is wrong” less than 1/10,000. Finito. Permalink 2:06 PM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Thank you, Saudi Barbaria.https://twitter.com/HaraldDoornbos/status/774876068306092032 Permalink 3:27 AM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb “Empirical” analyses = naive interpolation, Pinker-style, exactly what is not empirical.https://twitter.com/DrCirillo/status/774912361954209793 Permalink 3:24 AM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Just published “Where You Cannot Generalize from Knowledge of Parts (continuation of the Minority Rule)”https://medium.com/@nntaleb/where-you-cannot-generalize-from-knowledge-of-parts-continuation-to-the-minority-rule-ce96ca3c5739#.x8w2t93wk Permalink 2:52 AM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Cialdini put me off w “scientific” abt psychology results to dress up #marketing. Psych not solid. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.07532.pdf @ScottAdamsSays Permalink 1:45 AM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Lebanon: Discrimination against veils (later denied which in Lebanese means “confirmed”).pic.twitter.com/b8rLtTYvio Permalink 1:33 AM – 11 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Serendipitous Theology du Jour: the Zoroastrians had 101 names for Ahura Mazda, the Arabs 99 names of God. Similar. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/101_Names_of_God Permalink 3:48 PM – 10 Sep 2016
@nntaleb We have to do something about Saudi Barbaria.https://twitter.com/hkx07/status/774735492415823872 Permalink 3:26 PM – 10 Sep 2016
@zerohedge The War Economy: CNN’s Wolf Blitzer Warns About Job Loss If US Stops Arming Saudi Arabiahttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-09-09/war-economy-cnns-wolf-blitzer-warns-about-job-loss-if-us-stops-arming-saudi-arabia Permalink 5:01 PM – 9 Sep 2016
@leenur @nntaleb come to visit #Kazan. Our Islam allows churches next to mosques.pic.twitter.com/op7jXwIaB1 Permalink 1:27 PM – 9 Sep 2016
@nntaleb This article explains AntiFragility & problem of Syria http://www.michigansthumb.com/news/article/Defeating-terrorism-through-design-Think-souks-9211921.php @gjbejjani @EHSANI22 Permalink 6:22 AM – 9 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Twitter, Did the agreement to streamline Russian visas for US citizens get stalled? Permalink 5:38 AM – 9 Sep 2016
@nntaleb On my way to Leiden (via Leb) to present 3 papers on tails at @DrCirillo ‘s conference on extremes. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1609.02369.pdf Permalink 6:58 PM – 8 Sep 2016
@nntaleb IYI (Intellectual Yet Idiots) treat rest of population as idiots needing their supervision, upset when revealed as idiots! @swensn @PTetlock Permalink 10:31 AM – 7 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Levantine du jour: duplication, marriage, husb JawZe (from Aramaic) not Zawje (Arabic) from ‘Gawz =nut, duplication.pic.twitter.com/35ATW63srg Permalink 6:38 AM – 7 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Easy to understand the Putin-Erdogan connection when one is 1) Orthodox, 2) have Ottoman citizens ancestors (incl grandparents) for 439 y. Permalink 5:53 PM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Up until around Lepanto the Ottoman Empire was a weak continuation of the Byzantine/Eastern Roman Empire. Agree?https://twitter.com/peterfrankopan/status/773290424765124609 Permalink 5:25 PM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb You ned to realize that municipal decentralization is compatible with centralized military: Switzerland, USA,Roman/Ottoman Empires@EHSANI22 Permalink 3:42 PM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Should I follow instructions (oranges) or treat it as some legal disclaimer?pic.twitter.com/b67jVvig6Y Permalink 1:59 PM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Thanks, made the statement more precise: Infinity Shminfinity @canpeyanpic.twitter.com/Fl5Hgf5Hty Permalink 11:17 AM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb While I gladly take corrections on dentistry by dentists, out of disrespect, I pay no attention to psychologists. Kapish? @MurphPsych Permalink 11:05 AM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Sunstein is a BS vendor & psychologists too cluless to tell. Sadder fact to tell Tetlock to lay low on twitter. @Pseudoplotinus @PTetlock Permalink 10:20 AM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb My 2 talks. One more technical, one more central for life: (debunking idiots like Sunstein) https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/BloombergQuantSeminar1.pdf