The Second Law of Social Science: the less relevant, applicable, or interesting the point, the larger the number of publications around it.

The First Law of Social Science: the longer someone’s list of contributions, the less he will be remembered.

We have 6 billion on the planet blind to the obvious, or, what’s vastly worse, half-blind, which is why we continue to need prophets to move the half-discovered into the category of the obvious.
(Added a comment about Steve Jobs to my chapter on how not to be a prophet).

In bed with the flu, second time in 2 decades, and enjoying FB which explains why I can answer any question on Antifragility for entertainment.

Friends, finally able to explain fragility, etc. (includes sensitivity to Black Swans) with a simple graph:
www.fooledbyrandomness.com/chapter4.pdf
Please let me know if this works with you.

http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/chapter4.pdf
www.fooledbyrandomness.com