Tag Archives: GMOs

Nocera, GMOs, IYIs, MSM, Flaneuring, Tamar Haspel, Clarissa Ward, “Nudge” | Twitter

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@nntaleb One of the “failures” sold a company for billions. There exists no business in which people can be as clueless as journos, yet survive. Permalink 1:47 PM – 15 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A tragedy. Could not just “like” ithttps://twitter.com/republicofmath/status/886261006007242752   Permalink 12:49 PM – 15 Jul 2017

@theenviousleft 97% of media professionals donated to Clinton. Learn about skin in the game and stop lying you obfuscating dunce. @nntaleb Permalink 10:18 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Bullshitters like you, indeed. Permalink 9:24 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is Sophistry 101 by a BSTimes journo. Typical BSTimes. We are talking abt threat to the West, not threat to Russia. (fake use of SITG)https://twitter.com/GlennThrush/status/886251135144800257   Permalink 9:18 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Cyclic Inequality In Three Variables with Constraints http://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/SimplifiedSitaru2.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/gpaRsyYypU”>  pic.twitter.com/gpaRsyYypU Permalink 6:48 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 2) Cont Election Paper pic.twitter.com/TFVgDvBA3S Permalink 5:48 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 1) Submitted this version of the Election paper to a journal. pic.twitter.com/EGHkyIZe0F Permalink 5:47 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Three hours.https://twitter.com/StoolPoop/status/885986219405918208   Permalink 7:20 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb BSTimes journo looks at failed AynRanders. He didn’t realize they WERE already successful. No cohort comparison.https://nyti.ms/2vgJeR5   Permalink 1:14 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the Game.https://twitter.com/catoletters/status/885948326163689472   Permalink 1:00 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb So we now can quantify by how much books on “RISK” using “empiricism” like Fischhoff’s & oth. nonrisktaking academics are clueless. pic.twitter.com/A0Q4vNP9NY Permalink 11:32 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Finally found a closed-form for by how much we underestimate the true extreme using a “empirical distribution” (Reason: rainy Friday in NY.) pic.twitter.com/GxShlFKTuV Permalink 11:16 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@ebruenner just concluded v. long twitter debate w/ pro gmo. 100% arguments based on: -credentialism -unquestionable NECESSITY of novel foods Permalink 11:08 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@MastaKace Haplogroup J2 is generally associated with the Romans, it’s also found in high frequencies in area around Dardanelles & Constantinople (1) pic.twitter.com/uMo0iGUCSL Permalink 9:58 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb Another attempt at the Alan Blinder Problem with your helpful ideas hopefully I’m getting it right this time. #rentseeking pic.twitter.com/WhvHtCj71B Permalink 9:44 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb There is NO EVIDENCE whatsoever abt safety of GMOs. Not ONE risk study. Nor does hiding stuff abt Glyphosate help much Keep trying Monsanto! pic.twitter.com/aVWv2rfqa9 Permalink 5:01 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Charlatan invoke such things as “potential to feed pple” in place of PROOF it won’t cause disaster for same pple. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html  https://twitter.com/potatodoctor/status/885814957211832322   Permalink 4:52 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@fortierfinance NNT thread one of few places throughout my day I can reliably find justice being authentically served-world seems bit more sane as a result Permalink 11:59 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb IYI Steil, don’t flatter yourself, I am not messing with you bec I am angry; I just take immense pleasure in busting BS vendors. Kapish? Permalink 11:55 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb As I said, media commentators & former Gawker journalists seem have a contagious overpowering concern with… substance.https://twitter.com/AdamWeinstein/status/885567669273059328   Permalink 11:39 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb By definition IYIs (Intellectuals Yet Idiots) provide responses that are independent of the question. Permalink 11:34 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Do you have a remark that’s not some asinine platitudinous reply lifted from “Response Manual for low IQ Thinkers for All Circumstances?” Permalink 11:31 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Petty, obsessive, substance-free criticism of Trump by petit-intellectuals (IYIs) has been fueling him, & destroying “intellectualism”.https://twitter.com/BennSteil/status/885562728282304512   Permalink 11:22 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb NonFiction bestsellers are NOT correlated w/MSM: Books against bloated gov, Milo, Gingrich, etc. People vote with their wallet. MSM is dead.https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/885504822643834883   Permalink 9:34 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Proved that the so-called “Empirical Distribution” is not empirical, the “robust” is not robust. This is a scratchpad pic.twitter.com/TZBDsvEaKW Permalink 9:28 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The daily quizzes by maestro @CutTheKnotMath are like finding a parking spot in NYC: Never easy, never impossible.https://twitter.com/cuttheknotmath/status/884853542451892224   Permalink 7:18 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@GuruAnaerobic A fat-tailed process can masquerade as a thin-tailed one bt not the reverse @nntaleb If more experts knew this they wouldn’t talk so much BS Permalink 7:13 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb It isn’t natural to know when your vacation/week end terminates. Modern life creates Sunday night blues. Flaneuring removes such a specter Permalink 4:31 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@eldivyn In every undertaking, the more humans try to be demi-gods, the more they become half-monsters.”- @nntaleb Permalink 1:46 PM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb To paraphrase Feynman, math like s*x, is something you do for the fun, with potential side effects. Permalink 10:28 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb But @TamarHaspel is a Monsanto shill! Permalink 9:58 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Applied math is math + skin in the game.https://twitter.com/johndcook/status/885164373743980545   Permalink 8:59 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@DanielLMcAdams More photos the MSM is desperate to hide…can’t let middle America know the truth about Syria…https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/884443152278532103   Permalink 7:10 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Free markets eventually lead to free speech. Censorship by social media not compatible w/ free enterprise! Markets => Ideas, not reverse.https://twitter.com/Imamofpeace/status/885111752098070530   Permalink 5:23 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anyone who listens to an economist has some incurable condition. As to economists…https://twitter.com/Michael_Heaver/status/885059554869997574   Permalink 5:01 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb My enemies give me the reputation of a total as***le. The bonus is that people are always surprised when I am nice to them.https://twitter.com/wileecoyotewec/status/884881383776296960   Permalink 2:40 PM – 11 Jul 2017

@gfriend “Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood” by @nntaleb (and why the Arabs are fighting to the last Palestinian)https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac   Permalink 2:37 PM – 11 Jul 2017

@Theodore8 as close as I will ever get to @nntaleb #cuttlefish #ink #greece #kalokéri pic.twitter.com/lgqha7G3sm Permalink 11:53 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@garyruskin How the #GMO industry gets journalists to buy its messages, by @marionnestlehttp://bit.ly/2v8Pdrg   Permalink 9:17 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb [Thread on Pyrrhic Victories] “If we win one more victory, we are doomed!” Si alteram talem victoriam reporta, vero mea erit pernicies Permalink 7:37 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@dannyhakim Key part of agrochem PR strategy is claiming that serious reporting on GMO’s/pesticides akin to being anti-vax or a climate change denier. Permalink 7:26 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The most serious error in statistics is taking properties out of a textbook and applying it mechanistically (a la Pinker boy). pic.twitter.com/bVuLOfwXRK Permalink 6:54 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Wondering why journos love GMOs? I am witness to a bit of this.http://progressive.org/magazine/how-the-biotech-industry-cultivates-positive-media/#.WWSwwM170Ds.twitter   Permalink 4:04 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb What should I discuss? Permalink 1:31 PM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb In about 9 minutes will start my econtalk with@EconTalker pic.twitter.com/nf7WdcviSJ Permalink 1:19 PM – 10 Jul 2017