https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/BloombergQuantSeminar2.pdf Permalink 8:12 AM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb “Reductionist” often used by people (IYI) incapable by separating the necessary from the reduced. @SimaDiab @EHSANI22 Permalink 6:43 AM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Practicing Calabrez for 23 years.pic.twitter.com/W0spH32Wst Permalink 6:33 AM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Syria’s old problem has been Baathist centralization (#Antifragile). Simple re-municipalization removes the pressure. @SimaDiab @EHSANI22 Permalink 5:30 AM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb My first talk today at the B Quant Seminar: “There is no such thing as infinity in the Real World”. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/BloombergQuantSeminar1.pdf Permalink 4:36 AM – 6 Sep 2016
@nntaleb The presidential debate will be …. interestinghttps://twitter.com/spectreforever/status/772963084906270720 Permalink 7:12 PM – 5 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Erdogan has the dream of every boss: loved by a majority, feared by the unanimity. Permalink 10:20 AM – 5 Sep 2016
@nntaleb What strikes me abt academics is that they keep comparing themselves to others. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10154116285273375 pic.twitter.com/zj45h9FJ95 Permalink 6:45 AM – 5 Sep 2016
@nntaleb The reality is that, while “analysts” & tawkingheads are barking, Erdogan is extremely popular in Turkey. So far.https://twitter.com/thevocaleurope/status/771632208171798529 Permalink 11:40 AM – 4 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Quants are invited to my Tuesday talk “Mathematical Foundations of Precaution”, BBG, with reception (wine). https://go.bloomberg.com/promo/invite/bloomberg-quant-seminar-series/ Permalink 10:42 AM – 4 Sep 2016
@nntaleb I am not writing Italian, but 1920s Kalabrez (Galabrez), a language some people call Calabrese, & Cavour assumed was Arabic. @jacopogio Permalink 11:47 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb 2) and we can observe the volatility much more than the underlying. @rroyji @FiveThirtyEight Permalink 11:32 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb For an option volatility often matters much, much more than underlying. @rroyji @FiveThirtyEight Permalink 11:26 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Posted paper on SSRN http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2834165 Permalink 11:17 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Simply an option has “time value” function of vol. For a binary, TV pushes it away from 1 or 0, closer to .5 Kapish?https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/771372006914846720 Permalink 11:00 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Who are you trying to fool? Saudi Barbaria recently beheaded a Shiite cleric. @luhidan7777 @Leb12er Permalink 7:05 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Western Govs realize A) Salafis are bad & B)Saudi Barbaria is Salafi; but these idiots proved unable to connect A&B.https://twitter.com/Defenestrator13/status/772065953311883264 Permalink 6:43 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb This is Goooooooold. The prayer in Mecca to eradicate Shiites, Christians, and Jews. Who is Saudi Barbaria fooling?https://twitter.com/Leb12er/status/771916411388235776 Permalink 6:20 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb There was never many Christians in “Middle East”, almost only in Near-East (Eastern Med) and Northern Mesopotamia.https://twitter.com/mMeyer62/status/772058063733792768 Permalink 6:16 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Talmud Bavli in… Arabic 20- volume translation.pic.twitter.com/Rgsu7h1MjE Permalink 5:01 AM – 3 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Damascenes (and other Urban Syrians) look Greek.https://twitter.com/RanaHarbi/status/767459238914453505 Permalink 2:08 PM – 2 Sep 2016
@nntaleb The odometer was broken, so he refrained from riding his bicycle. His cycling didn’t count towards his “goal”. “Modernized” systems metrify. Permalink 4:45 AM – 2 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Actually, just realized, *pirated* version in Italian! Permalink 4:41 AM – 2 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Minority Rule in Italiano I più intolleranti vincono sempre: la dittatura della minoranzahttps://it.insider.pro/opinion/2016-08-29/the_most_intolerant_wins-_the_dictatorship_of_the_small_minority_part_i_9154/ Permalink 4:40 AM – 2 Sep 2016
