Why Each One Should Eat His Own Turtles: Equality in Uncertainty
It was said that a group of fishermen caught a large number of turtles. After cooking them, they found out at the communal meal that these sea animals were much less edible that they thought: not many members of the group were willing to eat them. But Mercury happened to be passing by –Mercury was the most multitasking, sort of put-together god, as he was the boss of commerce, abundance, messengers, the underworld, as well as the patron of thieves and brigands and, not surprisingly, luck. The group invited him to join them and offered him the turtles to eat. Detecting that he was only invited to relieve them of the unwanted food, he forced them all to eat the turtles, thus establishing the principle that you need to eat what you feed others.
@nntaleb New version of my paper on power laws with stochastic exponent https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.02369 Permalink 5:14 PM – 4 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 2) Actually there is a heuristic, my days: “A good chess player makes a sharp trader. An excellent chess player makes a dumb trader.” Permalink 7:13 AM – 4 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Garry Boy @Kasparov63 I agree for removing Assad if you settle in Syria & deal w/effects. #SkinInTheGame #SecondOrderEffects #LudicFallacyhttps://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/848989093803552768 Permalink 6:58 AM – 4 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 2) As @ArmandDAngour can confirm, “Be antifragile or die” is “Vale” in Latin, means also “hello” or “goodbye” @goc9000 Permalink 6:01 AM – 4 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 2) And #SkinintheGame has not been even completed yet! Permalink 4:57 AM – 4 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Watching #SkinintheGame & #Antifragile leading to firm policy, the dismantlement of the Soviet-Harvard/Thaler-Sunstein IYI machinery in DC. pic.twitter.com/eqoKoh5sq9 Permalink 4:54 AM – 4 Apr 2017
@nntaleb “As Taleb says “become #Antifragile, or die””. I don’t recall said that but it’s good enough.https://twitter.com/andyben/status/849008384233918467 Permalink 3:32 AM – 4 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 3) Wrote inThe Black Swan (Narrative Fallacy chapter)how paranoid people could concoct the most elaborate narrative from minimum facts. Permalink 3:16 PM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 2) There is a vast logical gap between suspicion based on specific fact & accusation from ZERO information. Permalink 3:13 PM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Years of covering up lack of proof of safety of Glyphosate made the cases accumulate, and Monsanto more & more vulnerable. ByeBye Monsantohttps://twitter.com/GMOFreeUSA/status/849018447782707200 Permalink 3:07 PM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Not only is @Kasparov63 in extemely bad taste & insensitive to victims; but he needs psychiatric evaluation for paranoia/hallucinations.https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/848982714212634627 Permalink 12:48 PM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Antifragile = 2nd order effecthttps://twitter.com/adviceforbernie/status/848953979111452672 Permalink 11:01 AM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Current critique of IQ is that it doesn’t measure socio-emotional, dancing intelligence… Nonsense. IQ doesn’t capture 2nd order reasoning. Permalink 10:30 AM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb He also protects Copts from the Salafis and the previous government who dhimmified them (treated them as 3rd rate citizens).https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/848940653308514304 Permalink 10:11 AM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb When I see the NYT blame people who made their money BEFORE office, not AFTER office, I cringe. I cringe.https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 Permalink 9:59 AM – 3 Apr 2017
