Story: Nassim Nicholas Taleb hits out at Chinese printers’ censorship of his book
The writer Nassim Nicholas Taleb has blasted Chinese printers with accusations of censorship, after the manuscript for a US edition of his 2012 book Antifragile was returned with the instruction to replace mentions of Taiwan with “China, Taiwan”.
@nntaleb Ironically, Algeria (who had an experience w/them) stands against the Salifis, while France supports them in Syria.https://twitter.com/GhassanDahhan/status/811216923644100608 Permalink 6:28 PM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 2) The biggest mistake with fat tails is that people (even statisticians) conflate “infinite variance” & “infinite variations” @DrCirillo Permalink 2:55 PM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb .@stampede331 @Ayan_Dutta1981 Why don’t you fuck off and go read some author to satisfy your agenda. Permalink 2:49 PM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb By writing… history books @byzantinepower Permalink 2:10 PM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb .@jmaron9 ~ALL is never ALL, which IS the Black Swan idea. Permalink 2:08 PM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Starting to work with @DrCirillo on the Fat Tails book. Reverse engineered to help answer my exam questions. pic.twitter.com/uxkgyJF8yL Permalink 12:53 PM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb #FooledbyRandomness is abt how many successful businessmen are not as skilled as we think. But I hold that ~all bureaucrats are unskilled. Permalink 11:59 AM – 20 Dec 2016
@kapitalust This seems like the type of chart that @nntaleb would make to show Skin in the Game vs. IYI (via Ray Dalio: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reflections-trump-presidency-one-month-after-election-ray-dalio ) ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/P3MTryNuVG”> pic.twitter.com/P3MTryNuVG Permalink 9:25 AM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 5) Statistical inference using background information/conditional probability, alas, cannot be made to be politically correct. Live with it. Permalink 5:45 AM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 4) Point of risktaking: had the perpetrator been a German librarian, the pseudoleft police would have kept using it for the rest of my life Permalink 4:47 AM – 20 Dec 2016
@ban_kanj 5 people arrested in Egypt for using children to stage fake news, on Aleppo.https://twitter.com/Independent/status/811186103172681728 Permalink 4:29 AM – 20 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Only vice versa @MCasiyo Permalink 6:55 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb At least they have skills in the real world: not IYIs & academics whose only skill is to write papers for academics.https://twitter.com/SenSanders/status/809874861736816644 Permalink 4:36 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 3)Turned out that I was right about the “religion”. I like to stick my neck before info is public, just for existential riskloving reasons. Permalink 3:22 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Watch @Charles_Lister trying to demonize @TulsiGabbard as her bill against AlQaeda cooperation will put him in jail. pic.twitter.com/mmZKaNzkCd Permalink 2:36 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Voila the promoter of Salafasism @Charles_Lister. I was, once again, right about my target.https://twitter.com/Gjoene/status/810955806220881921 Permalink 1:16 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The only terrorrist act in West by a Shiite in past few years was a German-Iranian NeoNazi Arian supremacist @ignaziano @RUFl0 Permalink 1:12 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb .@RUFl0 @ReutersWorld How many Levantine Christians,Armenians/ Ezidis/oth minorities have committed such acts in recent history? Exactly 0? Permalink 1:08 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@cjdelisle Given Taleb’s record for successfully picking unstable Goliaths to topple, things are not looking good for Saudi Arabia…https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/810650211282485248 Permalink 1:04 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb A drunken driver would have had his problem before the market. Eastern Europeans… rare but outlier @robert_we Permalink 12:57 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Simply 99% of such acts are by Salafascists. A deranged German yoga instructor is possible, but very low probability. Permalink 12:53 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb As a trader and probabilist, let me guess. Odds that he is not a middle aged German baker. I venture: Jihadi 20-40.https://twitter.com/ReutersWorld/status/810947844387573760 Permalink 12:43 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Le Monde in headline doesn’t dare say “killed by a Jihadi” but “Killed by a bullet”. France MSM needs revamping!http://www.lemonde.fr/europe/article/2016/12/19/turquie-l-ambassadeur-russe-grievement-blesse-apres-une-attaque-armee-a-ankara_5051340_3214.html