@nntaleb The ratio male/female hurricanes is monstrously random, Maestro Marco, @MAvellaneda55pic.twitter.com/SSviVczJO3 Permalink 6:32 PM – 1 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Mediocristan, sub-Mediocristan because bounded. @nalinmoniz @FiveThirtyEight Permalink 6:23 PM – 1 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Maestro Marco @MAvellaneda55 This is BS, Pinker Style,(i.e. BS a la @sapinker). Affaire close.pic.twitter.com/HGi99138pk Permalink 6:15 PM – 1 Sep 2016
@MaxAbrahms Al Qaeda Is Gaining Strength in Syria http://sports.yahoo.com/news/al-qaeda-gaining-strength-syria-213320031.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw I’ve predicted this outcome from Day 1 because a semblance of moderation pays. Permalink 5:06 PM – 1 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Point is “how common is it to have both?” in % of 2nd condition not just if possible.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/771426553725087748 Permalink 12:21 PM – 1 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Medical Quandaries: Can one have both low resting heart beat & hypertension low RHB & CVD? low RHB & insulin resist L RHB & metabolic s? Permalink 12:16 PM – 1 Sep 2016
@nntaleb How to price an election [DRAFT]; why @FiveThirtyEight should engage in some other business than prediction.pic.twitter.com/QfHYqE0DR5 Permalink 8:39 AM – 1 Sep 2016
@nntaleb Whaaaaaaat? Donald Trump went to Mexico?https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/771146302134423552 Permalink 5:44 PM – 31 Aug 2016
@GhassanDahhan Sometimes I miss the good old days when neo-conservative think tanks were called ‘neo-conservative think tanks’ instead of ‘non-partisan’. Permalink 12:52 PM – 31 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Our GMO discussion is here (updated) http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html Permalink 6:04 AM – 31 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Llewelyn, @Charles_Lister is a fraud. @llewelyn_morgan Permalink 5:49 AM – 31 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Went from: IYIs (Intellectuals Yet Idiots) support GMOs to Those who support GMOs are IYIs. Why? IYIs can’t tell scientism from science. Permalink 5:47 AM – 31 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Christians in Syria. Those Shillary wants to ethnically cleanse for the benefit of Saudi Barbaria.https://twitter.com/LinaArabii/status/770270385254363138 Permalink 4:41 AM – 31 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Lindy effecthttps://twitter.com/peterfrankopan/status/770920349944938496 Permalink 4:37 AM – 31 Aug 2016
@nntaleb 6:30 but never before.pic.twitter.com/2evbvTGO5B Permalink 3:43 PM – 30 Aug 2016
@RonPaulInstitut The Real US Syria Scandal: Supporting Sectarian War http://bit.ly/2c9eLMO Permalink 12:38 PM – 30 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Redoing: What fits best for an IYI? Permalink 12:40 PM – 30 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Worth learning Arabic just to read comment by Wahabis upset w/Putin’s conference promoting tolerant CentAsian/Ottoman Sunnism #مؤتمر_الشيشان Permalink 11:35 AM – 30 Aug 2016
@nntaleb What fits best for an IYI? Permalink 11:20 AM – 30 Aug 2016
@nntaleb The IYI (intellectual yet idiot) class are like English or psych majors arguing with speaker in advanced mathematics seminar. #Notevenwrong Permalink 7:08 AM – 30 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Bingo! @han0z @zerohedge Here is the derivation:pic.twitter.com/MQ9KH0tZLM Permalink 6:15 AM – 30 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Just published thanks to comments by Maestro @MAvellaneda55 “Stochastic Tail Exponent For Asymmetric Power Laws”https://www.academia.edu/28120847/Stochastic_Tail_Exponent_For_Asymmetric_Power_Laws?s=t Permalink 5:56 AM – 30 Aug 2016
@nntaleb ANNONCE: Je cherche a publier mon article sur la dictature des minorités en France. Merci d’avance.https://medium.com/@nntaled/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.nppetsqzg Permalink 3:31 AM – 30 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Half of America owns 1% of America’s wealth => Pareto 80/20 (same inequality Pareto found in land ownership in Italy late 19th C) @zerohedge Permalink 7:30 PM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Quiz du jour: What is the tail exponent of the distribution, assuming it is power law (it is)?https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/770418048738164736 Permalink 5:52 PM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb If one 