@MattheWrite Hey losers, as @nntaleb pointed out, it’s better they made their money BEFORE taking office than afterhttps://twitter.com/nytimes/status/848892884791287809 Permalink 9:36 AM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Academic measures of IQ are bogus (too 1st order) But one’s output on Russian conspiracy/Trump is an excellent measure of intelligence. #IYI Permalink 8:42 AM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb They don’t speak Arabic, but (moderately) Arabized Aramaic. Note 164 http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm https://twitter.com/Partisangirl/status/848856606288748546 Permalink 4:22 AM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Trying to read a paper. Which is LESS guilty of fake news (WMD-Iraq, Russo-showers), etc.? Ignore pol orientation, just record w/fake-news. Permalink 3:54 AM – 3 Apr 2017
@nntaleb This is BS: problem is not absence of causation, but spurious/accidental correlation (cherry picked), one that will not hold next 10 years.https://twitter.com/AmirSariaslan/status/848664012707549185 Permalink 3:34 PM – 2 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 6) Even coherence is loosely defined in decision theory: You are NOT incoherent if your preferences change when information not identical. Permalink 3:24 PM – 2 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 5) Antifragile: how intransitivity of preferences (Prefer A to B, B to C, C to A): randomization protects from depletion of resources Permalink 3:17 PM – 2 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 4) Word “rationality” is not Lindy Proof. It was born with probal/decision theory. Ancients had “wisdom”,”prudence”, sophrosyne, phronesis. Permalink 3:02 PM – 2 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 3) Many people misinterpret “rationality” in economic theory. It means just coherence. Permalink 2:59 PM – 2 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 2) If a cognitive “bias” is helpful, it is not a bias. There is NO theory of rationality that makes superstitions & religion irrational. Permalink 2:58 PM – 2 Apr 2017
@nntaleb 1)Result from 3 d discussing rationality in Bielefeld: no theory of rationality cares about decisions, only consequences Gigerenzer, Binmore pic.twitter.com/Hpf2yJiPYw Permalink 2:55 PM – 2 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Brilliant and ruthlessly impeccable logic: @DineshDSouza explaining #skininthegame to a “leftist” student at Amherst.https://twitter.com/DavidBCollum/status/848577884931235840 Permalink 10:11 AM – 2 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Government shouldn’t be into dietary guidelines. Once they get a mistake in (as with carbs, HF corn sugar & salt), they cannot get it out. Permalink 8:33 AM – 2 Apr 2017
@SantiagoAuFund When follow supposedly deep thinkers on twitter & all they discuss is 1st level Russia Trump thinking u come to embrace @nntaleb IYI mantra. Permalink 7:03 PM – 1 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Now we pathologize success in America? Wealth BEFORE gov. much better than AFTER. Imbecile journos http://nbcnews.to/2ojMknA via @nbcnews Permalink 3:30 PM – 1 Apr 2017
@nntaleb .@ArmandDAngour Suis la elle te fuit Fuis la elle te suit (Version moderne) Permalink 10:02 AM – 1 Apr 2017
@zaoyang If you’re using more than two reasons in a pro and con column you are likely trying to convince yourself. Via @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/y9G8HTDvgw Permalink 8:28 AM – 1 Apr 2017
@nntaleb (Cont) pic.twitter.com/iG3csbYaFJ Permalink 5:57 AM – 1 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Fat Tony vs Socrates, a Platonic dialogue pic.twitter.com/XipZZtaJZr Permalink 5:57 AM – 1 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Fat Tony debates Socrates in Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/__aesthete__/status/848001162217259008 Permalink 2:51 AM – 1 Apr 2017
@nntaleb Another problem with economists: their sense of humor is so… economist; you get what I mean.https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/847930504448020484 Permalink 4:25 PM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb .@nntaleb (testing) It is like drama that amplifies through transmission. Permalink 4:20 PM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Number of war casualties tends to drift upwards w/o information, bias coming from pple afraid to err on downside. Same as inflation.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/847507095414906880 Permalink 1:45 PM – 31 Mar 2017
