Noise and Signal.The odds of using, 10 years from now, something picked up today from random media is < 1 in 50,000. In science (outside of mathematics) it is < 1 in 30,000. On the other hand, you have more than 50 % chance of using (or remembering) something that you are interested in and has been “in print” more than a century.

There is a very easy filter. What you search for is less likely to be noise. Further, word of mouth is more potent filtering than we think.

(Adding derivations, in technical docs, soon).

via Noise and Signal.The odds of using, 10… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Facebook.