Monthly Archives: April 2017

Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood

Link to full post: Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood

One of the problems of the interventionista –wanting to get involved in other people’s affairs “in order to help”, while genuinely wanting to do good, results in disrupting some of the peace-making mechanisms that are inherent in human’s affairs, a combination of collaboration and strategic hostility. As we saw in the prologue, the error continues because someone else is paying the price.

On Interventionistas and their Mental Defects

Link to full post: On Interventionistas and their Mental Defects

Skin in the Game is necessary to reduce the effects of the following divergences that arose mainly as a side effect of civilization: action and cheap talk (tawk), consequence and intention, practice and theory, honor and reputation, expertise and pseudoexpertise, concrete and abstract, ethical and legal, genuine and cosmetic, entrepreneur and bureaucrat, entrepreneur and chief executive, strength and display, love and gold-digging, Coventry and Brussels, Omaha and Washington, D.C., economists and human beings, authors and editors, scholarship and academia, democracy and governance, science and scientism, politics and politicians, love and money, the spirit and the letter, Cato the Elder and Barack Obama, quality and advertising, commitment and signaling, and, centrally, collective and individual.

Joseph Justus Scaliger, Nate Silver, Palestinian-Israeli, Macron, Algeria, Nikki Haley, Scientism, Monsanto, Neo-Cons, Patriots | Twitter

@nntaleb His translation https://books.google.com/books?id=I3UTAAAAQAAJ&pg=PA19&dq=scaliger+arabicorum&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjQs_26mM3TAhVDLyYKHf59CXUQ6AEIODAD#v=onepage&q&f=false   Permalink 3:08 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Joseph Justus Scaliger remains the most erudite man in history. He knew mathematics, Aramaic, Hebrew… He even translated Arabic proverbshttps://twitter.com/SanguineEmpiric/status/858802597783773184   Permalink 3:05 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb One thing I can certify: Nate Silver doesn’t know “his” subject. Not probability or “wvidence”.https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/858741398694187012   Permalink 12:58 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I confirm. GMO operatives tried a smear campaign on yours truly. So far, failed. Some journos like @doctorow were complicit w/fake newshttps://twitter.com/peterdoodes/status/858745682282385408   Permalink 11:54 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Cretan diet is fiction. @GuruAnaerobic @drjasonfung pic.twitter.com/FJmBR8BAJC Permalink 10:29 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb There are v. few Algerian Jihadis in ISIS, many from France. Tunisia is a country in trouble. pic.twitter.com/ZuIKwmh4sR Permalink 7:40 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Do these photos match those of the propagandists?https://twitter.com/Rajarajan941/status/858361038495928320   Permalink 7:36 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb How the Israeli-Palestine problem comes from too many cooks with no skin-in-the-gamehttps://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac   Permalink 6:58 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood”https://medium.com/p/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac   Permalink 6:55 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb @saifedean a Libertarian Palestinian, has similar comments. Permalink 6:13 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Palestinian-Israeli conflict perpetuated by people “who are trying to help”. #SkinintheGame pic.twitter.com/SAyzKaZ3wt Permalink 6:01 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) If Macron is elected, we will need to protect Algeria from France and its French-grown Jihadis. Permalink 5:46 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb And Macron needs a good lesson about the Minority Rule.https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15   Permalink 5:00 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Ironically, Algeria got rid of the bulk of its Jihadis after their civil war. Active Algerian Jihadis are more likely to be in France.https://twitter.com/_Stalker_69_/status/858605396075962368   Permalink 4:58 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Never explain why something important is important. Permalink 2:01 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb When a principle is strong and (you feel) imperative, everything you do to justify it or rationalize it makes it weaker. Everything. Permalink 2:58 PM – 29 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I meant lifting your maximum load requires a great deal of concentration (particularly if you live in New York). Permalink 10:21 AM – 29 Apr 2017