@ClimateAudit Bronze Age Hittites were Indo-European. In Iron Age, descendant neo-Hittites localized in north Syria, SE Turkey. IE attributes unsurprising pic.twitter.com/ZsaF19PuXK Permalink 1:38 PM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb From @PZalloua’s genetic evidence, story emerges Assyrians & Phoenicians were “Indo-Europeans” w/Semitic lang (but not Babylnns/Chaldeans). Permalink 1:21 PM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Western Syrians (Lattaqia->Homs) are actually cross betw Greeks & Anatolians, related to Kurds, w/less Semitic J1 than other parts of Med.https://twitter.com/Partisangirl/status/847899807305711616 Permalink 1:17 PM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb One proof a day keeps the philosophasters away. pic.twitter.com/GyrNuvJPZp Permalink 10:06 AM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb An example of news is fake, and facts are false Washington Post Botches The Bible, Lies About Lawmaker’s Bible Quotehttp://thefederalist.com/2017/03/31/washington-post-lies-about-lawmakers-biblical-reference-then-refuses-to-quote-him/#.WN5_yLt3uPM.twitter Permalink 9:12 AM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Fake experts, s.a. economists & political “scientists”, genuinely believe that when they are wrong, they are wrong in very smart ways. Permalink 8:27 AM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Statistics works better when seen as a branch of logic.https://twitter.com/philipbstark/status/847722147103481856 Permalink 3:44 AM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb “Experts don’t mind being told they are wrong, provided they are shown to be wrong for complex reasons.” Bielefeld Festschrift, Ken Bilmore. Permalink 2:55 AM – 31 Mar 2017
@nntaleb One reason we think the past was more violent than reality is because historians like to discuss wars, not peace. Permalink 10:53 AM – 30 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 10) EPILOG, part 1 Nobody noticed that the mere fact of taking the fellow’s picture means he will refrain in future?https://medium.com/incerto/facta-non-verba-how-to-own-your-enemies-ea79a34c9c49 Permalink 5:52 AM – 30 Mar 2017
@nntaleb I just published “Why Each One Should Eat His Own Turtles: Equality in Uncertainty”https://medium.com/p/why-each-one-should-eat-his-own-turtles-equality-in-uncertainty-e2b2ee3bcddf Permalink 5:17 AM – 30 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 9) footnote: If you are outraged by a behavior, never tolerate IYIs who reduce such things to personal fights. Outrage has a social purpose. Permalink 5:44 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 8) Some precedent & philosophical background. We live in large anonymous communities, brought back to natural conditions by the web. pic.twitter.com/PuuviNrFXS Permalink 3:16 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb “Inside the Academic Journal That Corporations Love” by @PacificStandhttps://psmag.com/inside-the-academic-journal-that-corporations-love-a1dbe48cca1c Permalink 2:29 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 7) So the idea is to find the moral balance between not exposing him & exposing him, like type 1 and 2 errors in statistics. Permalink 2:26 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Great point. Symmetry (skin in the game) means you accept to be equally penalized if you committed the same violation @JosephJayMFG Permalink 2:04 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 6) On the other hand there is a moral obligation to protect weak people riding home after a long day from assholes like him. Permalink 1:45 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 5) The only moral problem I have to clarify: he didn’t know who I was, the # of followers, that he could be identified & mobbed & shamed. Permalink 1:43 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 4) When I threatened to take his photo he said: “go ahead”. Permalink 1:38 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 3) When I asked him to be quiet “& considerate” for the sake of the rest of passengers he said it was “not forbidden” to use cell. Permalink 1:36 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb More info: 1)He was chatting for 30min, no emergency 2) People who use cell phones