Permalink 12:06 PM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Juan Cole is mandatory reading. Regular Syrians in Syria are fed up w/Rebels.https://twitter.com/jricole/status/810916791639740416 Permalink 11:31 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@WeAreLebanon The rain pouring down the streets of #Beirut By @julianasfarah #WeAreLebanon pic.twitter.com/1aPf7weJHz Permalink 11:14 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Mr Kessler, your reasoning abilities do not seem developed @OrenKessler Search for evidence/trail is NOT a conspiracy theory, even reverse. Permalink 10:10 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb This is the murder of an emissary. Best example in 491BC Spartans executing/throwing down Persian embassy down the well. @holland_tom Permalink 9:41 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Mr Kessler you were not discussing my scholarship (you can’t) but my listing AQaeda operatives in Think Tanks. #incoherent @OrenKessler Permalink 9:40 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Mr @OrenKessler, had you done scholarship instead of journalistic balderdash, you wd have known abt academic freedomhttps://twitter.com/OrenKessler/status/810889689255256064 Permalink 9:34 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 6) “Intellectuals” are still under severe emotional distress; it’s not just Trump.The anxiety of seeing their map of reality upside down. Permalink 9:22 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Fat Tony to N: Vilify *harmful* assholes for pleasure, to keep your training. But when you strike for revenge, wait, then do it only once. Permalink 8:03 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb I got a “journo” who spreads fake news about Syria @borzou to defend himself by spreading #fakenews about me! @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 Permalink 6:55 AM – 19 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Thanks! Signed in. Those who want to register, mail address: Remember911@fooledbyrandomness.com @dellajoNYC Permalink 5:22 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Thanks! Signed up! @MakeAusGr8Again Permalink 5:21 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@AssalehAmer nassim is the kind of fucking courageous people humanity needshttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/810653392603348993 Permalink 5:14 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The model is below; I have noproblem hiring investigators to get AlQaeda operatives in DC think tanks #skininthegamehttps://usrtk.org/our-investigations/ Permalink 5:10 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Fundamentalism starts with being literal about beliefs. @JAnthonyWare Permalink 5:03 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Starting a register/tracking AlQaeda think tank & journos agents 1) Sources of funds 2) Positions on Yemen/Syria… Volunteers. Funded by ME Permalink 4:57 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Nicene Creed: from Credere (or in Greek Pisteuo) doesn’t mean epistemic belief but doxastic, commitment to trust. @JAnthonyWare Permalink 4:25 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Ryan, the dogma of atheism is thinking beliefs *of others* are epistemic & LITERAL, like e=mc^2, not allegorical & functional @funtime_bobby Permalink 4:15 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb C’est la trahison des clercs! Resume de la guerre en Syrie. http://www.agoravox.fr/actualites/international/article/un-resume-de-la-guerre-civile-en-187595 Permalink 3:07 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Well kept secret: for selfowned people, unlike the rest, the ability to make money (hence make decisions) does not really decline with age. Permalink 1:11 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb OK, #Salafascism it is. Thanks everyone for voting.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/810101882559537152 Permalink 12:44 PM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The paper pic.twitter.com/I4tQKiPOe2 Permalink 7:28 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Finally, paper done. Found the exact bound for price of binary estimate & volatility of electoral vote! 538 klueless pic.twitter.com/utxXoe4T6A Permalink 7:26 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The #Salafascist cancer will stop w/the impending bankruptcy of #SaudiBarbaria. Good News: Solar has gamma (convex)https://twitter.com/business/status/809288801570983936 Permalink 5:57 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@alxpr1c3 @yaneerbaryam intelligence is rigorously described by @nntaleb (photo from @mdvex ) pic.twitter.com/QCS626hgqU Permalink 5:17 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 3/Trading and real science (not science journalism/college scientism) are same. Feynman:”Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.” Permalink 5:05 