Tuesday, November 18, 2014
8:30am – 3:30pm
Rosenthal Pavilion, NYU Kimmel Center, 10th floor
60 Washington Square South, New York City2:30pm-3:30pm: “Small is Beautiful – but Also Less Fragile,” by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering, NYU School of Engineering
We use fragility theory to show the effect of size and response to uncertainty, how distributed decision-making creates more apparent volatility, but ensures long term survival of a system. Simply, economies of scale are more than offset by stochastic diseconomies from shocks and there is such a thing as a “sweet spot” in optimal size. We show how city-states fare better than large states, how mice and small species are more robust than elephants, and how the canton mechanism can potentially solve Near Eastern problems.
This event is co-sponsored by the NYU Marron Institute of Urban Management. Funding is generously provided by the John Templeton Foundation. Breakfast and lunch will be served.
Category Archives: Event
Friends, tomorrow (Wednesday), Singapore, as we…
Friends, tomorrow (Wednesday), Singapore, as we did last year, coffee and discussion at 6 PM:
https://www.google.com.sg/…/data=!3m1!4b1!4m2!3m1!1s0x31da1…
via Friends, tomorrow (Wednesday), Singapore, as we… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Antifragility: Gaining From Volatility, Stress And Disorder | S.U.R.E.
Join us for a public talk by Prof Nassim Taleb as he shares his theories on two of his bestselling books; The Black Swan and Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder.
Date: Wednesday, 24 September 2014
Time: 10.00am – 11.30am
Venue: Level 16, The Pod 100 Victoria Street, National Library Building, Singapore 188064.
For access to The Pod, please proceed to lift lobby opposite the information counter.Please visit nlb.gov.sg/golibrary to register for this programme. Admission is free.
via Antifragility: Gaining From Volatility, Stress And Disorder | S.U.R.E..
The “diplomatic” debate with Didier Sornette.
Edited video of Sornette debate via NNT’s Facebook.
The “diplomatic” debate with Didier Sornette. I extracted 100% of our conversation and deleted the bland corporate talk of others.A “diplomatic debate” is defined as a conversation in which one looks for synthesis as opposed to one in which one is trying, as in war, to win the argument, as with political debates. Clearly this type of debate only works when the two parties are scientists not marketers, Larry Summers, or something of the sort.
Sornette vs. Taleb Diametrically Opposite Approaches to Risk & PredictabilityAn ETH sponsored meeting and debate between Nassim Taleb and Didier Sornette. Edited to eliminate the parts of the conversation not involving either but…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vuvbghZuM8U&feature=youtu.be
via Facebook.
The moderated session with D. Sornette tomorrow…
The moderated session with D. Sornette tomorrow starts at 4:45 until 6 PM. http://www.zurichmeetsnewyork.org/events/risk-towards-more-resilient-systems-and-societies
Risk: Towards More Resilient Systems and Societies
Can we avoid another Manhattan blackout or minimize its impact? Can we sidestep natural catastrophes like Hurricane Sandy? How do we manage risk and complex behavioral patterns that result from a growing interconnectedness of systems?
via The moderated session with D. Sornette tomorrow… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.