Monthly Archives: September 2017

Eric Weinstein, NYT, Education, Pippa Malgren, Palanga, Historians, Kurds, Monsanto | Twitter

@mikeandallie @nntaleb recommended this book 3 weeks ago. This chart in the beginning explains a puzzle I’ve wondered about in insurance for 15 years. pic.twitter.com/xLpjl3dQkt Permalink 4:42 PM – 25 Sep 2017

@yaneerbaryam #AI: Using it and consequences for business risk & opportunity w/ @nntaleb @alex_pentland scholarships available: https://lnkd.in/dUP9gDA   Permalink 2:09 PM – 25 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Just a reminder that we’ve survived 13 centuries.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/912303968344211456   Permalink 8:10 AM – 25 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Byzantine hymns in Greek in Amioun yesterday. pic.twitter.com/iJ1uWZxBoe Permalink 6:13 AM – 25 Sep 2017

@FriedrichHayek Whatever you think of Taleb, he grabs on to core problems that others ignore or don’t see and shakes them like an attack dog on a leg.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/911948333085872128   Permalink 10:41 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@chelenki @nntaleb just about died laughing reading this review on #blackswan https://twitter.com/AmznMovieRevws/status/911624254558367744   Permalink 10:12 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I am dumb when I don’t have skin in the game. pic.twitter.com/ZsGZyJe1NU Permalink 6:40 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@VanessaBeeley New York first responders connect to #AlQaeda, you know the group they think is behind 9/11. #World_gone_Mad @21WIRE @RenieriArtshttps://twitter.com/mayorsCAU/status/911622888482099201   Permalink 3:37 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@nntaleb And the Solid Eric Weinstein is misquoted in same NYT article. Anyone who cites the NYT has a pbm.https://twitter.com/EricRWeinstein/status/911665817762148352   Permalink 3:00 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2   Permalink 2:49 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This GROSS misrepresentation by NYT is the reason I will not pre-release my book to them for reviews. They will have to buy it after publ.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/911705844882051073   Permalink 2:47 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb NYT misrepresents thesis as “biologically less capable of engineering.” NYT has pbms in reading comprehension!!!https://nyti.ms/2yjYlL6   Permalink 2:36 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Fact checking something for the book. Do royals have to take more risks during war? pic.twitter.com/XDHUs9PYK9 Permalink 1:42 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The picture in the thread is at Heathrow. U.K. raises tons of cash by marketing to label- conscious Gucci- wearing rich foreigners w/kids. Permalink 5:36 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb What I mean by “education” is the current institutional framework. It bears less & less resemblance to its historical antecedents. Permalink 5:24 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Education needs to KEEP proving itself. Permalink 4:43 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No. Education was, at some point great, fast becoming rent-seeking for a group of parasites IYIs who indoctrinate our youths. pic.twitter.com/IklI1CYsp0 Permalink 4:41 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Observe the variability between individuals > variability in age (distrib of age). The same applies to mental sharpness.https://twitter.com/MongoAggression/status/911369414053847041   Permalink 4:32 PM – 22 Sep 2017

@andrejpwalker Any Conservative who had put 40,000 (mostly) immigrant workers on the dole in one pen stroke would’ve been RUINED for it. #Uber @SadiqKhan pic.twitter.com/WNE2agcw72 Permalink 2:03 PM – 22 Sep 2017