@rpodgornik ..or possibly: Si Athenas et Spartam, quod aiunt, ne clamor ridentem. Permalink 10:05 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Heuristic: when picking a restaurant in an unfamiliar city, don’t look at the menu, look at the clients. Permalink 9:53 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Same as fake entrepreneurs only interested in packaging and selling companies: fake scholars only interested in credentials/local status. Permalink 9:27 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The vanquished cries, but the victor doesn’t laugh. Roman proverbhttps://twitter.com/johnrobb/status/884416954693505024   Permalink 7:26 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Wrong. Data shows that once settled, people tend to stay… like an occupied spot. “Invasions” overstated. Languages move faster than geneshttps://twitter.com/vrints_annemie/status/884399982073315328   Permalink 6:28 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@RealDHilburn Btw, this Chesterton quote reminds me of the Taleb test to detect ISIS sympathizers among refugees: pic.twitter.com/TPHWJ0BNKR Permalink 8:38 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A good database of ALL payments frm Qatar & oth Gulf sources to @Charles_Lister & employers for promoting Al-Qaeda? Same for @MiddleEastInsthttps://twitter.com/Desertlady11/status/883227758675058688   Permalink 7:42 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4 hours lefthttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/883766265524965379   Permalink 7:31 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Getting to *prove* how tail risk estimation methods are flawed in the econ & behavioral econ literature. pic.twitter.com/XRiEzihhDW Permalink 5:22 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@mikeandallie We are having similar mornings. I just spent 2 hrs with Nassim Taleb’s latest paper pic.twitter.com/KoA1m4Vpl4 Permalink 4:57 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Strangely, @clarissaward from CNN posts nothing but fraudulous news/Jihadi propaganda that spreads & never retracts. Why it keep going? Permalink 12:14 PM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Visit to Kazakstan last mont. No tie, of course. Lost 6 lbs on a zero-carb (no squid ink) diet since. pic.twitter.com/irhCTMHMrf Permalink 11:24 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Exercise: Is uncertainty purely epistemic limitation? Think about it: destroys free will, requires teleology, unescapable preordained fatehttps://twitter.com/ProbFact/status/883743278008553472   Permalink 10:53 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb And I am going to ask a “consultant” to tawk about Real Life? Permalink 10:14 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Typos pic.twitter.com/DwmFOhTebf Permalink 7:19 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Why” Nudge” and much of Behavioral Econ is bullshit science. pic.twitter.com/QFGQBUXnxN Permalink 7:10 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The reason Cyprus is at a stalemate: negociators are …bureaucrats. Clueless bureaucrats & political “scientists”. https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac  https://twitter.com/financecyprus/status/883670265586167812   Permalink 5:55 AM – 8 Jul 2017

GMOs, Genetics, Boulder, Copts, Manchester, Levant Project, Ron Paul, journos, Las Vegas, Wolfram, Revenge | Twitter

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@nntaleb Is it possible to find anyone in the State Department w/ minimal reasoning abilities, in other words not brain dead?https://twitter.com/LinaArabii/status/869691250261315584   Permalink 3:15 PM – 1 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Sleep deprivation leads to random sign inversions! Found even sharper bounds Yan et al (2014, 2017) https://journalofinequalitiesandapplications.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s13660-017-1372-5   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/eqBMmKr0jM”>  pic.twitter.com/eqBMmKr0jM Permalink 7:29 AM – 1 Jun 2017

@garyruskin The #MonsantoPapers on the front page of @LeMondefr in France. http://lemde.fr/2rtEAAK   http://bit.ly/2mJSyvq   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/HVjYof76bE”>  pic.twitter.com/HVjYof76bE Permalink 7:04 AM – 1 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Jumping from 15th floor is just the same thing as taking the stairs, “just a bit quicker”? GMOs NOT same category as progressive tinkering Permalink 4:46 AM – 1 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Note that there has be NO Risk study for GMOs, NOT ONE. All Monsanto did instead was smear critics via shills. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 3:57 AM – 1 Jun 2017

@nntaleb Genetics work for populations given linearity of descent (haplo) But saying which genes => diseases/traits, NONONO.https://medium.com/incerto/where-you-cannot-generalize-from-knowledge-of-parts-continuation-to-the-minority-rule-ce96ca3c5739   Permalink 2:24 PM – 31 May 2017

@nntaleb Dietwald Clauss is hired by a PR firm to counter every comment on GMOs, demonize skeptics. He tried to infiltrate a picnic. Just Block. Permalink 12:10 PM – 31 May 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb The 2. and final strip on the topic of “misattributed causality” … still inspired by #Antifragile & #FooledByRandomness pic.twitter.com/VCDhkdISqG Permalink 10:37 AM – 31 May 2017

@nntaleb No pic.twitter.com/iW2tUeKPH5 Permalink 3:41 AM – 31 May 2017

@nntaleb …and if you don’t take risks there is absolutely nothing that can make you big.https://twitter.com/NaviStarLegal/status/869861523837026305   Permalink 3:26 AM – 31 May 2017

@nntaleb This solves the puzzle: French connection isn’t from crusaders (cross-entropy mito<haplo) but Neolithic/Bronze Age Eurasian migration pic.twitter.com/atrlLCdEoQ Permalink 3:25 AM – 31 May 2017

@M_Gauche Ummm, has @nntaleb seen this article yet? Figure he’d have done a victory lap by now:https://www.theverge.com/2017/5/30/15713536/ancient-egyptian-mummies-dna-genome-sequencing-near-east   Permalink 2:13 PM – 30 May 2017

@nntaleb Q: Why is differential entropy not used in genetic distance when it is the most natural way, as DNA IS Information? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cross_entropy   Permalink 11:56 AM – 30 May 2017

@nntaleb Also it looks like the Levant was settled with Northerners before Akkadian invasion (few men), hence diff mito-haplo, even for Muslims. Permalink 8:45 AM – 30 May 2017

@nntaleb The French link is from the Crusades. As to Cyprus, it is closer on the Y chromosomes. Permalink 7:56 AM – 30 May 2017

@nntaleb We need Iran and Turkey Permalink 7:25 AM – 30 May 2017

@nntaleb Genetic distance for Lebanese using differential entropy on mitocondrial DNA using @PZalloua ‘s data. GoodPlaneride pic.twitter.com/4VCeTxksos Permalink 7:23 AM – 30 May 2017

@nntaleb It doesn’t mean that these at the top have 50% of the wealth (about 100 million for 50%) but that they have more than the bottom 50% Permalink 10:20 AM – 29 May 2017

@nntaleb Found something interesting attributed to drawdowns, from the works of @financequant Robert Frey modelled PTV & found no change historically pic.twitter.com/1Bp5uqGiiN Permalink 7:09 AM – 29 May 2017

@nntaleb Heading straight from airport so might be jetlagged. follow up tp https://arxiv.org/pdf/1609.02369.pdf   making the tails even worse. Permalink 6:57 AM – 29 May 2017

@nntaleb My BBQ minitalk tom. in NY (frm plane) on why it is error to use historical returns w/o extrapolating beyond maxima e.g.@WGoetzmann et al. pic.twitter.com/wLMndmzzux Permalink 6:51 AM – 29 May 2017

@nntaleb Antifragile: Things that Gain from Disorder v/s Messy: The Power of Disorder to Transform Our Lives @TimHarford (w/o attribution) Permalink 12:54 AM – 29 May 2017

@nntaleb They show concentration of of wealth among a few: as if these TOOK away from others rather than ADDED to the pot Wealth ≠ Rent Seeking !https://twitter.com/amazingmap/status/844508707849302016   Permalink 11:11 PM – 28 May 2017

@nntaleb Does Boulder have a resort/vacation feel to it? Permalink 10:57 PM – 28 May 2017

@nntaleb Saddest thing abt the Weinstein affair: he has to specify that he is “on the left”, as if it were a requirement to express an opinion. Permalink 10:46 PM – 28 May 2017

@nntaleb Most “humanities” profs have minimal erudition; they spent their time studying THEORIES made by other profs. Universities killed humanities Permalink 2:09 PM – 28 May 2017

@nntaleb “Study the classics” and “study the classics under academics” selected via “papers” are two different things. Permalink 12:02 PM – 28 May 2017

@nntaleb Most humanities as taught in colleges are BS. My only academic association is with an engineering school. Permalink 12:00 PM – 28 May 2017

@nntaleb The university system is on its way to go bust. It will regroup as separate technical schools devoid of “gender” & other BS studies.https://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/868894401229094912   Permalink 11:39 AM – 28 May 2017

@IndiTrades Examples of misattribution of discoveries/developments &/or cornering of credit by “Intellectuals” via @normonics @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/PXV9coVkey Permalink 7:38 AM – 28 May 2017

@nntaleb A quantitative comparison of spread of BS vs. NonBS Tweets by the same person.https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/868596817251803138   Permalink 5:22 AM – 28 May 2017