usually go to the side by the exit door & are brief. Permalink 1:34 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb There is an inconsiderate man on Metro North is loud on his cell phone in some Scandinavian language & refuses to stop. Took photo. Permalink 1:12 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb The difference between private and public is a matter of scale as much as it is a matter of incentive. Permalink 1:02 PM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Back to New York: Lindy Effect. pic.twitter.com/BBVw4WBtJF Permalink 9:08 AM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Except for categorical imperatives @primalpoly Permalink 7:53 AM – 29 Mar 2017
@HasHafidh A thread on understanding why “Islamic” extremism’s biggest problem isn’t with the West or even Israel, but rather with Muslim minorities.https://twitter.com/hashafidh/status/749944340848443392 Permalink 7:31 AM – 29 Mar 2017
@Isikoff KSA has “targeted U.S. veterans through a campaign of deception,” says letter to DOJ from 9/11 families.https://www.yahoo.com/news/911-families-seek-justice-department-probe-of-saudi-lobbying-that-enlisted-u-s-veterans-130740119.html Permalink 6:37 AM – 29 Mar 2017
@sustain05 Convexity effects of rereading ~ via @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/uYGysO6tfP Permalink 6:26 AM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Genius is the side effect of madness, rather than the reverse. Permalink 3:09 AM – 29 Mar 2017
@nntaleb No Saudi and Qatari propaganda, CNN ignores them.https://twitter.com/MaxBlumenthal/status/846808864624447488 Permalink 12:41 PM – 28 Mar 2017
@nntaleb My final tweet for #IRMA2017. I thank Indian friends for the warm hospitality and their appetite for rigor in risk management. pic.twitter.com/4vGu7fprGr Permalink 6:59 AM – 28 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Du Jour #SkinintheGame συγκινδυνεύω= to share danger together. In Plato, thanks to @faleflix. Found in Lucian’s Ass. Latin: simul pericleo? pic.twitter.com/zu5YPtwGUF Permalink 4:34 AM – 28 Mar 2017
@nntaleb I bought your book BECAUSE of the fierceness of his negative review. @holland_tom Permalink 12:25 AM – 28 Mar 2017
@nntaleb .@holland_tom If true, this confirms he is an ethical asshole. He trashed you BECAUSE you preempted his thesis, not because you were wrong. Permalink 12:22 AM – 28 Mar 2017
@nntaleb “Der Intoleranteste gewinnt: Die Tyrannei der kleinen Minderheit” by Maximilian Hirnerhttps://medium.com/@Maximilian_H1/der-intoleranteste-gewinnt-die-tyrannei-der-kleinen-minderheit-22a738d56770 Permalink 12:05 AM – 28 Mar 2017
@DanielLMcAdams More truth you will never hear from US “fake news” MSM…https://twitter.com/TerrinaMajnoona/status/846588439797514242 Permalink 10:28 PM – 27 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Solution via Gruss’ inequality @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/3hl0nI9RdN Permalink 4:11 PM – 27 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Antifragile … in flipflops? No.https://twitter.com/npoler/status/846467958788501504 Permalink 2:16 PM – 27 Mar 2017
@nntaleb .@_khaaan Harassment with random comments is NOT scientific criticism. Permalink 11:49 AM – 27 Mar 2017
@PriancaMohan Such a good time at #IRMA2017 with @nntaleb.. Wonderful meeting you! pic.twitter.com/afmcsOywYp Permalink 11:45 AM – 27 Mar 2017
@nntaleb My response to Michael Spagat, Pinker’s sidekick who doesn’t know how to read Q-Q plots or correlation lags. https://mikespagat.wordpress.com/2016/09/30/a-new-graphical-manoeuvre-not-recommended/ ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Hrj6uMNI9k”> pic.twitter.com/Hrj6uMNI9k Permalink 11:12 AM – 27 Mar 2017
@blitzkreigm This Happened @nntaleb sang a Punjabi Song too! #IRMA2017 pic.twitter.com/YHey5KFKtO Permalink 8:24 AM – 27 Mar 2017
@Navin_Shetty1 #IRMA2017 @nntaleb helathiest Europe will be one which is handled by least amount of people from Brussels Permalink 7:35 AM – 27 Mar 2017
@_anujsinghal Nassim Taleb has the audience in complete awe as he starts giving examples of risk management in trading and finance #IRMA2017 pic.twitter.com/0q36R6KTho Permalink 6:57 AM – 27 Mar 2017
@anandmmedar At #IRMA2017 @CNBCTV18News @CNBCTV18Live pic.twitter.com/P1J4l3WBu5 Permalink 6:53 AM – 27 Mar 2017
