Well, Twitter changed their code again and broke my scraper and it’s taking me a long time to find an alternative. Thing is, the reason I started collecting NNT’s tweets was because he initially was in the habit of deleting them every few months, which he has apparently stopped doing. Anyway, let’s have a look at what NNT’s been up to since mid September… Let me guess… math, and squid ink.
Can we all acknowledge that the REAL winner of this election is @nntaleb’s critique of election forecasting techniques, and his proposed approach—treating elections like option contracts.https://t.co/RJGpoKb28n pic.twitter.com/pcvAXG4umP
— Franklin J. Parker, CFA (@FranklinParker1) November 4, 2020
"We can focus immediately on the simplest solution and the one with the smallest economic cost– testing would be the ideal solution. Why 10 months into the pandemic we still do not have systematic testing?" – @nntaleb. pic.twitter.com/QLttgNKA0u
— Squawk Box (@SquawkCNBC) November 2, 2020
"You have to treat it as an opaque system. You do not know what is going to happen, and therefore it is going to be one or the other 50-50," says @nntaleb on the 2020 election. pic.twitter.com/YFAtVpRihI
— Squawk Box (@SquawkCNBC) November 2, 2020
Expected Shortfall Estimation for Apparently Infinite-Mean Models of Operational Risk
Religion, Violence, Tolerance & Progress: Nothing to do with Theology
How to Price an Election: A Martingale Approach- Discussion with Dhruv Madeka Oct 9, 2020
Fake Regression by psychologists Premiered Oct 2, 2020
‘Black Swan’ Investor Nassim Taleb on Covid Misconceptions, Fed Policy, Inflation Sep 22, 2020
Nassim Nicholas Taleb ou la vertu de l’incertitude