@nntaleb The UK would have been a better place with Steve running 10 Downing St.https://twitter.com/stevehiltonx/status/868541930639982593   Permalink 12:32 PM – 27 May 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb “Mistaking the merely associative with the causal.” another great lesson from #Antifragile and #FooledByRandomness pic.twitter.com/XG4kpQJQ4b Permalink 10:58 AM – 27 May 2017

@nntaleb Friends, a question. What’s the most representative vacation place in Colorado for hiking/flaneuring/eating? Permalink 6:31 AM – 27 May 2017

@nntaleb I just published “The Merchandising of Virtue”https://medium.com/p/the-merchandising-of-virtue-b548762658f0   Permalink 3:19 AM – 27 May 2017

@nntaleb Finally, thanks, the new Intro for a few hours. Only info needed is “smoothness” for many ideas to squeeze in it. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/SkinExcerpts.pdf   Permalink 6:55 PM – 26 May 2017

@nntaleb See Yaneer @yaneerbaryam work: better fences make better neighbors. Permalink 6:14 PM – 26 May 2017

@nntaleb When @Nigel_Farage told EuroMPs: “None of you had a proper job”, they didn’t get it. To get it, you need to have to make a P/L, not a salary Permalink 4:30 PM – 26 May 2017

@nntaleb The only solution for the Copts is a self-governing enclave. Other Egyptians call that “sectarian”. F*** them. Mabiḣikkak illa ḋufrak,https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/868234076037238789   Permalink 4:00 PM – 26 May 2017

@nntaleb With @sez_dss in a pastry store in Amioun. Owner told us that I looked like the Black Swan author who lives in America. “Maybe a little bit” Permalink 5:51 AM – 26 May 2017

@nntaleb “Never give weapons to a fool. You may harm him and harm others.” Permalink 2:33 AM – 26 May 2017

@nntaleb Esseleḣ bi’id elḱara byijraḣ (about arm sales) Permalink 2:32 AM – 26 May 2017

@nntaleb …rather “because” ‘body slamming’ journalisthttps://twitter.com/anon_eu/status/867995624225910784   Permalink 1:32 AM – 26 May 2017

@nntaleb The gist: If you have the courage to put your intellectual integrity before your reputation, nothing can break you.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/commencement-address-american-university-in-beirut-2016-a5c6d57984b   Permalink 3:14 PM – 25 May 2017

@nntaleb If you want to make your children feel better, much better after losing a game of chess, show them Kasparov’s geopolitical tweets.https://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/867822092762402816   Permalink 12:40 PM – 25 May 2017

@nntaleb Interventionistas: Nothing worse than dogs playing wolves pic.twitter.com/NvuKTtqdkO Permalink 6:58 AM – 25 May 2017

@nntaleb There is nothing more bewildering than dogs claiming to be wolves. pic.twitter.com/gzEtnyqpxi Permalink 5:32 AM – 25 May 2017

@nntaleb Thanks for the comments: I smoothed out the Prologue. Reposting for 3-4 hours. Ignore typos: interest is smoothness. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/SITG-Excerpts2.pdf   Permalink 4:40 AM – 25 May 2017

@nntaleb I’ve spent most of my life explaining/proving that Eastern Med != Middle East. Near East perhaps. Trump is right from intuition.https://twitter.com/yashar/status/866757128501035008   Permalink 6:23 PM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb So he defines “elderly” as a category that is old, but not… old? Find a person between 2 thresholds: old but not old, poor but not poor. Permalink 6:01 PM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb A “poor” “elderly” person has Medicaid & Medicare, for which we pay > 1.2 Trillion. If this fellow fooling himself?https://twitter.com/SteveRattner/status/867515245836857345   Permalink 5:55 PM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb In Lebanon, everyone I meet is thrilled abt @realDonaldTrump “stripping” the Saudis & asking me “why didn’t he make a stop in Qatar”? Permalink 5:39 PM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb Can someone answer his question? Eventually when you support Al Qaeda in Syria, it will come back to visit you in Manchester & … Foolshttps://twitter.com/ShehabiFares/status/867434742458839041   Permalink 5:24 PM – 24 May 2017

@EricRWeinstein SJWs targeting my brother Prof. @BretWeinstein pulled 1 video of their bullying as it went viral. So here’s another: https://www.facebook.com/blakub/videos/10212714974211358/  https://twitter.com/EricRWeinstein/status/867432790588923905   Permalink 2:39 PM – 24 May 2017

@bostoncakepan In “Antifragile,” @nntaleb shows that, empirically, university research is a terrible investment. Tinkerers discover things, not researchershttps://twitter.com/JunkScience/status/867378576030650373   Permalink 6:59 AM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb Note 1: What I am bring: languages follow a minority rule, genes a majority rule. (Linguists dont’ get it.)https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15   Permalink 6:04 AM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb 6 Maronites are indigenous of Mount Leb, religion migrated not pple (investigating oth groups) 7 Languages travel independent of genes Permalink 5:59 AM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb 4 Arabs did not settle in the coastal Levant 5 Data shows distinction between Canaanites & Hebrews, doesn’t contradict Biblical claims Permalink 5:53 AM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb 1 Phoenicians aren’t the “pple of the sea” 2 North Levant genetics heavily Greco-Iranian 3 Myth of Europa backed by Levant-Greek migrations Permalink 5:44 AM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb Science gives us a real map of roots, better than BS laden history (Salibi) or the fake-science called linguistics. 7 Myths abt Levant Permalink 5:40 AM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb Zalloua has 12K DNA samples, largest DB for Phoenicia. He just hired me as his data scientist for the Levant Project (unaware of my temper). pic.twitter.com/9pG7C5FpUV Permalink 5:34 AM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb BTW Fooled by Randomness was self-edited. Permalink 5:19 AM – 24 May 2017

@nntaleb Don’t tell my publisher. I am posting the first 50 pages of SITG for 3-4 hours, for comment on readability/clarity. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/introSITG.pdf   Permalink 6:44 PM – 23 May 2017

@nntaleb If you want more evidence that finance academics still don’t know that they are unfit.https://twitter.com/gkaram/status/867183614034890753   Permalink 6:02 PM – 23 May 2017

@nntaleb An academic, even like Bernanke, lecturing about markets is like an assistant nail salon technician lecturing on brain surgery.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/867179616724807680   Permalink 5:51 PM – 23 May 2017

@nntaleb The argument for federalism pic.twitter.com/8AkBClYZAi Permalink 5:40 PM – 23 May 2017

@nntaleb Dershowitz is a liberal who thinks; immune ag the Trump Logical Hallucination Syndrome. http://www.theblaze.com/news/2017/05/20/alan-dershowitz-pulverizes-liberal-anti-trump-russia-theories-and-nearly-leaves-carlson-speechless/   via @chrisenloe @theblaze Permalink 5:15 PM – 23 May 2017

@EHSANI22 3-Law & Order has returned. Government services are back. #Aleppo residents now joke that the place looks like Switzerland in comparison Permalink 4:17 PM – 23 May 2017

@nntaleb Evidence from Koura shows that genes of Christians are Greco-Anatolian. More TK Also Phoenicians & Assyrians were not “Semitic” by DNA, pic.twitter.com/4C6NL4vvLq Permalink 4:10 PM – 23 May 2017

@nntaleb Here is the derivation for a,b,c>1, thanks to a plane ride to Northern Phoenicia pic.twitter.com/edB6S67N5G Permalink 3:23 PM – 23 May 2017

@GuruAnaerobic Suicide bombers: “Putting the skin on terrorists” from 6th May. @nntaleb @TRobinsonNewErahttps://medium.com/incerto/the-skin-of-others-in-your-game-3f51d8ccc3fb   Permalink 12:44 AM – 23 May 2017

@nntaleb Hopefully it will help convince the administration it’s not Putin-Assad-Iran-Catherine the Great but Wahhabi grown stuff. Permalink 4:36 PM – 22 May 2017

@nntaleb You can bet it’s not the Iranians just accused of suporting “terrorism”, but grown in some Saudi sponsored madrassah.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/866796747045179393   Permalink 4:28 PM – 22 May 2017

@nntaleb No no no no nohttps://medium.com/incerto/where-you-cannot-generalize-from-knowledge-of-parts-continuation-to-the-minority-rule-ce96ca3c5739?source=linkShare-f138bf5466fe-1495482249   Permalink 12:44 PM – 22 May 2017