@CNBCTV18News Do you have any questions for @nntaleb? Tweet them to us using #IRMA2017 and get answers LIVE on Facebook at 8 PM.https://twitter.com/CNBCTV18News/status/845908501423706112 Permalink 11:33 PM – 26 Mar 2017
@nntaleb I fatti sono veri, le notizie sono false http://www.ilpost.it/2017/03/26/fatti-veri-notizie-false/ via @ilpost Permalink 3:47 AM – 26 Mar 2017
@nntaleb My coauthor Espen Haug, former trader, antiacademic quant, just published a paper in… Acta Astronautica.http://www.forbes.com/sites/brucedorminey/2017/03/25/photon-rockets-might-make-mars-a-three-minute-trip/#1754a13e34fa Permalink 3:26 AM – 26 Mar 2017
@CNBCTV18News Meet the man who changed the way the world looks at Risks. @nntaleb speaks to @Latha_Venkatesh tomorrow LIVE on FB at 8 PM #IRMA2017 pic.twitter.com/aTEZeiJNc0 Permalink 1:01 AM – 26 Mar 2017
@nntaleb A book is something that can be read ten years after publication. A real book, twenty. Otherwise it is a magazine report with bookbinding. Permalink 9:11 PM – 25 Mar 2017
@NonMeek .@nntaleb …here’s the final #Offshorecomic to the “lecturing-birds-on-flying” -series inspired by #Antifragile. #Consulting (part 2 of 2) pic.twitter.com/1KAtYfGUu2 Permalink 11:35 AM – 25 Mar 2017
@normonics This is 1 reason ‘more regulation’ is often not a solution. As long as there is regulatory capture, it will not serve its intended function.https://twitter.com/USRightToKnow/status/845018577841405952 Permalink 2:07 PM – 23 Mar 2017
@nntaleb The EPA being owned by Monsanto, the libertarian dream is reduced corrupt agencies & let markets forces provide information.https://twitter.com/robin_mesnage/status/844203488351571968 Permalink 9:12 AM – 21 Mar 2017
@nntaleb If you do not take risks for your ideas you are nothing. Nothing. pic.twitter.com/9htuSEageI Permalink 8:33 AM – 21 Mar 2017
@nntaleb I just posted my election forecasting methodology on ArXiv https://arxiv.org/pdf/1703.06351.pdf Permalink 4:26 AM – 21 Mar 2017
@nntaleb When you win an argument…https://twitter.com/confusezeus/status/843988816146894848 Permalink 5:58 PM – 20 Mar 2017
@nntaleb And fighting with pro-Salafi Nadim in, of all places, an Iranian restaurant @Confusezeus @yaneerbaryam @IbrahimWarde Permalink 5:10 PM – 20 Mar 2017
@nntaleb The case for blocking journos.https://twitter.com/ABeschloss/status/843927920636772353 Permalink 3:09 PM – 20 Mar 2017
@nntaleb The Merket Handshake was Fake News. He shook hands 2x same day. How to read the news.https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2#.ckb3mxhm1 Permalink 11:46 AM – 20 Mar 2017
@nntaleb OK, of those who who don’t get it I will block journos & mute the rest. I will also block every journo whowritesfor Huff Post, regardless.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/843508644415225856 Permalink 9:31 AM – 20 Mar 2017
@nntaleb To my Iranian friends, happy Nowruz and best wishes on this rebirth, regeneration, and renewal, of nature. Permalink 6:01 AM – 20 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Cheating with Lagrange manual KKT @vejaocentro @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/Hq8n2jNtNy Permalink 7:01 PM – 19 Mar 2017
@adamjohnsonNYC on the 14th anniversary of Iraq War remember not just how the media sold it, but how fucking smug they were doing so https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/2003/02/06/irrefutable/e598b1be-a78a-4a42-8e1a-c336f7a217f4/?utm_term=.41b0b375bbe1 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/RdJp6WQtF6″> pic.twitter.com/RdJp6WQtF6 Permalink 3:49 PM – 19 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Many respond w/o knowing what aphorism/paradox/YogiBerrism/Sarcasm mean. I usually auto-Mute bt is it fair for them to Block so they know? Permalink 10:05 AM – 19 Mar 2017
@nntaleb New Version of “Surgeons Should Not Look Like Surgeons”: Never hire someone from Harvard; Gyms shd not be fancy… https://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52#.o6cxtzo1a ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/y9ZP6IMSnC”> pic.twitter.com/y9ZP6IMSnC Permalink 5:55 AM – 19 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Thanks for the survey, ~4k votes. 91% of my followers believe furloughing State Department pple would have a positive impact on the world.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/842725131613065218 Permalink 5:04 AM – 19 Mar 2017
