I just published “Why Each One Should Eat His Own Turtles (Revised )” https://t.co/LF4asSykFM
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) July 1, 2017
@nntaleb Starts around :55 Permalink 3:25 PM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb I was wondering if someone knows the lyrics/name of this. I saw the performers in Granada. The singer is Paya.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_aSOZ9YKARg&list=WL&index=7 Permalink 3:22 PM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb #BF Block on Friday: every person who follows CNN. Permalink 12:31 PM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Modernity: we go much, much better at explaining than understanding. Permalink 12:08 PM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Buy real estate they call overpriced Read books called overrated Invest in markets called “irrational” Do things you enjoy but can’t explain Permalink 11:28 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@normonics accords with my priors: individualism enables voluntary collectives (which are superior to involuntary collectives).https://twitter.com/SteveStuWill/status/883305042484248576 Permalink 10:47 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@CutTheKnotMath A Not Quite Cyclic Inequality http://www.cut-the-knot.org/arithmetic/algebra/NotQuiteCyclicInequality.shtml #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/MLxgTxzno9″> pic.twitter.com/MLxgTxzno9 Permalink 7:19 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb (cont) you can have a large distributor. Large producers usually fail. Permalink 6:46 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@normonics my take with application to a Monsanto shillhttp://jwnorman.com/?page_id=237 Permalink 6:09 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb “Economies of scale” are not compatible with reduced survival in SP500, or extinction of large animals. Large is fragile. See #Antifragile Permalink 5:59 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Actually, ad hominem is NOT a logical fallacy is case of “opinion”. MDs= credentials. Courts require credentials before opinion.https://twitter.com/charlesmurray/status/883304333848215552 Permalink 5:57 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Even the counterample, BOEING, is a coordinator of hundreds of small suppliers & 000s sub-suppliers. Permalink 4:43 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb CNN never retracted the Aleppo stories that we now know are fake These BS vendors need a terminal lawsuit. storyhttp://nyp.st/2sklry1 Permalink 4:24 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Simply: Find A restaurant that has >200 tables and serves good food A large winery that makes drinkable wine Same w/farms Permalink 4:03 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Scale matters: small/medium is beautiful, more stable & genuinely more efficient long term. Large becomes top-down.https://twitter.com/foeeurope/status/883259295990730752 Permalink 3:33 AM – 7 Jul 2017
@pauld1981 FK-U muscles weight lifting allow you use in any conversation, see NNT discussion abt looking like a bodyguardhttps://twitter.com/EngageTheRebels/status/882617642556817409 Permalink 3:43 PM – 6 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Heuristics for an unhappy country https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10155029966868375 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Qr0Pqu21AN”> pic.twitter.com/Qr0Pqu21AN Permalink 2:55 PM – 6 Jul 2017
@nntaleb As we saw with the Gawker story, journalists fail to get the First Amendment. So with sub-intellects of CNN…https://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/883031709771603968 Permalink 11:44 AM – 6 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Apologies, the con artist is @Charles_Lister, I tagged the wrong person. Permalink 9:06 AM – 6 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Why does @Ehsani22 a v. successful, smart man who knows Syria, keeps fighting with shoddy, low-IQ, AlQaeda/Qatar shills like @CharlesLister?https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/882984305617760258 Permalink 8:39 AM – 6 Jul 2017
@DrCirillo Why you should be careful when using the Gini index under fat tails. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1707.01370.pdf Joint with @nntaleb and A. Fontanari. Permalink 2:17 AM – 6 Jul 2017
@nntaleb “All models are wrong, many are useful, some are deadly.” [SITG]https://twitter.com/DataSciFact/status/882664195652820992 Permalink 11:21 AM – 5 Jul 2017
@nntaleb A @CutTheKnotMath problem solved by cheating via computational mathematics. https://www.dropbox.com/s/yafwobxq7nkl32i/bogojuly5.tex?dl=0 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/qJ7V9sPVvo”> pic.twitter.com/qJ7V9sPVvo Permalink 9:57 AM – 5 Jul 2017