@nntaleb To echo Yogi Berra, almost all of weightlifting is mental. Only the other half is physical. Permalink 8:59 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Please, replace her. With anything. Even an animal from the New York zoo would be safer. Perhaps even an economist.http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/330247-trump-haley-could-easily-be-replaced#.WQO2J77djPQ.twitter   Permalink 2:40 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb My theory is that companies don’t die for external causes. They just commit suicide.https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/858065371164626944   Permalink 2:22 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb More squid ink. pic.twitter.com/U1zsQhuvF1 Permalink 1:11 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb He changed his name to Pinker Boy as penitence after losing a math bet.https://twitter.com/loglog_vc/status/858036487727849473   Permalink 12:38 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@niall_gooch How have I never seen this story before? The last Byzantine Emperor went out like a man. pic.twitter.com/7dEJH4e37L Permalink 12:07 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Our study explaining the BS in studies of “drop in violence”. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315 Permalink 10:34 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb El libro de mi amigo Tom Holand @holland_tom pic.twitter.com/U1pzG6iekb Permalink 8:31 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This BS graph doesn’t have *intensity* of wars. More people died in a tiny segment in 20th C than all before.https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/857638539554693121   Permalink 7:39 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Travel Heuristic: In a v. touristy town, if a rstrant is overbooked, show up in nice jacket & Italian-looking shoes & you will get a table. Permalink 7:32 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Travel Heuristic: In a scenic place, the best restaurant is most likely to be the most crowded one with no view.https://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52   Permalink 6:33 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Mission: Defend science against obscurantism & Defend science against scientismhttps://twitter.com/TheCharlieton/status/857938763749748736   Permalink 6:21 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Globalistidiots assume that pple are only paid in money, not the pride & belonging seeing the community consume their products & vice versa. Permalink 2:35 PM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Thanks Ron Paul, once again. Scientism is our disease.https://twitter.com/RonPaul/status/857644784604909568   Permalink 10:31 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philology du jour: Motto of Emir of Granada, on all walls of Alhambra, “Only victor is G” equivalent of memento homo https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auriga_(slave)   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/MOYJhtaR4R”>  pic.twitter.com/MOYJhtaR4R Permalink 10:16 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@primalpoly When SJWs demand we ignore 70 million years of mammalian maternal behavior, to conform to this season’s PC fad.https://heatst.com/culture-wars/study-describing-breastfeeding-as-natural-is-unethical-because-it-reinforces-gender-roles/   Permalink 8:18 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@NC_CyberLaw This entire thread. And read @nntaleb books. You’ll never look at any client matter or news story the same way again.https://twitter.com/isamuel/status/857586263720906753   Permalink 6:47 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Globalism has the effect of separating some people a step too far from the fruits of their actions. #skininthegame pic.twitter.com/5jQktncGj9 Permalink 4:24 AM – 26 Apr 2017