@nntaleb From comments I am getting for (2), the notion of *paradox* appears to be foreign to IYIs. So is that of the application of *aphorisms*. Permalink 6:24 PM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb The problem is not Louise Mensch. The problem is the NYT. They have recourse to Conspiracy theories by someone patently mentally ill.https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/843148409511002112 Permalink 12:49 PM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Thanks everyone for the generosity & answers. So looks like 3 days in Seville, 2 in Granada, 1 in Cordoba (this trip) Permalink 10:58 AM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb I fail to understand the press.They forget that WE know that THEY are stupid.https://twitter.com/alxpr1c3/status/843129784561532929 Permalink 9:27 AM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb (Note to those IYIs who can’t get it: things you wouldn’t read as a book you can read as articles, or, better, summaries). Permalink 8:11 AM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 9) Never read a book if you don’t expect to be surprised by something in it, while reading it. Permalink 8:07 AM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 8) Never read a book if you know what you are getting out of it. Permalink 7:57 AM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 6) Never read a textbook as if you were reading a book 7) Never read a textbook in the sequence prescribed by the author(s) Permalink 7:47 AM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 4) Never read a book written by a journalist 5) Never read a book if you understand the table of contents Permalink 7:42 AM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb 1) Never read a book that can be adequately summarized 2) Never read a book you would not reread 3) No book that can be shortened survives Permalink 7:01 AM – 18 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Friends what is the best 6-day allocation in Andalucia better than 33% Cordoba, 33% Granada, 33% Seville? Permalink 8:01 PM – 17 Mar 2017
@nntaleb My accent in Akkadian is better! https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/hammurabi.mp3 @fitzmorrissey Permalink 12:32 PM – 17 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Someone asked me to find a Lebanese IYI. @peterdaou would be an excellent representative. @sahouraxohttps://medium.com/incerto/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.zt851y6am Permalink 9:08 AM – 17 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Finally my paper on election forecasting is finished. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/elections1.pdf Permalink 7:59 AM – 17 Mar 2017
@p_sfitz Here @nntaleb is wrong for once. Need EU to also take the same year off!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/842726365925466112 Permalink 6:17 AM – 17 Mar 2017
@nntaleb . @saifedean Hence my following tweet about the State department. If they take a year off, Israel-Palestine is solved by itself. Permalink 6:16 AM – 17 Mar 2017
@nntaleb If we forced policymakers of the State Department to take a year off (take painting & pottery classes), the effect on worldwide peace: Permalink 6:11 AM – 17 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Government in Lebanon is mostly political patronage. Municipalities are the future. (Saif is the first Libertarian Palestinian on planet.)https://twitter.com/saifedean/status/842720363062747137 Permalink 6:02 AM – 17 Mar 2017
@garyruskin The @EPA May Have Been in Bed with Big Pesticide for Years. http://bit.ly/2nsuUVO A nice summary of recent #glyphosate events by @esquire Permalink 1:07 PM – 16 Mar 2017
@nntaleb No, I don’t. I don’t usually have “new” “cool” ideas.https://twitter.com/random_coco/status/842196194390626305 Permalink 12:06 PM – 16 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Dismantle the metastatic administrative state. Defang the Obamist bureaucrato-academic-nudging class. Make America #Antifragile Again! Permalink 9:24 AM – 16 Mar 2017
@FamCapital Viewpoint: Family Businesses and the Lindy Effect #fambiz #businessowner @nntaleb http://www.famcap.com/articles/2017/3/16/viewpoint-family-businesses-and-the-lindy-effect ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/OPOtZN6Lqv”> pic.twitter.com/OPOtZN6Lqv Permalink 8:03 AM – 16 Mar 2017
