In July Universa intends to tap the financial adviser market by offering its own black swan ETF. The fund will mimic some of the strategies employed by its institutional-only hedge fund and will have an expense ratio of 1.5%.

Will Universa be able to repeat its outsize returns in another crash? Clifford Davis, head of equity derivatives at BNP Paribas
(
BNPQY.PK –

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), is skeptical. “A true black swan event is by definition different from all previous crises, and markets don’t react in the same way.”

Spitznagel is unruffled as he sits in his office listening to classical music and losing money each day. He is ready and waiting for the next black swan to arrive.