@johnabarnes32 Editing a @nntaleb aphorism: don’t take someone’s book recommendation seriously unless he’s read it twice. Permalink 9:57 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Minority rule in action. One Polish, one Lithuanian, one Latvian, 3 neighboring countries, conversing in English. (With permission). pic.twitter.com/VarPydi6JC Permalink 8:52 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that the book is finished (sort of), I can do probability for entertainment. pic.twitter.com/iqurPT7zlh Permalink 7:30 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@thackerpd .@dannyhakim story on #Monsanto & dicamba link to this video looking at #dicamba impacts across Americahttps://vimeo.com/232115660   Permalink 7:01 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@DineshDSouza This reads like a parody but apparently isn’t–they’re even more crooked than we thoughthttps://twitter.com/kwilli1046/status/911059276554280960   Permalink 6:16 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “Dr” please show me a SINGLE paper by historians not misestimating violence. A single one will do. Tawkers… Permalink 4:39 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Curious #mahfacthttps://twitter.com/SamuelGWalters/status/911086139590578178   Permalink 4:30 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Abandoned swimming pool. pic.twitter.com/02dS3DAsrN Permalink 4:23 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Tourism: visiting abandoned Soviet structures in Lithuania. #Realworld tourism. pic.twitter.com/oivAeIXkAK Permalink 3:53 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Pippa Malgren @DrPippaM took a break from signing, so I signed a few of her books. pic.twitter.com/QtPVDyavkL Permalink 3:05 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This link between Marathon and “saving” Western Civilization is what I call overfitting. History is largely bullshitters.https://twitter.com/thehistoryguy/status/910966259629592576   Permalink 5:36 PM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1) The strategy of Monsanto-funded smear campaigners like Dietwald Claus is to wait for someone to attack someone then come in w/remarks. Permalink 12:01 PM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I know, calling “idiot” someone who is not an MD & reads archives for a living, yet has “Dr” in his twitter handle would hurrrrrrrrrrrrrt. Permalink 9:02 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Another idiot who probably overfits without knowing it is a bad thing.https://twitter.com/BernardWilkin/status/910889204288311296   Permalink 8:33 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I actually mean historians are worse: they don’t understand what “overfitting” means & think by doing it they are “sophisticated”. Permalink 8:14 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Thalassa! After a long walk in the pine forest, the Baltic Sea. pic.twitter.com/kcTT4R6Jxv Permalink 6:06 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Pullman is a bullshit vendor, so you need to help him out a bit. Permalink 5:23 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb #Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/JulianAssange/status/910833182966272001   Permalink 4:55 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb And if historians keep saying “no, we don’t overfit”, answer: well… yes you do overfit & don’t know it. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315   Permalink 3:19 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Can someone answer that idiot?https://twitter.com/nickhassey/status/910785313311686656   Permalink 2:43 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Palanga, Lithuania. About to start my lektchur. pic.twitter.com/IzYnrBgFUF Permalink 12:59 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Typical overfitting by…historians. This was written before.https://twitter.com/lottelydia/status/910769747725307904   Permalink 12:38 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Why are you so dishonest as to validate my point abt historians? Answer THIS: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315   Permalink 12:27 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Another ignorant-ignorant of their ignorance:@carolinepennock Permalink 11:52 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The remarkable ability of people of being so ignorant as to not understand the charges of ignorance levelled at them https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315##  https://twitter.com/DrSKBarker/status/910754938573266945   Permalink 11:47 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Even better, wait 1 week minimum before answering nonimmediate mail. Best is 1 month.https://twitter.com/StephenFleming/status/910746347346604032   Permalink 11:08 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Our synthesis of pbm w/historiography. Another one on misestimations on the way. @BenedictEvans is an idiot. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315##   Permalink 11:01 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Benedict Evans @BenedictEvans is an imbecile who just throws words without knowing what he is talking about. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315##  https://twitter.com/BenedictEvans/status/910716132675293186   Permalink 10:58 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Give someone an inch, they will ask for a mile. Permalink 6:59 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb After the Kurds (eventually) get their state, you can imagine a breakup of Turkey.https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/910490777658314753   Permalink 6:13 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb When you want a fool to teach your children how to NOT think, Monbiot works well. Permalink 5:10 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@GuruAnaerobic I think this qualifies as one of @nntaleb’s “literalists”.https://twitter.com/GeorgeMonbiot/status/910462575720239104   Permalink 5:02 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@byzantinepower Don’t claim to be “woke” if u haven’t got this book #Byzantium pic.twitter.com/CbY0kD7X24 Permalink 4:57 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb They also teach them to lie. https://twitter.com/atif_rz/status/910239153018642432   Permalink 4:10 PM – 19 Sep 2017

@francispouliot_ Thanks to @nntaleb and @EconTalker for inspiring this essay on emergent order and antifragility. Thanks Bitcoin ecosystem for making it realhttps://twitter.com/francispouliot_/status/910203565297291264   Permalink 11:29 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb There is something common to modern “liberal” and Sunni-Salafi education: They teach students answers rather than how to ask questions. Permalink 9:13 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@garyruskin How #Monsanto Manufactured ‘Outrage’ at #Glyphosate Cancer Classification It Expected http://bit.ly/2hfxY69   by @careygillam @USRightToKnow Permalink 8:40 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Lecturing on catastrophic/tail risks in Bermuda. When in Rome… pic.twitter.com/oWs7NNwtJ4 Permalink 4:37 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The problem of SJW, universalists, globalists, Islamists, neo-atheists, and modernists is that they take everything, every word) literally. Permalink 3:05 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The point is not that @peterdaou has the IQ of a cauliflower. It’s that the press is 1) a monoculture, 2) dying a slow but certain death. https://twitter.com/adamjohnsonnyc/status/909907008614289408   Permalink 3:40 PM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Copy editors are English majors victims of thought police… One wanted to change “American-style Options” to “U.S.-style” as more PC. Permalink 10:58 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@martyrmade As @johnrobb points out, this cartoon is no analogy for political/financial/journalism experts because pilots have skin in the game @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/c5B70r4CQd Permalink 10:44 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Corrected. I tend to post on twitter without even rereading. pic.twitter.com/u3JXovmpZe Permalink 5:51 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Organization of the book. pic.twitter.com/0rkjPy8q8E Permalink 5:41 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@sentantiq “When the government is at its most corrupt, the more laws [there are].” corruptissima re publica plurimae leges #Tacitus Permalink 4:14 PM – 17 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Classical misestimation and biases by historians: history is anecdotes + BS + hearsay+ occasional truths…https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/908280018320723968   Permalink 5:31 AM – 17 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Fiction vs Nonfiction, go with fiction.https://twitter.com/paul_jorgenson/status/909390775900884992   Permalink 5:21 AM – 17 Sep 2017