@nntaleb On my way to Northern Phoenicia to work on final draft of #SkinInTheGame Planted ~300 olive trees. pic.twitter.com/UxS2RmlNAJ Permalink 11:56 AM – 22 May 2017

@nntaleb Maltese has been successful in separating from Arabic. https://mt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lingwa_Maltija   Fawwato filmet franjieh xa liġton w bye7ko mitl ma byektbo Permalink 6:27 AM – 22 May 2017

@nntaleb La’anno fi kilmet bil ṫ w bil ż w bil ḋ ma bitbayyin maxkun bi tari’tkun. Bass nazzel el font w bitcuf cu ahyan Permalink 6:22 AM – 22 May 2017

@nntaleb Isocrates’ Dynamic #SkinInTheGame Conduct yourself toward your parents as you would have your children conduct themselves toward you Permalink 6:19 AM – 22 May 2017

@nntaleb xam jarreb estaxmel hayda la’ktub liġitna xa tari’ LLL (cuf ‘llink taḣt wl fonts) Fi ‘lwaḣad ye’ra ceġle hayk? http://www.lebaneselanguage.org/lll-system/lebanese-latin-letters/   Permalink 6:38 PM – 21 May 2017

@RonPaul Many thanks to @zerohedge for picking up our Liberty Report interview with @nntaleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-05-21/taleb-state-department-interventionistas-face-zero-risk-their-bad-decisions   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/HrxAsh9hCz”>  pic.twitter.com/HrxAsh9hCz Permalink 3:48 PM – 21 May 2017

@nntaleb By the same fake-generalization, BS vendors try to portray the public as being “anti-expert” instead of being anti BS vendors. Permalink 3:04 PM – 21 May 2017

@nntaleb Where the pseudo left prove that: they hate Trump more than they love Saudi Arabia. (Revelation of preferences)https://twitter.com/KenRoth/status/866001274700955649   Permalink 12:56 PM – 21 May 2017

@nntaleb As I just said:https://twitter.com/KenRoth/status/866001274700955649   Permalink 12:17 PM – 21 May 2017

@nntaleb Every time I bust a BS vendor his reaction is that I call “everyone else” an idiot. No, sorry Mr Nichols: BS vendor is BS vendor.https://twitter.com/RadioFreeTom/status/866355195168555008   Permalink 11:39 AM – 21 May 2017

@JohnMinehan1 Now, Let us re-tweet “Ceterum censeo Wahabistanem esse delendam.”https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/866299308014010368   Permalink 7:59 AM – 21 May 2017

@nntaleb But the main accomplishment of @realDonaldTrump’s trip is to rally his detractors against Saudi Barbaria. Now recite: “Delenda Wahabistan”. Permalink 7:27 AM – 21 May 2017

@nntaleb Citing @davidgraeber on how Goldman Sachs is communist from within pic.twitter.com/9oflQxZwao Permalink 5:48 AM – 21 May 2017

@nntaleb Expain to me why I shd read an “expert analysis” on “WHY TRUMP WON” by pple who thought it was impossible. #2ndOrder http://resources.hoover.org/why-trump-won/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_content=look1&utm_campaign=whytrumpwon   Permalink 5:03 AM – 21 May 2017

@nntaleb The Saudis make @realDonaldTrump feel he is a king, while Washington & West make him feel he doesn’t belong. He now owes them something. Permalink 4:00 PM – 20 May 2017

@nntaleb What @realDonaldTrump is doing: sucking in the last $100 billion before the bankruptcy of SaudiBarbaria. If anything, cruel to the Saudis.https://twitter.com/OAmKorAr/status/865974737910079488   Permalink 10:21 AM – 20 May 2017

@nntaleb Interesting reading by Mercier and Sperber. “Smart”, i.e. SocietHarvardified pple are just better at explaining their hallucinations. pic.twitter.com/5JUYHvtjeY Permalink 7:16 AM – 20 May 2017

@nntaleb Cherrypicked analogies as hallucination aid. I wrote an entire book, Fooled by Randomness, 2001, on seeing mosques in the clouds.https://twitter.com/BeschlossDC/status/865660847670018048   Permalink 6:39 AM – 20 May 2017

@nntaleb I find puzzling that one needs to run & pay for, a study to figure out that journos become journos BECAUSE they have severe deficits.https://twitter.com/MDiPaolaMD/status/865728365617197056   Permalink 5:45 PM – 19 May 2017

@Cernovich They are gonna hate you anyway, @realDonaldTrump. Now is the time for boldness. Pardon Julian Assange / @wikileaks. #PardonJulian Permalink 2:28 PM – 19 May 2017

The Most Intolerant Wins: The Dictatorship of the Small Minority

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Full article here: The Most Intolerant Wins: The Dictatorship of the Small Minority

In promoting genetically modified food via all manner of lobbying, purchasing of congressmen, and overt scientific propaganda (with smear campaigns against such persons as yours truly), the big agricultural companies foolishly believed that all they needed was to win the majority. No, you idiots. As I said, your snap “scientific” judgment is too naive in these type of decisions. Consider that transgenic-GMO eaters will eat nonGMOs, but not the reverse. So it may suffice to have a tiny, say no more than five percent of evenly spatially distributed population of non-genetically modified eaters for the entire population to have to eat non-GMO food. How? Say you have a corporate event, a wedding, or a lavish party to celebrate the fall of the Saudi Arabian regime, the bankruptcy of the rent-seeking investment bank Goldman Sachs, or the public reviling of Ray Kotcher, chairman of Ketchum the public relation firm that smears scientists and scientific whistleblowers on behalf of big corporations. Do you need to send a questionnaire asking people if they eat or don’t eat transgenic GMOs and reserve special meals accordingly? No. You just select everything non-GMO, provided the price difference is not consequential. And the price difference appears to be small enough to be negligible as (perishable) food costs in America are largely, about up to eighty or ninety percent, determined by distribution and storage, not the cost at the agricultural level. And as organic food (and designations such as “natural”) is in higher demand, from the minority rule, distribution costs decrease and the minority rule ends up accelerating in its effect.

‘My Friend’, Turkey, STALIN, GMOs, Arguing, Scale Dependent Properties, SKIN IN THE GAME | Facebook

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Nothing can be both boring and truly important. 7/29/16

To perpetuate a lie, you must whisper it, not shout it. 7/27/16

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The expression “my friend”: for a name dropper, it is anyone important; for a politician, anyone who does not vote against him/her; for regular people, a friend; in the mob, “a friend of ours” is another mafia member.

For me it is anyone I run into at a party and can’t remember the first name. 7/27/16

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For those of you on a hot summer day want to stroll on a beach, this is the way to do it.

It takes some training; rehearse in the privacy of your living room before doing it in public.

(Aldo Maccione, Jacques Brel, etc…)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eTm0X93l8vk

L’Aventure c’est l’Aventure (1972) – Claude Lelouch – Beach Scene
L’aventure c’est l’aventure is a 1972 French film directed by Claude Lelouch. It stars Lino Ventura, Jacques Brel, Aldo Maccione and Johnny Hallyday. 7/24/16

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Turkey is, after 100 years, a complete failure of top-down secularization. So are Iraq and Syria. You keep pushing religion under the rug, via bureaucrats; it comes back with a vengeance.

Iran has, somewhat, the opposite situation. 7/21/16

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STALIN AND THE FALSE NEGATIVE

An illustration of the notion of minimal type 2 error (no false negative): At the Congress of 1934, for the critical confidence ballot, a minority of the 1288 delegates (perhaps a quarter) voted against Stalin.

Stalin ended up trying to eliminating, during the great purge, not just those who were presumed to have voted against him, but all the delegates who were present. 7/20/16

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This picture is worth an indefinite amount of words.

It shows why GMOs are *not* traditional breeding. Few people trained traditionally get complex systems (i.e. those with interractions). But there is a growing number of young people who “get it”, particularly when familiar with P/NP in computer science.

Finally I looked at Monsanto’s financials and it shows GMOs are contracting; as a “technology” GMs are dying and no complicated technology survives unless it is multiplicative. Meanwhile organic is growing rapidly.