@RyanMaue Worthwhile read on scientism –>https://mises.org/blog/neil-ty-scientism-guy   Permalink 6:55 PM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I am surprised nobody recognized Doyne Farmer & his types from Antifragile. They made Fat Tony rich pic.twitter.com/grCI8XTZa2 Permalink 11:17 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philip II to the Spartans: You should submit because IF my armies invade you I will destroy, slay your pple, & raze your city Spartans: “If” Permalink 11:14 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philip II to the Spartans: You should submit because IF my armies invade you I will destroy, slay your pple, & raze your city Spartans: “If” Permalink 11:14 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “Could”.https://twitter.com/sfiscience/status/856907470907863041   Permalink 11:01 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb One of those low-IQ shills disguized as journalist is keith kloor @keithkloor. Shame. Permalink 5:25 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb One of those low-IQ shills disguized as journalist is keith kloor @keithkloor. Shame. Permalink 5:25 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The victim of Monsanto is not just the agricultural structure; it is SCIENCE.https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/856677879601545216   Permalink 5:19 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the game does not imply unlimited liability. Just means SOME punishment. Permalink 2:23 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the game in place of regulations.https://twitter.com/pmansfield678/status/856751898019475456   Permalink 12:48 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I am now about where Halevy wrote this. Permalink 4:33 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Halevy לִבִּי בְמִזְרָח וְאָנֹכִי בְּסוֹף מַעֲרָב Permalink 4:23 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Debunking Trump’s Casus Belli | The American Conservative http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/debunking-trumps-casus-belli/   via @amconmag Permalink 4:01 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “Mr Taleb,I don’t always agree w/you,but..” Me:”Can you 1st tell me what you disagree with,sthing concrete?” “I’ll get back to you on that” Permalink 3:43 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb More mysteries: almodovar, frm Medawar (round), does not come frm Arabic (mustadir), bt Aramaic, cd predate Arabs w/ Phoen or Jewish root. Permalink 8:22 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The reason there is an unconditional freedom of speech is because no one can define the limitations without some special interest kicking inhttps://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/856504350692315137   Permalink 8:09 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I used option language because this is exactly an Iron butterfly. pic.twitter.com/7UErfodMjS Permalink 7:39 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@zerohedge Taleb Trashes The “Interventionistas” & Their Mental Defectshttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-23/taleb-trashes-interventionistas-their-mental-defects   Permalink 3:15 PM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Mystery almost solved! May have to do with Aljamiado! (transcription by Mozarabs) Discovered the ج is “ch”, the غ “gue”. pic.twitter.com/j5jiutcWOp Permalink 2:50 PM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb And the GDP of France correlates with the number of crimes by suffocation in Panama… Fooled by Randomness? http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations   https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/855868745927053319   Permalink 11:24 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Galopar with g. But “a ghalopar” with ghayn. Mysteriously, also the “r” in Portuguese when in beginning as in Rua or Rio. Permalink 10:48 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philology du jour: “A galopar” pronounced w/a “gh” not g sound, frm Semitic غghayn Alberti https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghayn  https://youtu.be/15JfnrqBqSI   Permalink 10:42 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The lawsuit ag. Monsanto has released TONS of documents, which will help us clean up & make some shills accountable. Permalink 10:02 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Some interesting docs betw Monsanto shills including fake journo @keithkloor & Folta on how to discredit dissenting scientists @schmittpaula Permalink 9:48 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The “ad hominem fallacy” is a fallacy. Science is CREDIBILITY & reliability, as in court. Once, like Folta, you lose it, you NEVER recover. Permalink 3:38 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Remember that there is NO study showing the tail risks of GMOs & safety. Just as no real one for glyphosate. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 3:30 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb French elections: My arbitrage model would work in a two-candidate contest. But shouldn’t it for 4? https://arxiv.org/pdf/1703.06351.pdf   Permalink 7:56 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb All my life I’ve never held someone to be a fraud then found out he was legit; but I’ve made the opposite mistake (Nate Silver,Pinker boy..) Permalink 7:20 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Finally pic.twitter.com/DZWzu381rv Permalink 1:03 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb This #Offshorecomic commemorates the 10-year anniversary of The Black Swan. Spectacular book indeed. #BlackSwan pic.twitter.com/P7np56yUF1 Permalink 11:01 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The results of my exploration. Madrid is a good city for squid inkers ! pic.twitter.com/nxnNT9ozpk Permalink 9:38 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The results of my exploration. Madrid is a good city for squid inkers ! pic.twitter.com/nxnNT9ozpk Permalink 9:38 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Max is a clear thinker, intellectually honest and logically consistent. Follow this thread.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/855819794540634112   Permalink 9:30 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Any restaurant in central Madrid that does both squid ink and tapsas? Permalink 6:06 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb In Hammurabi’s code, authors of false accusations were to be punished as if they committed the crime. But Louise Mensch is mentally unstablehttps://twitter.com/SethAbramson/status/855564990249611265   Permalink 6:46 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I don’t discuss anything with liars, Mr Folta. Permalink 6:19 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Our case against Monsanto is here http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 5:05 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Our case against Monsanto is here http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 5:05 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Dear friends, what are the best squid ink restaurants in Madrid Seville Granada? Thanks! Permalink 3:42 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Friends, what was Fareed Zakaria’s approach to interventionism? Libya, Iraq, etc.? I saw him congratulating Prez Trump on the tomahawks Permalink 1:13 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Why can’t Monsanto afford more intelligent shills than @kevinfolta? Is it the price? Or that smarter scientists are more honorable?https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/855487367775256576   Permalink 11:36 AM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I just published “On Neo-Cons and their Mental Defects”https://medium.com/p/on-neo-cons-and-their-mental-defects-d12685585b11   Permalink 7:00 AM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This largely explains the medicare induced deficit. #Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/drjasonfung/status/855179500782538753   Permalink 3:03 PM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Beware false analogies: A politician can engage in propaganda/advocacy; newspapers that do so are no longer in the news business. Kapish? Permalink 11:38 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@garykmrivers Perhaps time for another read. Note: each tab relates to a charlatan shredding, myth busting wonder. @nntaleb #Antifragile pic.twitter.com/pm2sYXmR32 Permalink 10:37 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Effectively, the @nytimes was caught red handed engaging in a shoddy deceptive practice.https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/855055509455593472   Permalink 9:01 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Me:”Would you like red or white wine?” Rippetoe: “White wine is for salad dressing”. I drink only white wine. Permalink 7:47 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Historical enigma du jour: Golden Calf. Phoenicians & Assyrians were J2 Haplogroup, IndoEuropeans w/bull worship. Israelites were partly J2. pic.twitter.com/txRrShqvBU Permalink 4:45 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@johndurant Damn. The Patriots call out the New York Times for fake news. NYT spreading rumors about a photo like it’s high school.https://twitter.com/Patriots/status/854858415012806656   Permalink 6:53 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Me: Are there many people who look thin? Rip: Thin people aren’t fit. Permalink 4:31 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@aceloew 24 Big Reasons Why Trust in Corporate Media Has Reached All-Time Lows: A Visual Guide https://aceloewgold.com/2017/04/19/why-trust-in-corporate-media-has-reached-all-time-lows-a-visual-guide/   @nntaleb @Judgenap Permalink 3:39 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Rippetoe @CoachRippetoe menacing, extremely critical of my form and my lack of lifting shoes. pic.twitter.com/4mWHxbzx3G Permalink 2:40 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Looks like what works is obvious…https://twitter.com/ericozkan1/status/854786130432208898   Permalink 1:24 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The full introduction pic.twitter.com/6TBG5mGn6n Permalink 7:11 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Finally got to the introduction of Skin in the Game: how does the same Silver rule bust bullshit & install justice? pic.twitter.com/XbWMfSKySt Permalink 6:51 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb There is a flaw in the logical wiring of pseudo-left & neocons #IYIs; they miss that their logic leads to: pro-regime change = pro-slaveryhttps://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/852263398712774657   Permalink 6:04 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb High probability of Le Pen winning: attacked by 25 PseudoNobel economists, including the always wrong Stiglitz.http://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2017/04/18/25-nobel-d-economie-denoncent-les-programmes-anti-europeens_5112711_3232.html   Permalink 5:16 AM – 19 Apr 2017