@wgryan I’d gladly give you the code, but watching @nntaleb bat people around like a cat with a rubber mouse is too fun. Permalink 9:30 PM – 4 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Free-markets: a mechanism by which the strong continuously & unrelentlessly preys on the strong.https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 Permalink 8:40 AM – 4 Jul 2017
@nntaleb GINI paper with @DrCirillo pic.twitter.com/VdlxCjCCrT Permalink 8:05 AM – 4 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Here is who Henry I Miller is:https://usrtk.org/hall-of-shame/why-you-cant-trust-henry-miller-on-gmos/ Permalink 2:40 PM – 3 Jul 2017
@nntaleb “If powerful assholes don’t find you arrogant, you are doing something wrong.” (B. of Proc.) (Henry Miller is a shill for Monsanto & oth.) pic.twitter.com/GT4tEpJzUb Permalink 2:32 PM – 3 Jul 2017
@_aleferres @nntaleb antique roman concrete is a great example of antifragility and lindy effecthttp://www.nature.com/news/seawater-is-the-secret-to-long-lasting-roman-concrete-1.22231 Permalink 2:01 PM – 3 Jul 2017
@nntaleb techne vs epistemehttps://twitter.com/iMetaldog/status/881901916929773573 Permalink 8:53 AM – 3 Jul 2017
@nntaleb And there is conflation between eating “too much” meat and “too often” (i.e. lack of fasting). https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/RWRI%205/medicine.pdf Permalink 8:22 AM – 3 Jul 2017
@nntaleb I block fools at the first such remark as “excuse to disenfranchise & persecute ppl”. Permalink 7:36 AM – 3 Jul 2017
@nntaleb So the problem could be nitrate, not meat. Kapish? Permalink 7:27 AM – 3 Jul 2017
@nntaleb If we’ve been eating animals for > 300 million years & some “study” says it’s “unhealthy”, odds study is wrong/misspecified. #LindyEffect Permalink 7:17 AM – 3 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Rather, We’re eating too much sugar and it’s making us sickhttps://twitter.com/careygillam/status/881863793571229697 Permalink 6:35 AM – 3 Jul 2017
@Protect_Wldlife What senseless waste. Why would you kill such a gentle creature? For ‘sport’?!? Please RT if you want a global ban on ALL trophy hunting. pic.twitter.com/kdFUNjentf Permalink 4:17 AM – 3 Jul 2017
@nntaleb A marker for a charlatan: someone who uses arguments type”this is the best model we have”. Skin in the game pple use ONLY reliable models. Permalink 5:34 PM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb A marker for a charlatan: someone who uses arguments type”this is the best model we have”. Skin in the game pple use ONLY reliable models. Permalink 5:34 PM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb All models are wrong. Some are lethal.https://twitter.com/2qaz1wsx/status/881620673596186624 Permalink 2:18 PM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Do you use the map of Tokyo in Rome? Or better nothing? Why is it that people don’t get that nothing beats BS. Permalink 2:04 PM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Gawker’s predatorial voyeurism (>20yo college girls) has NOTHING to do w/free-speech Tort laws protect citizens Journos are self-serving.https://twitter.com/nobodyspeakfilm/status/878231698470719489 Permalink 11:20 AM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb To the freq. question, “which book to learn probability?” DO NOT start w/books. Do zillions of Monte Carlo, play & play until you get it. Permalink 7:48 AM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Where I explain why if some psychology results is not BS, your grandmother already knows about ithttps://medium.com/incerto/an-expert-called-lindy-fdb30f146eaf Permalink 7:14 AM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Socialscience trying to look like science is like an aged man w/dyed hair & excessive facial surgery; ends up looking both v. old & v. fake. Permalink 7:08 AM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb The core of the problem: 1) social scientists want to “learn statistics” w/o understanding probability. 2) social science is NOT science.https://twitter.com/yzilber/status/881404277612101632 Permalink 6:10 AM – 2 Jul 2017
@nntaleb A sign of development for a country is in the lack of prestige for government officials. Permalink 5:26 PM – 1 Jul 2017
@nntaleb The Roman army did not employ slaves (except during one Punic war). Only the free can fight. Permalink 1:52 PM – 1 Jul 2017
@nntaleb Marion Nestle @marionnestle needs to have Ukrainian hacker friends who block the low-IQ Monsanto trolls.http://www.alternet.org/food/my-blog-no-longer-accepts-comments-thanks-gmo-trolls#.WVgJPGlbW8E.twitter Permalink 1:44 PM – 1 Jul 2017
@NonMeek .@nntaleb Found an old gem from rereading #FooledByRandomness. Great, great book indeed. pic.twitter.com/pUe8XiBaKM Permalink 9:55 AM – 1 Jul 2017
@nntaleb The problem with psychology & other BS sciences: they are highly convincing, but only temporarily so. Permalink 7:11 AM – 1 Jul 2017
@nntaleb I just published “Why Each One Should Eat His Own Turtles (Revised )”https://medium.com/p/why-each-one-should-eat-his-own-turtles-revised-8a4be2f11e61 Permalink 5:47 AM – 1 Jul 2017