@turlevnon #syriac_calendar pic.twitter.com/AsCBvcUHvP Permalink 10:35 PM – 16 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I am adding this to Skin In the Game. Anyone knows a good translator of TEX into Word? pic.twitter.com/JLZLIjPcpc Permalink 3:06 PM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The highest compliment. But I wonder which group I personally fall into.https://twitter.com/sensecurator/status/908745783985315840   Permalink 2:45 PM – 15 Sep 2017

@pauld1981 Symmetry you’re poor: they can corrupt u by giving you money -cheap you’re rich: they can corrupt u by not confiscating your money -cheaper Permalink 11:55 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that the book is done: Writing is 95% walking, 5% sitting. Mathematics is 95% sitting, 5% walking. Permalink 10:41 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@ThalesLives Ever since reading @nntaleb’s books and articles, my bullshit detector has been much improved. If you haven’t read his work yet, do so. Permalink 10:10 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friday Follow: @CutTheKnotMath for mathematical brainteasers. Like finding a parking spot in NY, never easy, never impossible #TwitterMathhttps://twitter.com/CutTheKnotMath/status/908353890701242369   Permalink 8:41 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Little by little, a file on the behavior of MSM w/r to Syria is being built.https://twitter.com/catoletters/status/908428948513714176   Permalink 1:47 PM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friends, any translation of this (tarqtu’l khalqa tarran…)? Thanks pic.twitter.com/BDm9loTqYh Permalink 11:02 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@philipbstark 1/ Probs w #GMO crops not just farm practices & herbicides: https://archive.org/details/AlteredGenesTwistedTruthByStevenDrukerHD1080p   .@nntaleb .@bittman .@UCBerkeleyFood @michaelpollan Permalink 8:42 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@Biixi001 Can U believe!? NewYorker just outed @nntaleb – not just flaneuring/chasing lost wisdom&IYIs, also taking care of lost property in Paris pic.twitter.com/3x8jH4z4VN Permalink 8:00 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life Permalink 7:41 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb So Mr Makram Rabah, pls explain why your work should be read when: You (willfully) mislabel You fabricate facts You lie on your resumé Permalink 5:14 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This expression @ektrit you seem to attribute to Saint Morcos of Ephesus. True? pic.twitter.com/LnDAVM8EvY Permalink 4:13 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Historians focus on the lurid and discount absence of evidence, with huge distortions in accounts. pic.twitter.com/YePixIeYa5 Permalink 3:43 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@DavidDuPouy Antifragile is BIG in Japan @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/E2VhpCqLRe Permalink 5:12 PM – 13 Sep 2017

Rabah, Minority Rule, Tesla, Fake Squid Ink, Start a Business, Tracy Alloway, UK Thought Police, Sarsour, Monbiot | Twitter