The PP page is here
http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.ht…
—
Rahul Gotswani commented on the drawing by Joe Norman for our paper.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's photo.7/14/16

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Never argue with people in private (you will not convince them); argue in public to convince others. 7/12/16

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Another explanation of Scale Dependent Properties:

Some may believe that *armies create wars* but nobody sane believes that *police create robberies*. 7/7/16

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SKIN IN THE GAME
Since more and more of academia is becoming a ritualistic publishing* game that maps less and less to real research, we should force people who want to do “research” to first have a Real World day job, or at least spend 10 years as: lens maker, patent clerc, mafia operator, professional gambler, postman, prison guard, medical doctor, uber driver, militia member, social security clerc, trial lawyer, farmer, restaurant chef, high volume waiter, firefighter (my favorite), lighthouse keeper, etc., while they are doing their initial research.

It is a filtering, BS expurgating mechanism.

I for my part spent the first 21 years in a full-time highly demanding extremely stressful job while studying, researching, and writing my first 3 books at night, and it lowered (in fact, eliminated) my tolerance for fake research.

*I borrow from Saifedean Ammous the apt description “ritualistic game”. 7/6/16

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Real World Risk Institute LLC Workshop Announcement. Dear friends, we have:

1) Changed location to a huge room rented from… the Masonic Lodge in NYC, on 23rd St between 5th and 6th Ave.

2) Changed the date of RWRI 3 to October 3-7 2016

3) Changed the non-Antifragile part of the program to add Information, Cybersecurity, Big Data, Complexity (in place of technical finance)

4) Added more scholarship slots.

http://realworldrisk.com

GMOs, Monsanto, Ramanujan, Philip Tetlock, Max Abrahms, Golden Rice, Blair, Preasymtotics, John Gray, Brexit

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@EcoWatch #Obama Expected to Sign Industry-Backed #GMO Label Bill Into Law http://rbl.ms/29FKHvt   @nongmoreport @foodandwater @OrganicConsumer @EWG Permalink 8:45 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@mjd1735 @ziadaboujamra @nntaleb @herrlichmann @AmbJohnBolton @zbig @SonyKapoor @EliLake @ishaantharoor Probability Question:pic.twitter.com/fniXcZysLF Permalink 4:41 PM – 14 Jul 2016

@yaneerbaryam Regulatory capture overriding Vermont GMO labeling bill: Why Activists Are Unhappy With New GMO Labeling Legislationhttp://ti.me/2adnKLH   Permalink 12:32 PM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Moving stuff to http://Academia.edu   The Skin In The Game Heuristic for Protection Against Tail Eventshttps://www.academia.edu/26989481/The_Skin_In_The_Game_Heuristic_for_Protection_Against_Tail_Events?s=t   Permalink 11:55 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@rahul_goa @nntaleb @vivakermani @normonics @yaneerbaryam Have annotated your image to show the ‘fundamental difference’ riskpic.twitter.com/wMDBbvEhKX Permalink 8:48 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Monsanto pulled no stop trying to discredit me: 1000 mails to Univ (!),>1000 shill posts. Nada. F***you money works.https://twitter.com/KenMcCarthy/status/753583908508278784   Permalink 6:44 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Compare shrinking sales of Monsanto GMOs to organic. Explains the HUGE lobby effort/shilling for GMOs.pic.twitter.com/wYdLcDhezw Permalink 6:10 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb GMO issue is ignorance of the properties of complex systems/fattails (Monsanto’s 107 Nobels, 80y.o. are 50 y behind)https://twitter.com/trisweb/status/753574340168388608   Permalink 6:04 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Some new proofs for preasymptotic behavior of exponential distribution and subexponential class.pic.twitter.com/F57u7IWH2J Permalink 5:43 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb For an idea of what’s expected frm technology/”growth” biz, look at AMZN vs MON. GMOs are in decline,organic growingpic.twitter.com/5oUyERBzav Permalink 4:53 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Good news re GMOs: I’ve never seen a real technology SHRINK yet survive, in spite of intense lobbying/shilling. Why Monsanto needs buyer. Permalink 4:39 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Bottom:Monsanto is a sick company,sales <2010,hence active GMO shilling w/Henry I Miller etc http://usrtk.org/hall-of-shame/why-you-cant-trust-henry-miller-on-gmos/  pic.twitter.com/cl6iDsZEBG Permalink 4:32 AM – 14 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Point: except for Mishnah Torah Maimonides wrote his major work in Arabic aiming at Islamic/Abrahamic readers @yzilber @HannahHedgehog Permalink 7:10 PM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb If OBD- Y… Or explicit Abd-Allah is so common in Semitic & preIslamic cultures it has to hark back to OVD-EL @amaatouq @kaplanfat Permalink 7:06 PM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Also Abdallah was translated into latin as Amadeus and Gr as Theophilos @amaatouq @kaplanfat Permalink 6:51 PM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb .@amaatouq @kaplanfat I read Islamic commentaries of Dalat al Ha2rin (perplexed) he was allowed to make pronouncements on Islamic law. Permalink 6:43 PM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Abdallah is a pre-Islamic name. Evidence is easy: guess.https://twitter.com/kaplanfat/status/753398371390545920   Permalink 6:21 PM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Abdallah was common among Iraqi Jews it is Obadiah @HannahHedgehog Permalink 6:10 PM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Was surprised to see Ibn Abdallah in Maimonides name http://www.newworldencyclopedia.org/entry/Maimonides   Permalink 5:30 PM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Maimonides name is Ibn Abdallah. Permalink 5:25 PM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The tiniest accolade from a classicist & erudite like @ArmandDAngour is worth >>> any compliment/prize/praisebyjourno etc. Permalink 5:30 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The strategy for meal-debates is to order mezze style so you can eat other’s food (frog legs) as they are fighting.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/752307005331742720   Permalink 5:24 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 1) Do not read books on time management/MBAbullshit 2) Do nothing that bores you & stop before something gets dullhttps://twitter.com/pdanielcabral/status/753195514376564737   Permalink 5:05 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb And sources for dabbaq in Arabic are scant; suspected Syriac origin http://www.baheth.info/all.jsp?term=  دبقpic.twitter.com/4rFAEEA5f1 Permalink 4:55 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Extension: dabba2, “sticky fingers” prob. comes from same root DBS, with corruption of SH =>Aleph Permalink 4:48 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Syrup itself in English, like “sorbet” coming probably from “SRB” to drink (Shurba) [an iced fruit cocoction] @ArmandDAngour Permalink 4:45 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb In other words DBS= glue, applies to both syrup and honey @ArmandDAngour Permalink 4:44 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Levantine roots du jour: 3asal=honey from Arabic 3asal, debs=syrup from Aramaic honey & syrup. (in Heb honey=DBSH)pic.twitter.com/gNeNVxFdbA Permalink 4:43 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb How GMOs are a fundamentally different process than other modifications, no track record. @normonics @yaneerbaryampic.twitter.com/9mo914nEan Permalink 4:07 AM – 13 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Continued: “For Ramanujan proofs were some strange European custom…”pic.twitter.com/k6PR0JE5Bk Permalink 6:30 PM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 2/2 Great book; Ramanujan is a “mathematical tinkerer” vs Hardy who worked from rulebook. Invites tinkering on Mathematica @stephen_wolfram Permalink 6:20 PM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Excellent! Only read on mathematicians by insiders.”Math=Youth”disappears when adjtd by life expect @stephen_wolframpic.twitter.com/52AzjK5asR Permalink 6:11 PM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The dialogue worked as when we switched to the solution, everyone was in agreement:decentralization @MaxAbrahms @Confusezeus @yaneerbaryam Permalink 5:54 PM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb For the record, for personal ethics, I do not comment abt @PTetlock’s works, etc; I only respond to psychobullshit about my own work. Permalink 3:10 PM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Here is paper, MrTetlock stop your psyshoBS show where explicit before Peters/Gell-mann https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/ppArXiv2.pdf  https://twitter.com/PTetlock/status/752832543158833156   Permalink 2:58 PM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Stop the bullshit: These are NOT counterexamples. Show me a SINGLE social paper that accounts for time prob problem.https://twitter.com/PTetlock/status/752832543158833156   Permalink 2:55 PM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Nice convergence of ideas on decentralization! Dialogue works! @MaxAbrahms @Confusezeus @yaneerbaryam Permalink 8:44 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Evidence that @Confusezeus is getting Salafi funding!https://twitter.com/habibahamid/status/752874960780230656   Permalink 7:52 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The Cambridge Debate @MaxAbrahms @Confusezeus @yaneerbaryampic.twitter.com/UPnQtnkZvr Permalink 7:42 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb I am witnessing a bitter fight between @MaxAbrahms @Confusezeus over ISIS/IRGC on a cafe terrace in Cambridge with @yaneerbaryam laughing. Permalink 7:35 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@MaxAbrahms @nntaleb @Confusezeus Apologists want people to think ISIS is defensive, not predatory. But ISIS wants to strike every country in the world. Permalink 5:44 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb ISIS apologists are never explicit; they say” ISIS is bad.. but” & offer some comparison @Confusezeus @MaxAbrahms Permalink 5:13 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Outside of Kelly criterion (still implicit) finance profs make ergodicity mistake. @yzilber @PTetlock @LionsWatson @pale_blue_dot__ Permalink 5:09 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb ISIS apologists keep pouding “comparative” arguments (Crusades, IRGC, Pilgrims, Assad) –typically as here, lame. @Confusezeus @MaxAbrahms Permalink 5:08 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb This is to debunk the BS: ALL social science/decision theory is missing the point. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-05-12/nassim-taleb-on-the-importance-of-probability   @PTetlock Permalink 4:45 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The point is that you cannot naively use probability for gambles @ardalby @PTetlock Permalink 4:44 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb And here is our revision to reflect Peters & Gell-Mann https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/ppArXiv2.pdf   @a_random_otter @PTetlock Permalink 4:43 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Not at all. First result (Other than ours) was shown in Gell-Mann Peters https://publishing.aip.org/publishing/journal-highlights/exploring-gambles-reveals-foundational-difficulty-behind-economic   @a_random_otter @PTetlock Permalink 4:40 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Show ONE paper in social science identifying ergodicity. ONE. @PTetlock Permalink 4:34 AM – 12 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The #DNDL category is just a fuzzy marker. But deadlifting is a state of mind.https://twitter.com/MDiPaolaMD/status/752653334293647360   Permalink 6:14 PM – 11 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The Séralini case is an interesting way to learn about smear campaign. Meanwhile we are finishing the PP paper.https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/752523326036250624   Permalink 3:12 PM – 11 Jul 2016