1) is a libertarian & 2) Believes SHillary is ill Then shouldn’t one voting for someone incapacitated?https://twitter.com/segal_scott/status/770413381350064128 Permalink 5:25 PM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Obvious thing: to remove Salafis from Sunnism & revert to 1950s tolerant Sunnism. With #مؤتمر_الشيشان that’s what Putin is doing! Brilliant! Permalink 5:16 PM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Working with @DrCirillo on stats of violence we discovered media reports to be unreliable& pple unaware of it.https://twitter.com/alitahmizian/status/770268937024135168 Permalink 3:16 PM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb It is *precisely* because companies fit products to weirdest buyers that we have the rule. https://medium.com/@nntaled/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.fzsnj85i4 https://twitter.com/grumpyinnovator/status/770329758429220864 Permalink 1:16 PM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Why you can never trust employees to make the ethical decisions.https://medium.com/@nntaled/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6#.7ytrbrb2o Permalink 8:19 AM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Is it me or … nobody is noticing that the movement for nonSalafi Sunnism #مؤتمر_الشيشان is happening in… Russia! @aboabid @trscbrs Permalink 6:35 AM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb 5/ Further difference betw academia and real life: Others will envy you for your knowledge less than they would for your credentials. Permalink 6:32 AM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb So if Ashaari is the “real” Sunni Islam, we go back to the Ottoman brand, much much more tolerant @aboabid @trscbrs https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maturidi Permalink 5:54 AM – 29 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Torn My focus shoud be for 2017 + Finishing Skin in the Game or + Deadlifting 440 lbs (slowed by 2 lifting injuries) Permalink 1:47 PM – 28 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Salafism Isn’t Really a Religion https://committingsociology.com/2016/08/28/salafism-isnt-really-a-religion/ via @CommittingSociology Permalink 12:37 PM – 28 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Bethlehem was in Judea the idea of linking Jesus to Nazareth (INRI on the cross) was to emphasize his non Judean side @MrNathanRollins Permalink 11:23 AM – 28 Aug 2016
@nntaleb 4/ Tweets triggered by draft of bio of math/trader Ed Thorp who said his most difficult job ever was head of math department at UC Irvine. Permalink 8:03 AM – 28 Aug 2016
@naval Politics, academia and social status are all zero-sum games. Positive-sum games create positive people.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/769867793214865408 Permalink 7:32 AM – 28 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Eastern Med was part of Rome as world was Med/nonMed and separation Europe came later post Islamhttps://twitter.com/_crackerfactory/status/769898374464151552 Permalink 7:10 AM – 28 Aug 2016
@nntaleb I tend to block pple who fail to get “~” (approx) means “not always true” and corrupt the conversation on twitter.https://twitter.com/guinerez/status/769892028004130816 Permalink 7:00 AM – 28 Aug 2016
@nntaleb 3/ The probability of getting a “tenure track” position for a new PhD has been getting closer & closer to 0. Permalink 6:01 AM – 28 Aug 2016
@nntaleb 2/ You can tell people who come from countries w/rent seeking; they think that business is zero-sum: wealth is money taken from others. Permalink 5:23 AM – 28 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Academia is ~ zero-sum: every position/honor/promotion/rank/reward is taken from someone else. Business on the other hand creates business. Permalink 5:02 AM – 28 Aug 2016
@QuintusCurtius Clinton ally Saudi Arabia deports 27 Lebanese Christians just for owning books. Is western media reporting this? No https://twitter.com/Nour_Samaha/status/769474275367645185 Permalink 4:17 PM – 27 Aug 2016
@seanrateck1 @beachvetlbc @cecilbadlands @wizardQi @RyEichler @YouTube @NYDailyNewspic.twitter.com/WbEcrRcy9G Permalink 12:46 PM – 27 Aug 2016
@nntaleb Improved on my paper on power laws thanks to the great maestro @MAvellaneda55pic.twitter.com/GSOR3CpgUx Permalink 1:10 PM – 27 Aug 2016
@jelo1317 The #GMO debate. One student’s experience of pro-GMO #Propaganda @Cornell University http://www.thelibertybeacon.com/gmo-debate-one-students-experience-pro-gmo-propaganda-cornell-university/ @GMOWTFpic.twitter.com/yNHmZJON5L Permalink 12:51 PM – 23 Aug 2016