@nntaleb Done! Changed subtitle again. Now copyediting & fight with copyeditors… pic.twitter.com/jZaathaYVD Permalink 3:03 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Rabah, it seems isn’t just fabricating w/events but faking his resumé. Are others in the chain s.a. @jobahout @BenteScheller also liars? Permalink 1:42 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Rabah, he who lies once is unreliable. Looks like you also misrepresenting your position? Are you a “professor”? https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=i7xThEIAAAAJ&hl=en   Permalink 1:22 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb G., we know Mr Rabah is tot. unreliable, even lunatic. Make the house of cards collapse w/those using him as source.https://twitter.com/GeorgeJNasr/status/908056627219234816   Permalink 1:06 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Rabah,consider in replies that followers are v. intelligent &detect your unreliability in the chain of Syria newshttps://twitter.com/makramrabah/status/908043824479571968   Permalink 12:39 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb From SITG pic.twitter.com/5kNA2dz5zr Permalink 11:39 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Another “policy” fellow, Joseph Bahout @jobahout (whom I’ve met) at, of all places @CarnegieEndow disseminating from same dubious source. pic.twitter.com/Ig8EYZjFJW Permalink 8:12 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb To show you how messed up our information flow on Syria, see this “policy” specialist @BenteScheller citing a liar. pic.twitter.com/3x6RUEU3Ng Permalink 7:47 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that I am done with Mr Makram Rabah (see thread above) beware that his posts and journalism are read as source on the Syrian situation. Permalink 7:03 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that I am done with Mr Makram Rabah (see thread above) beware that his posts and journalism are read as source on the Syrian situation. Permalink 7:03 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Makram Rabah, pls explain why your journalism shd be read when: 1) You misdefine terms, mislabel & don’t care 2) You make up facts Permalink 6:37 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb To assess you need to compare # killed while on autopilot vs # killed w/o autopilot, not just look at one single lurid case.https://twitter.com/gedownie/status/907957444331966471   Permalink 6:29 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah, my participation in the UAE literary festival was pro-bono. Why are you lying about $$? Why are you a Liar? Liar. Permalink 6:15 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah, why does your inability to define terms makes you LIE about “Gulf money”? Can you show evidence of $$? Why are you lying? Permalink 6:11 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Scary if true. Looks like it is true.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/907941612625518593   Permalink 5:22 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah are you aware that random labels do not constitute an explanation of why you misdefine very elementary terms? Permalink 4:31 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah you are throwing more random labels to explain the misuse of a label. Can you write down a simple expl., as in 6th grade? Permalink 4:24 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah you are not explaining why one shd heed someone like you or @iyad_elbaghdadi soooo ignorant to misdefine elementary terms. Permalink 4:16 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb So Mr @makramrabah if you mislabel something so elementary, why should anyone read your other crap? Please explain. Permalink 1:49 PM – 12 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah, racism is imparting skills to a race, not studying population migrations. Are all Syrian rebels as ignorant as you? Permalink 1:18 PM – 12 Sep 2017

@RogueRad Why I think doctors should read books by @nntaleb http://thehealthcareblog.com/blog/2017/09/12/why-doctors-should-read-books-by-nassim-taleb/   cc @drjohnm Permalink 10:34 AM – 12 Sep 2017

@nntaleb If you reject unfounded blame, you must also reject unjustified praise. Permalink 8:53 AM – 12 Sep 2017

@RandPaul Where is the anti-war left demanding the wars end? Where is the constitional conservative right demanding Congress reclaim its war powers? Permalink 4:25 PM – 11 Sep 2017

@nntaleb On my wayhttps://twitter.com/harrydcrane/status/906555847219859459   Permalink 12:31 PM – 11 Sep 2017

@nntaleb My take pic.twitter.com/Z3o48RcMvK Permalink 4:57 AM – 11 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Probability Brain Teaser du Jour. cc:@mikeandallie ,@LorenzoWVilla , @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/Uj3p2K2VvJ Permalink 4:27 AM – 11 Sep 2017

@SameeraKhan While we mourn the lives lost 16 yrs ago today, we should also remind ourselves of this gem. Stop funding, arming, & glorifying terrorists. pic.twitter.com/JC1wCl3D9o Permalink 2:39 AM – 11 Sep 2017

@ThomasSowell Quote from Black Rednecks & White Liberals: https://buff.ly/2vk1w8R   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/cGIAkn16UA”>  pic.twitter.com/cGIAkn16UA Permalink 10:03 AM – 10 Sep 2017

@nntaleb When the beard is black, take the reasoning, ignore conclusions. When gray, take both reasoning & conclusions. When white, just conclusions. Permalink 8:18 AM – 10 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Someone in population genetics wd detect the J2 haplogroup, the “Med” gene. I suspect the J2a subclade, coatal (Greco-Phoenician-Roman Army) Permalink 5:11 AM – 10 Sep 2017

@nntaleb My kind of party. Mare Nostrum.https://twitter.com/scaramucci/status/906600491307687937   Permalink 7:32 PM – 9 Sep 2017