@caitlinrgreen Thanet, Tanit & the Phoenicians: Names, Archaeology & Pre-Roman Trading Settlements in Kent? http://www.caitlingreen.org/2015/04/thanet-tanit-and-the-phoenicians.html  pic.twitter.com/Npezp0bx9f Permalink 2:17 AM – 21 Apr 2015

@nntaleb Never argue with people in private (you will not convince them); argue in public to convince others. Permalink 10:31 AM – 11 Jul 2016

@MohsenGTW @Confusezeus does IRGC consider Sunnis apostates or enslave people? Do you read Persian? Do you have a brain? @nntaleb @MaxAbrahms Permalink 6:42 AM – 11 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Max’s argument: whatever detractors call a “Shia threat” is 100% local. Salafis have global aims (NY, Paris…) @MaxAbrahms @Confusezeus Permalink 6:40 AM – 11 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Nadim is v. open to both discussions & frog legs. 2 more trips to Boston Max & I will change his position @MaxAbrahms @Confusezeus Permalink 5:42 AM – 11 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Nadim, a Christian Lebanese & Saudi Barbaria apologist, has the Stockholm syndrome common to many Lebs in policy. @MaxAbrahms @Confusezeus Permalink 6:30 PM – 10 Jul 2016

@nntaleb So far Nadim has not been able to bring any logical or empirical argument against Max. I am just eating frog legs. @MaxAbrahms @Confusezeus Permalink 6:24 PM – 10 Jul 2016

@nntaleb With @MaxAbrahms in a heated debate with Nadim Shehadi @Confusezeus who sides with Saudi Barbaria. (Frog legs)pic.twitter.com/5mJLrTOS0P Permalink 6:02 PM – 10 Jul 2016

@nntaleb With @MaxAbrahms in a heated debate with Nadim Shehadi @Confusezeus who sides with Saudi Barbaria. (Frog legs)pic.twitter.com/woFBtaorE1 Permalink 6:02 PM – 10 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Finally, instead of driving to Boston, forgot about time, and proved the Lognormal convergence theorems!pic.twitter.com/rcGlVOpPZ1 Permalink 7:15 AM – 10 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Try the Inequalities cheat cheat @neilchriss http://www.lkozma.net/inequalities_cheat_sheet/ineq.pdf   Permalink 4:18 AM – 10 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Inverse Touring Test: The more you can be computerized, the less human you are.https://twitter.com/juliaclavien/status/751534001156984834   Permalink 3:55 AM – 10 Jul 2016

@kylef 500kg deadlift. Eddie Hall trying to Make Britain Great Againhttps://youtu.be/T9Y4o_BqC0A   Permalink 5:27 PM – 9 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Semiticology dujour: Semitic lang,unlike most Indo-Euro, have “day” (YWM) for 24 h &different “day” for the diurnal.pic.twitter.com/n8Mrdm9Vpc Permalink 7:00 AM – 9 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Define “nitpicking”https://twitter.com/Marina_the_Th/status/751772227532619776   Permalink 6:44 AM – 9 Jul 2016

@nntaleb A “nice person” is someone principally nice to those he/she doesn’t need to be nice to. #DailyEthics #Shillary Permalink 6:36 AM – 9 Jul 2016

@nntaleb At the core, with EU, people conflated 1) coordination of common (local) interests with 2) subjugation to a central authority Permalink 4:58 AM – 9 Jul 2016

@nntaleb More on Influences of Semitic roots in Egyptian language; pre-Islamic pre-Arabic https://books.google.com/books?id=GkcABAAAQBAJ&pg=PA540&dq=tlb+semitic&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjq7qCtp-bNAhUEcz4KHZo8A-sQ6AEISDAI#v=onepage&q&f=false   @lameensouag Permalink 4:50 AM – 9 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Hawn http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm  https://twitter.com/mhmalek/status/751525386589237248   Permalink 2:49 PM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb “Sakker shebbak w’ttala3 la barra” Levantine &~Aramaic. “Iqful el nafizah wa inthur ilal 5arij” Arabic. Rquires a mental defect to not see. Permalink 12:29 PM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The plot thickens. As***le. [2 words] “Bu5sh Tizo” Levantine “Bu5sh Tizo” Aramaic “Thaqb Iliatihi” Arabicpic.twitter.com/JJ2ZJzEhhe Permalink 12:20 PM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb “Zammar 3a l’kou3” Levantine “Zammar 3a l’kou3” Aramaic “Inshud 3al mun3atif” Arabic One has to be blind to not seepic.twitter.com/d8HiWiQwmN Permalink 12:11 PM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Public sector work should not be an investment strategy. @AustinGreenpic.twitter.com/fVqdqYp3Xv Permalink 12:08 PM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Single most potent arg. agst Centralized EU bureaucratistan: will be eventually owned by Goldman Sacks & Monsanto.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/751481083309486080   Permalink 11:36 AM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb It reeks of something all across. Read the paper [ASSUMING YOU TRUST RESULTS], read my p-value paper, let’s talk. @ryanbriggs Permalink 8:38 AM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The problem of Golden rice is side effects on system. Never take risks you don’t understand if you can do as well w/those you do. @raphaels7 Permalink 8:09 AM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Hahahaha! “β-Carotene in Golden Rice is as good as β-carotene in oil at providing vitamin A to children” RETRACTED http://retractionwatch.com/2015/07/30/golden-rice-paper-pulled-after-judge-rules-for-journal/   Permalink 7:41 AM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb In Antifragile & ALL socsci misses ergodicity/tails https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/ppArXiv2.pdf   @LionsWatson @pale_blue_dot__ @PTetlockpic.twitter.com/yP65WqHtLB Permalink 5:35 AM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Adding tutorials to lectures: Probability & Integral Transforms. Sense the shape of the distribution from its dual.pic.twitter.com/cqaLizQKwT Permalink 4:56 AM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 62 out of 63 finance/econ academics who traded engaged in tail selling strategies (a la LTCM )>> practitioners. @pale_blue_dot__ @PTetlock Permalink 4:07 AM – 8 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The IYI (Intellectual Yet Idiot) post has been read by 1.6 mil across social media. Bypass established IYI media!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/746879505659207680   Permalink 4:13 PM – 7 Jul 2016