On Interventionistas and their Mental Defects | Medium

On Interventionistas and their Mental Defects

Skin in the Game is necessary to reduce the effects of the following divergences that arose mainly as a side effect of civilization: action and cheap talk (tawk), consequence and intention, practice and theory, honor and reputation, expertise and pseudoexpertise, concrete and abstract, ethical and legal, genuine and cosmetic, entrepreneur and bureaucrat, entrepreneur and chief executive, strength and display, love and gold-digging, Coventry and Brussels, Omaha and Washington, D.C., economists and human beings, authors and editors, scholarship and academia, democracy and governance, science and scientism, politics and politicians, love and money, the spirit and the letter, Cato the Elder and Barack Obama, quality and advertising, commitment and signaling, and, centrally, collective and individual.

How to Live in a World we Don’t Understand

Published on Mar 12, 2017

https://www.bigspeak.com/speakers/nassim-taleb/

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He transformed his interests into three successful careers – as a businessman-trader, a philosophical essayist, and an academic researcher.

Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute.

His books, Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages with more than 3 million copies in print. The Black Swan idea is currently inspiring research papers in philosophy, statistics, psychology, economics, medical research, epidemiology, political science, and engineering.

Taleb specializes in uncertainty and errors in human knowledge, teaching us how to deal with, and benefit from, unpredictability.

To hire this speaker to speak at your next event, contact BigSpeak Speakers Bureau (805) 965-1400