@HarryDCrane Full slate for this year’s Foundations of #Probability seminar starting Mon with @nntaleb — Central problems with probability pic.twitter.com/VbJ6k7fN5H Permalink 9:32 AM – 9 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Above & below shd explain why recent paper on 1200+ genes determining intelligence is utter BS cc:@charlesmurrayhttps://www.dropbox.com/s/padzf3mtekuuf76/Error%20and%20Dimensionality.pptx.pdf?dl=0   Permalink 6:02 AM – 9 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friends, added an Appendix to the minority rule. For comments. Is it easy to grasp? pic.twitter.com/J0fCc91wf5 Permalink 5:31 AM – 9 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 6) You can do history but one needs to qualify conclusions & exclude some class of statements. Permalink 8:19 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 4) Historians have no clue about survivorship bias, so they mistake visible properties for properties. 5) Historians ignore asymmetries. Permalink 8:18 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Historians mistake an upper/lower bound for an absolute date. For instance “earliest settlement found” for earliest settlement” Permalink 7:53 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Practically all data prior to the first war are suspicious. Permalink 7:47 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb War data are pulled out of the hat. Historians are only reliable for (some) anecdotes. Or as we saw with Mary Beard, good at bu***tting.https://twitter.com/ektrit/status/906147773384404992   Permalink 7:14 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This fraudster Julie Gunlock starts from the basis that anti-GMO is anti-science. Not just clueless but dangerous. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html  https://twitter.com/FDRLST/status/905966418063130624   Permalink 6:39 PM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No, wuss! It’s unethical.They will do it to others Select a random few(5) who made false claims,make their lives miserable for 1y Never stop https://twitter.com/TolstoySays/status/905956048778887168   Permalink 6:30 PM – 7 Sep 2017

@NoArtInPolitics Headline sounds like something @nntaleb might sayhttps://twitter.com/wsj/status/905933745529737216   Permalink 4:29 PM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Clear evidence of (statistical) bias Can be attributed to 1) NYT doctors up the list, 2) NYT overweighs cappuccino & latte bookstores.https://twitter.com/DineshDSouza/status/905852971233288192   Permalink 11:11 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mechanical skills matter less interpreted as Germans have no mechamical skills. In Fooled by Randomness: there is randomness -> itsallrandom Permalink 10:09 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb For a chief investment officer, Mark Yusko makes a 6-year old misinterpretation. Is this typical or an outlier?https://twitter.com/markyusko/status/905836528185643008   Permalink 10:06 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@iMetaldog ex ancillary parts for proper engine functionality there are smaller # of moving part in EM v ICE tho not apple to apple comp to begin with! pic.twitter.com/Uk3SbS8irD Permalink 9:30 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Expertise in roulette gambling requires much more probability than carpentry; Pop genetics require much more probability than biology! Permalink 7:22 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Announcement. For personal reasons, we had to move the Real World Risk 6 to November 13. http://realworldrisk.com/pictorial_view_of_the_program_by_dhaval   Permalink 6:52 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Have you visited a gas station “when power is down everywhere”?https://twitter.com/SFLTVBossMan/status/905773082249494528   Permalink 5:45 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Tesla is computer w/wheels,~5% of moving parts of BMW Mechanical expertise is archaic. I’ve rarely seen softw/hardware designed in Europe.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/905763378437730305   Permalink 5:14 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Show this to your journo friends (if any) to avoid @tracyalloway’s conflation of “criticism” & strawman deformationhttps://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2   Permalink 4:41 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@alacunha Have you tried this? Choquinhos com tinta. Baby sepia cooked in ink. Typical of algarve. You have to go there for the real deal pic.twitter.com/2KC7bvjkiT Permalink 5:51 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This is real squid ink, tonight. pic.twitter.com/8yfwikdxwj Permalink 4:44 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Last thing we need to hear is French are Meds. They are Reverse-Meds. Only Meds in S. parts that spoke no French (Provencal, Nicois, etc.) Permalink 2:15 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb There is a discussion of taboos against mixing fish and cheese in Med. I am still confused. https://www.facebook.com/13012333374/posts/10153194618113375   Permalink 2:11 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb My kind of lecture.https://twitter.com/_youhadonejob1/status/905424652595494912   Permalink 1:39 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No, no, no, no. Never, never any cheese on Med with fish products. You get deported from Sicily/Calabria (if you are lucky).https://twitter.com/mikaelv80/status/905520302452596736   Permalink 1:27 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Those who believe clmate chnge is real Those who explain everything by CC Those for whom policies shdbe precautionary whether CC real or not Permalink 10:27 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1-Occupations in which one is more dependent on opinion of colleagues than end users or axiomatic base (math) end up rotting. (#SummarySITG) Permalink 7:12 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1-Occupations in which one is more dependent on opinion of colleagues than end users degrades. ex: journalism, bureaucr, (#SummarySITG) Permalink 7:06 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Zeus appreciated my sacrifices; is making my wish come true that MSM self-destructs. He invented @kurteichenwald to accelerate the process. pic.twitter.com/MGLTCW6ks9 Permalink 6:19 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@DemosKypros Istanbul pogroms against the Greeks – 6-7 September ’55 #Greece #Turkey #Historyhttp://bit.ly/2gGmDb5   Permalink 6:03 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@HaroonChowdry We need clearer language to help distinguish. “Squid ink pasta” (i.e. squid ink in the pasta dough) vs. “pasta w/ squid ink sauce” Permalink 5:59 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Alert: This is fake squid ink (colored pasta). Real squid ink leaves stain marks on the dish.https://twitter.com/simoncarucci/status/905395836623970304   Permalink 4:49 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Will @kurteichenwald’s climate change “math” also prove a Trump-Russian conspiracy as is; or does it need additional variables?https://twitter.com/kurteichenwald/status/905206621588119552   Permalink 4:18 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The whole point is that this is not “criticism”. Strawman is NOT criticism. Permalink 3:55 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@Wataizo This Eichenwald character better hope @nntaleb doesn’t get a hold of himhttps://twitter.com/Black999sunday/status/905160233906970624   Permalink 1:12 PM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Certainly @tracyalloway needs a straightforward lesson on the difference between news and fake news.https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2   Permalink 12:54 PM – 5 Sep 2017