@PaleoPhil @catsdad101 @nntaleb “Some people invoke “the naturalistic fallacy,” a philosophical concept that is limited to the moral domain.” -NNT 2014 Permalink 3:06 PM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Next week in Boston w/@yaneerbaryam revising PP, adding computational complexity /NP. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html  pic.twitter.com/NZJndoarIS Permalink 12:26 PM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Someone wrote a more polite critique of that ignorant #neiltyson idea of Rationalia.http://bit.ly/29baqdS   Permalink 12:13 PM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The InverseExpert is part of SKIN IN THE GAME. The problem is that, without SITG, inverse experts dominate.https://twitter.com/billpowers1970/status/751106877396746240   Permalink 10:34 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Food Corp. (incl. Evil Monsanto) are scared of the minority rule. But they’ve lost anyway. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/minority.pdf  https://twitter.com/SenSanders/status/751063380081905664   Permalink 10:32 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Expert: knows stuff NonExpert: me on Turkish grammar InverseExpert: Do oppositel; Brusselcrats, Sunstein,Stiglitz,Thaler,Merton,Scholes,etc. Permalink 10:27 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Those who think Levantine is a “dialect”of Arabic don’t know Aramaic/Semitic lang http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm   @HouariBdz @abisinello @LinaArabii Permalink 9:50 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb عيد فطر مبارك. ينعاد عليكم بدوام الصحة و العافية. Permalink 9:17 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@abisinello Lebanese risk analyst Nassim Nicholas Taleb vs Garry Kasparov on military interventions in the Middle East.pic.twitter.com/SNSxSC7dt1 Permalink 1:57 PM – 28 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Another explanation of Scale Dependent Properties: Some may believe *armies create wars* but nobody sane believes *police create robberies*. Permalink 8:20 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb “Scientism of the idiot” (GMO #neiltyson): belief that one should replace a natural hand with an artificial one to satisfy “sc. progress” Permalink 7:31 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Pinker’s book relies on a lot of words that hide absence of a CENTRAL detail. @DrCirillo @JonathanWaxman1pic.twitter.com/lOLqybUVjA Permalink 6:23 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Statistical science (via prob theo) sets naturally the limits of statistical science. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1691165&download=yes   @psybertron @JonathanWaxman1 Permalink 5:51 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Problem with Pinker boy is that he made statistical claims without knowing what he is talking about. @JonathanWaxman1 Permalink 5:44 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb All cheap tawk. Blair should be forced to live the rest of his life in Bagdad/Mosul, or Raqqah. #skininthegamehttps://twitter.com/TheGreenParty/status/750642762203009024   Permalink 5:42 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb What are the odds that someone expressing distress at the “choice” w/ the two presidential candidates (who will vote) would vote Trump? Permalink 5:40 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Economics/philosopy prof does not count as “proper job”. Actually, reverse. Kapish? @miamoisio @JonathanWaxman1 @_Foolosophy_ @Nigel_Farage Permalink 5:33 AM – 7 Jul 2016

@food_democracy These brave Senators stood w/ the American public over backroom deals to label GMOs! http://bit.ly/29p69Ra   #Heroespic.twitter.com/DN8Badw8wA Permalink 7:16 PM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Delenda est Monsanto; […] Ceterum, censeo … Delenda Monsanto esthttps://twitter.com/NonGMOProject/status/750802613071863809   Permalink 2:37 PM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb When I saw @Nigel_Farage telling the empty suits in Brussels “none of you had a proper job”, I knew he had been a trader. Turned out he was. Permalink 2:19 PM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Similarly: Nobody should ever hold office unless he/she had a “proper job” (outside politics/tawking) for at least 10 years and 3 months. Permalink 2:13 PM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb With funding cuts as w/fall of Soviet Union, academics are laid off. What will an academic economist be used for? Permalink 12:23 PM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Q: How many of the IYI who think Brexit is “irrational” + Thought Iraq was a good idea + Think GMOs are safe, “science” not scientism Permalink 10:52 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb So you think you understand enough of the workings of the world to pronounce pro-Brexit as “stupid”? I hold the exact opposite. @ianbremmer Permalink 10:27 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb How to purify academic research from BS, remove the ritualistic game, make it real. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10153956847823375  pic.twitter.com/GAYiDrRmZn Permalink 7:19 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Son grand theme est le déclin de l’universitaire médiéval au profit de l’intellectuel humaniste. @OHSAISONS @AlexDroite Permalink 5:36 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb For researchers, a day job should be mandatory: Patent clerc Lensmaker Rentier Country priest Postman Mafia operative Trader @AlexDroite Permalink 4:54 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb In Academia, abt everyone, individually,knows 99% of research are substance-free ritualistic BS but,collectively,behaves as if it weren’t so Permalink 4:51 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Le Goff despised academia; praised research by nonteachers. @AlexDroitepic.twitter.com/aQm9rMlcxD Permalink 4:36 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Uploaded ‘The Decline of Violent Conflicts: What Do The Data Really Say’ [debunking Pinker BS]http://www.academia.edu/26772813/The_Decline_of_Violent_Conflicts_What_Do_The_Data_Really_Say   Permalink 4:31 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@jeorgen Taleb keeps bringing down the modernist project. The high priests of scientism (not real science) need to be exposedhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/750488970425954304   Permalink 1:44 AM – 6 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The answer is: no.https://twitter.com/bonnicit/status/750518265043161088   Permalink 7:52 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb I worked 21y full-time in a highly stressful job, researched, studied & wrote 3 books at night. I have NO sympathy for entitlement-academia. Permalink 6:26 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Brilliant, citable: “a set of fixed rituals around grant proposals” Saifedean Ammous @saifedean Permalink 6:20 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb If you have to be told how to do research, don’t do research. @BeOpsguy Permalink 6:06 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The results that came from industry yet misappropriated by academic PR machine “lecturing birds how to fly”.pic.twitter.com/DiDe3FaSig Permalink 5:38 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The main result of Borel was published in obscure “Palermo math circle” “Rendiconti del Circolo Matematico di Palermo” @neilchriss Permalink 5:30 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@_jmgomez_ @pasku1 I prefer the other one from @nntaleb,”Academia is to knowledge what prostitution is to love;the surface but,to the nonsucker,not…” Permalink 5:14 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@habibh Lebanese Entrepreneurs Are Coming Home, and Bringing Billions http://www.ozy.com/fast-forward/lebanese-entrepreneurs-are-coming-home-and-bringing-billions/70407#.V3ufGzir2jQ.twitter   via @ozy Permalink 4:51 AM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb No. 2 chapters in #Antifragile. Academ produced << than industry/freelance in spite of resources; good PR machine.https://twitter.com/albertop78/status/750451396877615105   Permalink 3:20 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb I know a few people who published several hundred papers without saying anything. Academia shd focus on education; decommoditize research. Permalink 1:32 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb You “need” academia to do research about as much as you “need” a tractor to tour New York City.pic.twitter.com/1c5plbZhcO Permalink 12:46 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Ad Hominem is legit if the record links to the opinion (SITG). Don’t ask a blown up trader to evaluate tail risk.https://twitter.com/InjuredThales/status/750402931719958528   Permalink 12:05 PM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The only reason we don’t see the difficulties of the Lognormal is because finance pple work w/daily sig=.005-.01; things blow up at sig >1. Permalink 10:43 AM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Joining Academia to do research is like joining the mafia to learn Italian. Permalink 9:16 AM – 5 Jul 2016

@FrankQuattrone Says the man who once indicted me over a 23-word email that encouraged my team to save subpoenaed documentshttps://twitter.com/recode/status/750349802269990912   Permalink 8:31 AM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb It IS ad hominem: Nobelled supporting GMOs w/sole backup their “credibility”, not derivations. Hence EXPERTISE is fair game @ademarcisnegro Permalink 8:51 AM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Nobel laureate GMO promoter presided over firm that lost billions http://www.gmwatch.org/news/latest-news/17091-nobel-laureate-who-signed-letter-promoting-gmos-presided-over-firm-that-lost-billions   Permalink 8:19 AM – 5 Jul 2016

