Tag Archives: book review

Black Swan author Nassim Nicholas Taleb divides the world into three – Arts, Books, Uncategorized – Macleans.ca

But what’s the book about? It’s part philosophy, part theories of political economy with a smattering of Taleb’s rules for living “antifragile” in a fragile world.

Antifragile divides the world into three categories: antifragile, robust and fragile. Taleb says, “If I asked you what the opposite of fragile is, you would say, robust. That is wrong.” The author suggests antifragile means something that grows stronger under pressure. Antifragility welcomes stresses and adapts and thrives during black swans. On the other hand, something that is fragile avoids disorder and is susceptible to destruction during unpredictable shocks. If something is robust, it can absorb shocks but it remains unchanged. According to Antifragile, bureaucrats are fragile while entrepreneurs are antifragile; politicians are fragile, a truck driver is robust and an artist is antifragile; debt is fragile, equity is robust and venture capital is antifragile.

As for where Canada rates on his antifragile scale, Taleb says Canada is not antifragile but robust. “Canada is more robust than the United States because you have natural resources and less debt and you are more decentralized because of the Quebec problem.”

Can’t resist a few more snippets from this excellent review (one of the few I’ve read where I learned anything new. Kudos to Macleans and Jana Juginovic).

“Canada survived because you had lower levels of debt in the system. What happened is you have commodities, and when there is hyperinflation, you guys go through the moon. I own Canadian dollars as a hedge against inflation. Canada is like Russia without the Russians.”

And is this really what’s behind Taleb’s ‘The Pinker Problem’?

But he also displays an incredible sense of loyalty. After the 2002 New Yorker profile, of which Taleb complained that Gladwell “made me seem gloomy and I’m not gloomy,” the two writers became friends. In 2009, Gladwell told a C-SPAN interviewer that he feels an intellectual kinship with Taleb.

So, when the renowned Canadian-born Harvard psychologist Steven Pinker penned a critical review in The New York Times of fellow Canadian Malcolm Gladwell’s novel, What the Dog Saw, Taleb rushed to Gladwell’s defense. “I got furious. I feel loyalty for someone who does something nice for you, when you are nobody.” Taleb wrote a scathing critique of Pinker’s research in The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence has Declined. In his critique, titled “The Pinker problem,” Taleb claims Pinker’s book is riddled with errors in sampling and doesn’t “recognize the difference between rigorous empiricism and anecdotal statements.” Pinker responded with his own paper in which he writes, “Taleb shows no signs of having read Better Angels.”

via Black Swan author Nassim Nicholas Taleb divides the world into three – Arts, Books, Uncategorized – Macleans.ca.

Give us a break – NYPOST.com

Taleb’s new word is in the title of his new book “Antifragile.” It’s a kind of philosophical essay that reinforces and expands upon 20th-century economist Joseph Schumpeter’s concept of creative destruction. Some things need to break in order for the whole to improve, and we resist this tendency — by coddling fragile systems such as banking — at our peril. Yet at this moment, the coddlers, or “fragilistas,” as Taleb calls them, are very much in charge.

If antifragility means redundancy — when you keep extra commodities on hand in case of natural disaster, you are actually better off after a hurricane because the price of the items you hold skyrockets — then debt is a particularly dangerous kind of fragility. Debt can spiral, accelerate. At a firm, doubts about your solvency can lead to a “margin call,” which in turn means you have to raise more money.

via Give us a break – NYPOST.com.

Having “Skin in the Game” | The Nader PageThe Nader Page

This is what Taleb means when he says this type of “heads I win, tails you lose” privilege is possessed by executives. He adds that “this system is called ‘incentive-based’ and supposed to correspond to capitalism. Supposedly managers’ interests are aligned with those of the shareholders. What incentive? There is upside and no downside, no disincentive at all.” In short, “no skin in the game.”

Likewise, when Congress abdicated their constitutional war-declaring authority to President George W. Bush in 2003, members of Congress and their families had no skin in the game. These politicians who gave Bush the power to unlawfully invade Iraq paid no price. Indeed, they retained their upwardly mobile status. The White House with its mass propaganda machine and the cowardly Congress paid no penalties for violating the Constitution.

Had there been a law requiring the drafting of able-bodied, age-qualified members of their families whenever the government plunged the country into war, these legislators would have had a personal downside. There would have been deliberative public hearings, where some of the hundreds of vocal anti-war retired high military, national security and diplomatic officials would have exposed the Bush/Cheney lies, deceptions and cover-ups leading to catastrophe for the people of Iraq, the U.S. economy, and military families who especially suffered the downsides.

via Having “Skin in the Game” | The Nader PageThe Nader Page.
HatTip to @DaveMc9ee

Nassim Taleb Is Annoying, but “Antifragile” Is Still Worth Reading | Cross-Check, Scientific American Blog Network

In short, Taleb resists categorization. If I had to pigeonhole him, I’d call him an anti-guru guru. That is, he mercilessly bashes other gurus, pundits and prophets and warns you not to fall for them. He depicts himself as a brave, lonely truth-teller in a world of fools and frauds. In so doing, he becomes a guru himself, with a cult-like following. Many gurus—from Socrates to Jiddu Krishnamurti, one of the most successful gurus of the 1960s—have successfully employed this anti-guru schtick.

Like Taleb’s 2007 bestseller The Black Swan, Antifragile brims with bluster, mean-spirited diatribes and chest-thumping self-congratulation. I nonetheless recommend it, because the book is entertaining and provocative in the best sense. That is, even if you question what Taleb is saying—and you certainly should—he forces you to examine your own biases and assumptions. Yes, he can be irritating, but so are many of our most original thinkers.

via Nassim Taleb Is Annoying, but “Antifragile” Is Still Worth Reading | Cross-Check, Scientific American Blog Network.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his enemiesThe Deep End

Taleb is not one to avoid the words ‘I told you so’ – something which gets up the up-turned noses of his establishment critics. But, that is not the only reason for the hostility directed at him. Taleb has found new ways of annoying people, especially those on the left. David Runciman identifies their main complaint:

“Taleb thinks modern states become fragile when they get into debt, and that a prerequisite of political antifragility is rigid fiscal conservatism.”

Leftwingers enjoyed The Black Swan because it exposed the intellectual bankruptcy of the financial establishment. However, though Taleb continues to excoriate the cheerleaders of vulture capitalism, he also shows that they are all of a piece with the advocates of debt-fuelled statism.

In other words, Taleb, in his own defiantly eccentric, willfully cantankerous fashion, has shown himself to be a proper conservative. And his critics – whether of the left, right or centre – don’t like that at all.

via Nassim Nicholas Taleb and his enemiesThe Deep End.