@ArgaizR New paper @Cell_Metabolism. Beautiful example of anti-fragility. Volatility yields the best results! @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/8nTvxgEmvT Permalink 11:12 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb How @tracyalloway rigs her votehttps://twitter.com/robinwigg/status/905080835031883778   Permalink 7:52 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb There is more substance/rigor in every line of the INCERTO than what journo @tracyalloway has written all her life https://medium.com/incerto   Permalink 7:21 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb +Got rich FROM politics +Helped crony capitalism +… Permalink 6:46 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb +Gave Wall Street the largest bonus pool in history in 2010 +Fought Skin in the Game rules +Fueled Identity Politics +Fed the IYI class Permalink 6:44 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb +Helped AlQaeda/extinction of NE Christians +Tried to destroy federalism +Let IYI bureaucrats “nudge” citizens +Overall enemy of libertyhttps://twitter.com/RealJamesWoods/status/905059454554693632   Permalink 6:30 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Which is why I am calling Ron Paul, “A Roman among Greeks”. (a Pun on dedication of TBS to Benoit Mandelbrot:”A Greek among Romans”) pic.twitter.com/qs6j8V1H0k Permalink 5:53 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb For ergodicity and wealth, see this https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46   Which is whatIwantedtotalktoyouabout Permalink 5:43 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I am shuttling from Leb to NY for my Tuesday class. Today is my 1rst lecture on Fat Tails.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/821374183234031616   Permalink 5:01 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “The Romans judged their political system by asking not whether it made sense but whether it worked.” The clear minded @holland_tom Permalink 4:27 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Some idiot (finance prof) was arguing “had Trump invested his inheritance in market…” No, investors != market!https://medium.com/incerto/the-logic-of-risk-taking-107bf41029d3   Permalink 4:17 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No, do not join an NGO to save the world. Just take risks, start a business. https://medium.com/incerto/the-merchandising-of-virtue-b548762658f0   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/taRzkoCSfw”>  pic.twitter.com/taRzkoCSfw Permalink 9:32 AM – 4 Sep 2017

@nntaleb BS vendor @JeffDSachs tweeting to me a narrative betw. Houston flood & Texas climate policy. Economists have a severe difficulty with rigor. Permalink 5:52 AM – 4 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Connecting in an airport lounge in Morocco. Only way I get privacy on phone is speaking in Lebanese dialect. Nobody seems to understand it. Permalink 5:06 AM – 3 Sep 2017

@bjmdolal @nntaleb only person I can think of that this applies to.https://twitter.com/robertgreene/status/902156853823623168   Permalink 7:10 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This guy gets it. The value of the lawsuit is in the information you can get out of it. As with the Monsanto papers.https://twitter.com/ConLawWarrior/status/904110967738466308   Permalink 4:02 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Meanwhile my fight ag the UK thought police: I keep insulting them; they tried & tried & tried & failed to stop me, https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/CI0AuYqMoR”>  pic.twitter.com/CI0AuYqMoR Permalink 3:58 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Nothing sad about it. Lawsuits are the ONLY defense mechanism for the individual against powerful groups. Thank you, American legal system!https://twitter.com/charlesmurray/status/904108850596515842   Permalink 3:39 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb You need tail events for the revelation of elementary properties. Visibly only the store knew that people didn’t eat vegan.https://twitter.com/MattOswaltVA/status/903834627768324096   Permalink 2:06 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@AD_WHITMAN Roll your big a** down to Venezuela for a year. Come back and tell me how the #VenezuelaDiet (starving due to socialism) worked out for you. pic.twitter.com/r0UUqv4sJC Permalink 10:22 AM – 2 Sep 2017