@tparsi Stunning piece on how Saudi/Qatari funded mosques are spreading Salafism and secterianism in Swedish (!) suburbs… http://www.expressen.se/nyheter/longread/utanforskapet-inifran/har-i-orebro-vill-jag-rycka-tag-i-barnen-och-saga-ingen-mer-ska-till-paradiset/   Permalink 10:09 PM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Lognormal is hardest of distributions in preasymtotics: sums behave erratically; no MGF/CHF. Back to stand up desk.pic.twitter.com/qByDXtg2xk Permalink 6:50 AM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The last step in the 3000 year Semitic convergence to pure, abstract, obsessive & uncompromising monotheism.https://twitter.com/byzantinepower/status/750282289519538176   Permalink 6:17 AM – 5 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Hillary Monsanto-Malmaison, warmonger WikiLeaks Releases Over 1,000 Clinton Iraq War Emails – Breitbarthttp://bit.ly/29hg7rC   Permalink 6:52 PM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb QUESTION 1:What are the animals that don’t appear to age & what is their life expectancy? QUESTION 2:Are there human organs that don’t age? Permalink 1:07 PM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb ANSWER: Life expect. wld be, at 0,50,100, 1000 ~1/p ( p is fatal accident rate). (But human race wd go extinct, as no evol. if env. changes) Permalink 12:10 PM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Capicoli pronounced “Gabagool” @pwalnuts1156 @CGasparino @EmanuelDerman @mndl_nyc Permalink 7:20 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Fucking idiot, “criticism” is something specific (e.g. “Theorem x is wrong”) or backed-up not drunken BS spouted in a bar. @PieterDuboisFI Permalink 7:17 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 2/2 Sicilian is so different from Tuscan that for a long time Cavour thought that Sicilians were still speaking Arabic. @EmanuelDerman Permalink 7:12 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 1/2 Not “Italian”: Sicilian & Calabrese (“Kalabez”), don’t pronounce the last vowel a la Tuscan. Also “Gabish”. @EmanuelDerman @mndl_nyc Permalink 7:09 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb People think in sub-log scale. For the crowds, 350 billion and 350 millions aren’t too different. @diomavro @vaLondon @kateantiquity Permalink 6:32 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb There is a minority of trolls on the web (<1% trolling 95%). Shut them down & life gets much much better http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/smear.html   @mndl_nyc Permalink 6:25 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb You are not Kapishing the problem. There are disagreements, & there is trolling. Latter is unconditional to content. @mndl_nyc Permalink 6:23 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb You need to shut down EU (made in linear 50s-70s) & rebuild a la CHF in accordance w/logic of complex systems. @kateantiquity @James_Raynard Permalink 6:19 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Methodology with twitter: Typical troll by BS-vendors (doesn’t show *where* wrong). Block him and ALL his followers.pic.twitter.com/5qG0cKgECR Permalink 6:04 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Don’t look for proximate cause: You can’t have 1)voting rights, 2)social media, and 3)patronizing elite at once @kateantiquity Permalink 5:22 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb P-VALUES: Added a paper on http://Academia.edu   : why p-values are BS/cannot be used for risk analyses.https://www.academia.edu/26704758/The_Meta-Distribution_of_Standard_P-Values   Permalink 5:15 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The Great John Gray on Brexit:pic.twitter.com/M1vTHrxYxT Permalink 4:57 AM – 4 Jul 2016

@nntaleb I thought I did with Antifragile and this paper https://www.academia.edu/26660005/_Anti_Fragility_and_Convex_Responses_in_Medicine  https://twitter.com/KDHabibi/status/749726795931521028   Permalink 4:31 PM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The view of a complex system from a complex system science vantage point is different. Learn fron @yaneerbaryam !https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/749711891300220928   Permalink 2:24 PM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb QUIZ du jour: If humans didn’t age, how long would they live? What would their life expectancy be at 100 compared to that at 50? Permalink 11:44 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb In SILENT RISK:Anyone who utters expr. “Knightian Risk” or distinguishes betw “risk” & “uncertainty” is incompetent:pic.twitter.com/9OYfeaBis2 Permalink 10:36 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Changing SILENT RISK from 1 column book size to 2 columns 8 1/2 by 1.pic.twitter.com/wvKQnw9L5F Permalink 9:59 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@GhassanDahhan Sure! Just like those jihadis from France, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Canada, The Netherlands, Luxembourg & Finland.https://twitter.com/KenRoth/status/749102157543026692   Permalink 9:22 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Wittgenstein. He is the one who understood why religious beliefs should not be analyzed. @hamandcheese @ChrisSpoke @Chris_arnade Permalink 9:12 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Even more weirdness on the part of the Lognormalpic.twitter.com/Tv1qXTQgoi Permalink 7:47 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Single account is easiest…But some people are annoyed by heavy math, others love it. Everyone loves beating on @JustinWolfers @mjd1735 Permalink 7:34 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Another way to check the weird fat-tailedness of the Lognormal.pic.twitter.com/ZaGsczMyq8 Permalink 7:30 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Twitter activities: + Busting BS vendors + Fighting evil firms (eg Monsanto) + Philology + Math/prob + Squid ink Permalink 7:09 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb NYU human resources, dean, secretary, everyone was swamped with emails. @mjd1735 @carolhoernlein @AndreaSaltelli @philipbstark Permalink 7:00 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Same Monsanto’s PR firm as the 107 Nobels send>1500 emails to NYU pathologizing my GMO stance @carolhoernlein @AndreaSaltelli @philipbstark Permalink 6:57 AM – 3 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Squid ink with wine from Puglia, the crypto-Byzantine region of Italy. @joe54stpic.twitter.com/LcgMsyv2do Permalink 5:50 PM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The imbecile didn’t read proof that PROBABILISTIC cost/benefit fails under systemic ruin. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/ppArXiv2.pdf  https://twitter.com/FabiusMaximus01/status/749354418647080960   Permalink 2:32 PM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Another one who doesn’t deadlift.https://twitter.com/rgncny/status/748906900738244608   Permalink 2:10 PM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: Lognormal with high sigma (>=4) behaves in convergence ~ like Cauchy, slow for v. large sums.pic.twitter.com/jaWM1gnrgZ Permalink 2:06 PM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Zaki is also Aramaic (“Bass” interesting bec. from Persian=>Hindi) All Expression Zaki Bass 7mar Aramaic. @Jaguitapic.twitter.com/eVPwQDHsAi Permalink 1:40 PM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb IYI (Intellectual yet Idiot) from Levantine “Zaki bass 7mar” (“bass” is Aramaic from Md. Pers.);corresponds to Mod. Hebrew חמור נושא ספרים Permalink 12:15 PM – 2 Jul 2016

@tparsi This image by Saudi embassy needs to include data on the number of Salafi terrorists Saudi has funded & created…https://twitter.com/SaudiEmbassyUSA/status/748512242627411968   Permalink 11:48 AM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb I’d take any minute the decision of an imbecile over that of an educated imbecile.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/749259342617214976   Permalink 8:29 AM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb My belief: “tawkers” are a bunch of nerds ignorant of complexity of systems, can’t find a coconut in Coconut island.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/749208168081784832   Permalink 8:12 AM – 2 Jul 2016

@DrCirillo If you kill variability, you kill selection. If you kill selection, you kill the markets. Permalink 6:05 AM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Wittgenstein’s ruler: Either “talkers”are smart & voters are indeed stupid, or Voters are smart & tawkers are stupidhttps://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/749206679577911296   Permalink 4:48 AM – 2 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Our GMO discussion: The Precautionary Principle page http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html  pic.twitter.com/EXphyFiBlT Permalink 4:44 AM – 2 Jul 2016

@SPWinterstein @nntaleb this boils down the problem in “John hit the ball” language that even I can understand. Elegant and true.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/749041745661403136   Permalink 7:36 PM – 1 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The #Brexit rebellion against “experts”: it is easier to macrobullshit than microbullshit. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10153947005293375  pic.twitter.com/XeJ6l7hHzK Permalink 5:47 PM – 1 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Trying http://Academia.edu   (Anti)Fragility and Convex Responses in Medicinehttps://www.academia.edu/26660005/_Anti_Fragility_and_Convex_Responses_in_Medicine?s=t   Permalink 5:10 PM – 1 Jul 2016