@nntaleb 2) It is hard to define “fairness”, “justice” & other terms by SJW; never hard to define freedom. Libertarians put liberty over all else. Permalink 11:21 AM – 30 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Liberty prevails over other concerns s.a. “fairness”, “democracy”: It is analytically & legally much more robust.https://www.aspeninstitute.org/aspen-journal-of-ideas/eight-misconceptions-free-speech-campus/ Permalink 11:19 AM – 30 Jun 2017
@nntaleb BTW here is the main distinction between AntiFragility & Robustness https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/finaltalebdouady%20QUANTITATIVE%20FINANCE.pdf.pdf Permalink 11:07 AM – 30 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Cans someone educate that idiot?https://twitter.com/NielsPflaeging/status/880805101518106625 Permalink 10:29 AM – 30 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Western Syria: mostly J2 haplogroup, w/some R1b from Neolithic settlements. Eastern Syria: mostly J1. Just a comment.https://twitter.com/BBassem7/status/880431308010213377 Permalink 8:13 AM – 30 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Solution, a bit of work. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/bogomolnyJune302017.tex ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/toMUSQwF25″> pic.twitter.com/toMUSQwF25 Permalink 4:47 AM – 30 Jun 2017
@gazmills14 @mrjamesob Mr @nntaleb has an excellent solution to ensure corners are not cut & risky practices are not hidden – apply skin in the game pic.twitter.com/V8Fwg8KHC0 Permalink 3:02 AM – 30 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Riemann Surfaces, sort of. Below is the Abr. & Stig. now used for 50 years! pic.twitter.com/vDJoDNrAv8 Permalink 2:55 AM – 30 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Not enough. As we saw with Gawker, they can increase ratings by predation over individuals. Permalink 12:19 PM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb It’s a bad idea to NOT sue CNN, @Scaramucci. Unless CNN has skin in the game, they will continue harming citizens. http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/340005-scaramucci-reports-on-threats-of-legal-action-against-cnn-overblown#.WVVRfmY5ALk.twitter Permalink 12:15 PM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Usually, if I insult someone, it is that 1) I have written him off as a bullshitter (Pinker), 2) I find him dangerous somewhere… Permalink 11:53 AM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Regulation vs Legal Systems pic.twitter.com/6LH7wbdS30 Permalink 11:52 AM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb You remember the insults you received far more than those you gave. Permalink 11:13 AM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb MSM media is pro-AlQaeda.https://twitter.com/Souria4Syrians/status/880133359086776320 Permalink 8:02 AM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb QUIZ duJour: Find 2 variables X and Y with 0 correlation, yet are 100% “dependent”,( if you know what a realization of X, you guess Y.) Permalink 6:14 AM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb The map misses J2 in Italy (South, Estrusca) “una una faccia una razza”, Corsica, & Western Spain, & R1a in Anatolia/Levant. @fadyasly Permalink 6:00 AM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Simplifies everything.https://twitter.com/fadyasly/status/880399623843663879 Permalink 5:39 AM – 29 Jun 2017
@nntaleb If you were Greek in 1901, the place to be would have been Alexandria, Constantinople, Smyrna,.., perhaps Beirut. Not Athens. Nation States!https://twitter.com/CCavafy/status/880332402165501958 Permalink 1:19 AM – 29 Jun 2017
@EvaKerner .@CBinsights asking @nntaleb of #blackswans his take on cryptocurrencies: alternative currencies not signed by Larry Summers is paramount. pic.twitter.com/8UsGfDniG9 Permalink 2:18 PM – 28 Jun 2017
@hazelmulhare ‘we are not made for comfort’ Wow. @nntaleb unbelievably excellent talk on ‘anti fragile’ at #futurefintech pic.twitter.com/iT54IdfyQY Permalink 2:14 PM – 28 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Gettinghttps://twitter.com/lcdavis1225/status/880150871241367552 Permalink 1:03 PM – 28 Jun 2017
@investingidiocy To recap: Rule #1: We don’t talk about Fight Club Rule #2: …. or The Wolf of Wall Street And Rule #3: We don’t troll @nntaleb Permalink 2:08 AM – 28 Jun 2017
@vxschmid @nntaleb says this is when the ketchup blasts out of the bottle #igwt17 @RonStoeferle pic.twitter.com/mp0NJUgVFj Permalink 8:25 AM – 27 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Self assessment. Like economics. pic.twitter.com/WD1W9WKVpf Permalink 7:40 AM – 27 Jun 2017
@nntaleb Is fragile what wants minimum variation around the average. Definition.https://twitter.com/jaipresto/status/879603544986353665 Permalink 3:05 AM – 27 Jun 2017