@nntaleb @nickgiIlepsie was just pulling Nick’s leg. He probably meant economic thinking. Permalink 7:59 AM – 16 Mar 2017
@nntaleb “Non-Anglo-American erudition”? Like saying “non-Anglo-American Medieval History”, “non-Anglo-American cuisine”, “non-Anglo-American opera”https://twitter.com/nickgillespie/status/842357726650986496 Permalink 6:06 AM – 16 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Stop reading about Holland and read this.https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/842352522325032961 Permalink 6:01 AM – 16 Mar 2017
@VergilDen If @nntaleb has ever called you an imbecile (or a fucking idiot), this is why pic.twitter.com/2RJkHHQFKf Permalink 5:37 AM – 16 Mar 2017
@nntaleb In other words, culturally more integrated areas, a better way to name region.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/842212268121161730 Permalink 8:17 PM – 15 Mar 2017
@nntaleb We name areas by land mass: Africa, Europe… More natural to name by water mass: North-Atlantic, Mediterranean, Red Sea,Arabian Sea, Baltic Permalink 8:13 PM – 15 Mar 2017
@nntaleb I contradicted an economist on his BS models. He replied that I was working for Putin. http://thebea.st/2mtENxE via @thedailybeast Permalink 2:23 PM – 15 Mar 2017
@NewtTrump John McCain accuses Rand Paul of working for Vladimir Putin. RETWEET if you think McCain needs to retire already! pic.twitter.com/EImWcg97Gu Permalink 2:00 PM – 15 Mar 2017
@seanmdav Trump’s effective rate in 2005 wasn’t 25%. Using the same formula for Obama’s 2016 rate (taxes / AGI), Trump’s effective rate was 79%. Permalink 1:48 PM – 15 Mar 2017
@pierpont_morgan “Monsanto had ghostwritten research that was later attributed to academics…” You’d be surprised how often this happens. pic.twitter.com/amdwNa1f6n Permalink 10:54 AM – 15 Mar 2017
@TulsiPress Dems & Republicans can agree on this: it’s time to pass the #StopArmingTerrorists Acthttps://gabbard.house.gov/news/press-releases/gabbards-stop-arming-terrorists-act-introduced-senate Permalink 9:00 AM – 15 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Thanks for the votes. Another option: calling wconomics &other unsocial science “The Empty Profession”? & econ books “Empty Science”? Permalink 8:48 AM – 15 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Funded by Obama and promoted by lobbyists/think tank agents such as @MiddleEastInst @BrookingsDoha. The same AlQaeda.https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/842035595983626240 Permalink 8:35 AM – 15 Mar 2017
@DavidBCollum Hey @nntaleb: Kinda looking like your hatred of Monsanto is well founded. Sure you know this but…http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-14/court-docs-prove-monsanto-collusion-epa-kill-cancer-study-admits-cant-say-roundup-do Permalink 7:06 PM – 14 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Skin in the game & Symmetry. If a reporter does it to me, I should do it to him/her.https://twitter.com/a_lesniewski/status/841822447905181696 Permalink 6:36 PM – 14 Mar 2017
@nntaleb h/t @BBassem7 See also myhttps://medium.com/opacity/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d#.pcatnf2yf Permalink 6:18 PM – 14 Mar 2017
@nntaleb I keep saying many of the pictures from the Syrian war were fake, supplied by Qatari PR firms. This one wen a bit far. pic.twitter.com/OCuN4M8Ojw Permalink 6:01 PM – 14 Mar 2017
@financequant When people ask me what they ought to study in economics, I tell them (1) Learn what the Lindy Efect is and (2) study history instead. Permalink 3:50 PM – 14 Mar 2017
@nntaleb How should be calling the economics “profession”? Permalink 8:32 AM – 14 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Are you in a sick business (journos)? If you worry about the opinion of your peers, not your clients, you are doomedhttps://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2#.19le9cum6 Permalink 8:15 AM – 14 Mar 2017
@nntaleb Will attend & hopefully deliver a brief lecturehttps://twitter.com/SYRIAC_MARONITE/status/841636582260146176 Permalink 6:11 AM – 14 Mar 2017
@lukasnaugle True intellect should not appear to be intellectual. @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/9PDNpMA39a Permalink 5:22 AM – 14 Mar 2017