@VergilDen “Not everything happens for a reason but everything that survives, survives for a reason” NNT Permalink 10:11 AM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Exccccccccellent question. Lindy being a noise filtering mechanism lowers every year the probability of spurious survival.https://twitter.com/DoctorLex/status/904000010899132416   Permalink 8:52 AM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb People were not getting that the (alleged) food costs savings by GMOs (at huge risks) were DWARFED by more efficient food distribution. Permalink 7:39 PM – 1 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Bezos got that distrib =up to 83% food costs. Focus on distr, not risky “tech” product. Organic cheaper, GMO dead.http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-09-01/amazon-has-twice-many-fulfillment-centers-rest-entire-us-retail-industry   Permalink 7:32 PM – 1 Sep 2017

@GuruAnaerobic “No BS Trader” @nntaleb vs IYI academic, BBC luvvie, “diversity”, imbecillo-bullshito-classico pic.twitter.com/pIuBtauDkv Permalink 8:04 AM – 1 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friday Semitic Philology. RE @lsarsour: Sarsour means “pimp” in mod. Hebrew frm Aramaic סַרְסוּר (with a Samekh), Cricket with a Tsadeh. pic.twitter.com/wdguyqOlJr Permalink 7:16 AM – 1 Sep 2017

@nntaleb When someone makes an announcement saying “I have a great relationship with my wife”, you know a divorce is getting close.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/903614451999539200   Permalink 6:50 AM – 1 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Sarsour means cockroach in Arabic. It is very, very unfair to cockroaches.https://twitter.com/amconmag/status/903593280822173698   Permalink 5:22 AM – 1 Sep 2017

@normonics Classic @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/4uru8Ol6bB Permalink 6:26 PM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb We think alike on this @rorysutherland pic.twitter.com/e242tAeIva Permalink 6:16 PM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I like to buy products made by egomaniac people. Or, at least people called arrogant. pic.twitter.com/c8W09vsfIK Permalink 6:11 PM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 13 Coffee Shops Around Phoenicia That Will Charm You https://www.beirut.com/l/52816   via @BeirutCityGuide Permalink 4:58 PM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Some marketing/framing savvy pple figured out that the most effective way to build a fascist movement is to call it: antifascist. Permalink 1:08 AM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Problem w/academic parasites isn’t just disconnect from the real world; it’s their lack of awareness of it. #SkinInTheGamehttps://twitter.com/drtomflynn/status/902647984000827392   Permalink 12:48 AM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Now if I called Monbiot an idiot, it is because of his promoting AlQaeda propaganda abt the Syrian war & fake stories abt Aleppo. Permalink 8:35 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb My idea is to WORRY about our actions on climate out of PRECAUTION, not systematically attribute events to it. @yaneerbaryam Permalink 6:31 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb From Silent Risk: the Lucretius problem. People don’t realize that systems deliver new maxima. pic.twitter.com/xtu5tLeNIp Permalink 5:48 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Point is that idiots like @GeorgeMonbiot are attributing Houston floods to Climate Change, rather than bad understanding of tail probability Permalink 4:59 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Think tanks are natural lobbies w/a facade of “research” Their cover allows them to censor dissent from monoculturehttps://nyti.ms/2whLSts   Permalink 4:43 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Nero di seppia ( spaghetti con farro) pic.twitter.com/Hw5yOavHMY Permalink 5:39 PM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Chapters frm nxt book If the author doesn’t surprise the reader w/something every few pages, books & authors diehttps://medium.com/incerto   Permalink 3:28 PM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb When people talk about 500 y floods or 100 year rain, they are klueless abt tail distribution. The empirical distribution is NOT empirical! pic.twitter.com/XdrLf1gfgN Permalink 1:40 PM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I have never read #Antifragile under olive trees. I will try next week.https://twitter.com/petranovskaja/status/901747046113304576   Permalink 12:31 PM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Another benefit of Brexit seen 5 years ago in Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/tophtucker/status/902595164669177860   Permalink 11:35 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb No, and it is not a violation of the First Am. if I block people like you who tweet stupid things to me; private workspace != public. Permalink 6:54 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Freedom of Expression is a central UNCONDITIONAL symmetry: You are allowed speech if I am allowed speech pic.twitter.com/iWeGP21DcO Permalink 6:18 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Main MARKER for group to be fascist-shmascist-smthng_ist regardless of what they call themselves left/right/diagonal: Public Expression Permalink 5:51 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The very idea of freedom of expression is to allow someone to tell others things they do not like to hear. Permalink 5:24 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb In other words, see the surviving population after n generations, here 21 & compare to common processes. Permalink 6:15 PM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Trying to dabble w/population genetics under fat tails! So far, some intuitions. Some work for us, @DrCirillo cc: @PZalloua pic.twitter.com/zXsGCmow6O Permalink 6:12 PM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Free speech is so robust intellectually that arguments to try to suspend it are inconsistent w/one another & the rest of the corpus.https://twitter.com/CliffordAsness/status/902252554154762240   Permalink 2:10 PM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb E bella la lingua italiana: “Chi troppo in alto sal cade sovente precipitevolissimevolmente” Permalink 12:51 PM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Letting someone w a razor is a sign of trust. Permalink 7:09 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Kalabrez’ lesson facima a barba curazol’ pic.twitter.com/73G2rDaIZ6 Permalink 7:07 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This problem came out of the statement (as generalization) that: P/E ratio of the market != weighted average P/E ratio of ind companies.https://twitter.com/CutTheKnotMath/status/902047463351177216   Permalink 5:43 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Journalist Interrogated, Fired For Story Linking CIA And Syria Weapons Flights | Zero Hedgehttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-28/journalist-interrogated-fired-story-linking-cia-and-syria-weapons-flights   Permalink 5:23 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb “…nec alte cadere nec graviter potest” Publilius Permalink 5:20 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If you want to punish an enemy, help put him on a pedestal. He will hurt himself falling from it. Permalink 4:57 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@JohnJSSoriano .@nntaleb has explained this well. Can’t make projection of worst case based on previous worst event. Wouldn’t have worked for prev event!https://twitter.com/stealthygeek/status/901885696075542531   Permalink 7:05 PM – 27 Aug 2017

@nntaleb https://youtu.be/9dKiLclupUM   Permalink 2:37 PM – 27 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Added to The Logic of Risk Taking. People w skin in the game who take risks don’t like tail risk. https://medium.com/incerto/the-logic-of-risk-taking-107bf41029d3   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Bah4FJsiFZ”>  pic.twitter.com/Bah4FJsiFZ Permalink 7:35 AM – 27 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Explains that such probability-risk experiments assume the person will never take risks again. https://medium.com/incerto/the-logic-of-risk-taking-107bf41029d3   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/U0dq3iSBeQ”>  pic.twitter.com/U0dq3iSBeQ Permalink 12:17 PM – 26 Aug 2017

@obradovits1 @nntaleb ‘s def of ergodicity is consistent with what I lrnt during my pstgrad stdies. However, @nntaleb provides a new way to thnk. abt it.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/901507397755297792   Permalink 11:31 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This imbecile is digging deeper, using a …1928 def. Mr Ma cKenzie go back to doing what you do and let other people on twitter work. pic.twitter.com/X3UuAJHcfv Permalink 11:11 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The sign of a failed academic is referring to his “thesis” as contribution. Perhaps @ole_b_peters can answer you what is meant by ergodicity Permalink 10:22 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@ole_b_peters Spot-on. Meaningless experiments. Insurance benefits buyer and seller over time, not across the ensemble. http://bit.ly/2s1JuD4   Permalink 9:58 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb In which a Microsoft person bull***ts abt work he never read & concepts he knows nothing abt.https://twitter.com/mknz/status/901479974724554756   Permalink 9:52 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Corrected mistakes. (Cutting through the BS in social science) pic.twitter.com/1FZF8TxqCM Permalink 9:01 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb In other words: risk aversion is what is needed to make things ergodic.https://medium.com/incerto/the-logic-of-risk-taking-107bf41029d3   Permalink 8:55 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb “Risk Aversion” is fictional nonsense to employ psychologists. https://medium.com/incerto/the-logic-of-risk-taking-107bf41029d3   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/EEjUViSaL7″>  pic.twitter.com/EEjUViSaL7 Permalink 8:54 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb LOCALISM “At Fed level, libertarian; state, Republican; local, Democrat; family/friends, socialist.” @geoffreydgraham citing broth. Vincent. Permalink 8:06 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@mikeandallie A algebra / geometry project for kids inspired by @nntaleb and @CutTheKnotMath : https://mikesmathpage.wordpress.com/2017/08/26/a-project-for-kids-inspired-by-nassim-taleb-and-alexander-bogomolny/   #math #mathchat cc: @KelseyAHE Permalink 6:21 AM – 26 Aug 2017