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb “Bulls make money Bears make money Sheep get slaughtered.” Fat Tony, in #Skininthegame Permalink 4:42 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Best training ever for rigor & critical reasoning is…TRADING. You can ONLY survive long term by going against wrong CONSENSUS by “experts” Permalink 4:29 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Best training ever for rigor & critical reasoning is…TRADING. You can ONLY survive long term by going against wrong CONSENSUS by experts Permalink 4:29 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb PETER HITCHENS: Amid the bombs of Aleppo, all you can hear are the lies http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2016/12/peter-hitchens-amid-the-bombs-of-aleppo-all-you-can-hear-are-the-lies.html Permalink 4:23 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb No, imbecile, it is how religions interact w/non Moslems (takfiris), not their eschatology. @ericswerdlin Permalink 4:12 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The Romans treated harshly religions that *rejected* other rituals (s.a. Christianity). For the rest, everything goes. @crd37 Permalink 4:09 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The East Aleppo Rebels ARE Al Qaeda. American elites are either idiots or influenced by PR shills for Saudi Barbaria. @JohnGeard Permalink 3:51 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Iran/Shiites vs West is geopolitics, w/social-religious tolerance. Salafis vs West is social-religious incompatibility (hidden by oil $)! Permalink 3:37 AM – 18 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Only allowed homeopathy in place of placebo for restricted circumstance. Rationalwiki is fake news! @borzou @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 Permalink 4:54 PM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Fabricator @borzou is using fake news rationalwiki. This is what I WROTE abt Homeopathy @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 pic.twitter.com/J4NeSpfRqs Permalink 4:53 PM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 5) Gray discussed 19th C Russian writers who were like me, both Orthodox & classical pagans, e.g. Merezhkovsky Permalink 3:56 PM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 4) Pagans unlike monotheists and atheists don’t have heresies. Permalink 3:27 PM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 3) A long, 4 hour conversation with Isiah Berlin would consist in 3 hours and 50 minutes of gossip. Permalink 3:26 PM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 2/ Michael Oakeshot the philosopher of small “c” conservatism had at some point six mistresses, all wives of leftist professors. Permalink 3:21 PM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 1/ Conversation with John Gray. Any “thinker” who strays from the allowed script experiences something similar to leprosy. Permalink 3:19 PM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb John Gray in New York for some flaneuring in spite of the weather. pic.twitter.com/LRj4FiGod0 Permalink 10:52 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The Fox/Hedgehog split has turned into big BS. It works on narrow local separable noncomplex system related issues.https://twitter.com/PrometheusAM/status/810162845912440832 Permalink 8:43 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The #Lindyeffect what they learned is still valid today; what your children learn outside math survives a few yearshttps://twitter.com/vadiboom/status/810152264719618052 Permalink 8:08 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb *By definition* a Salafi is *not allowed* to think in a way that strays an inch from the 7 C. “ancestors” Generations not allowed to think! Permalink 6:20 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Note the point that Salafism is NOT a “religion”. It is a criminal party.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/we-dont-know-what-we-are-talking-about-when-we-talk-about-religion-3e65e6a3c44e#.n8co2bl59 Permalink 5:54 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Reason the Salafis didn’t kill more pple in history is low IQ, sheer military incompetence & lack of weapons. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wahhabi_sack_of_Karbala Permalink 5:41 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb “In the box GMOs” yes works very very well as no tail risk/complexity effects. @MellowOchre Permalink 5:23 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb My problem is that as bad as Hitler’s Nazis were, Salafism is one order of magnitude worse, e.g. ISIS. @XFaure Permalink 4:43 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Jihad is positive; in Arabic means the exact opposite: effort for improvement => Ijtihad = improve religion. @InternetHindus Permalink 4:42 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The “left”s infatuation w/AlQaeda can be broken by a LABEL Islamofascism is unfair (incl Shiites & secular Sunnis) Permalink 4:38 AM – 17 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Meeting the anonymous @EHSANI22 for a conversation about the IYIs we have been fighting on twitter. pic.twitter.com/sL8fU29L9d Permalink 6:18 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Techne episteme. We messed up the balance! @TheMainstand Permalink 3:55 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Our precautionary principle page / busting GMOs http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html @PaesurBiey Permalink 3:48 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Educated in 1860 was educated Today educated is starting to be overeducated & brainwashed, just like overfed, overprotected, & overmedicated Permalink 3:47 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Fake journalists/Al-Qaeda apologists s.a. @borzou call pple “sectarian” and “racist” when exposed, use identity politics to hide @EHSANI22 Permalink 3:03 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb ~40% of GMO studies have financial conflicts of interesthttps://www.yahoo.com/news/many-gmo-studies-financial-conflicts-interest-201413164.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw Permalink 2:43 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb It all started that because pseudolefts are swayed by terms, to use Islamofascism, unfair for Islam. Now Salafifascism works. @Priapus_D Permalink 12:54 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb We need a sect/designation “Sunni nonWahabi” to simplify. @Priapus_D Permalink 12:30 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb My point is to narrow down the designation “Islam” to specific sects that include Wahabis and Salafis, exclude Shiites who have none of that Permalink 12:01 PM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb .@holland_tom @Super_ayatollah @RussianCarousel @JingDoc Tom this one can download from Univ. pic.twitter.com/kMgXhlBjIb Permalink 11:42 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Shiites are very, very tolerant w/Christians. Time for the MSM to substitute “Islamic Jihad” w/ “Sunni Jihad”https://twitter.com/holland_tom/status/809820099909742593 Permalink 10:08 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Friends, does anyone knows well Popper’s explicit discussion of “causality”? Well enough to summarize in a tweet? Permalink 9:33 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb In @newtgingrich IYI mvt, identify operatives giving cover to Al Qaeda/Jihad: @shadihamid @MiddleEastInst @borzou pic.twitter.com/hmvMKww70K Permalink 8:48 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Most IYIs who are pro-mass immigration never went drinking with an immigrant cab driver. #Skininthegame.https://twitter.com/foxjust/status/809778255914037248 Permalink 7:22 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Looks like the Syrian War summary is spreading…https://twitter.com/newtgingrich/status/809759045330542594 Permalink 7:13 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Added this detail to the summary of the Syrian war https://medium.com/opacity/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d#.wwwpzah0r ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/y4P1ymXkXl”> pic.twitter.com/y4P1ymXkXl Permalink 5:56 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb .@HappyRussians I was being censored IN NEW YORK for a US book! Permalink 5:37 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb .@alejand06640904 @PVanderHallen Marsalia Marsa-El comes from port of God in Phoenicien. Ramatuelle: Ramat El, Hill of God Permalink 5:31 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb I forgot that Syria was in The Black Swan. I need to add my warning about the collapse to the Medium piece.https://twitter.com/xkape/status/809743816521580544 Permalink 5:29 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb I forgot: Fight with Chinese censorship. Vastly more sophisticated than the low IQ stooges of Saudi Barbariahttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/809591402699038720 Permalink 4:48 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The only compliments I care about relate to courage. Intellect is a cheap currency.https://twitter.com/rwthewayIseeit/status/809602800921415680 Permalink 4:46 AM – 16 Dec 2016
@nntaleb My 2016 fights: GMOs, DONE (biz is busting) IYI academobureaucrats, DONE (in mourning/hiding) Islamofascist shills, IN PROGRESS Good year! Permalink 6:50 PM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb My friend @Ehsani22 is Aleppine, being lectured by busted Al Qaeda promoter Borzou Daraghi abt his own city.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/809155940746489857 Permalink 5:10 PM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Shadi Hamid’s positions shows that he wants the U.S. to send help to ALQAEDA of Sept 11. He is a cryptoIslamist. Shame! @KS1729 @shadihamid Permalink 2:05 PM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Great: *Intellectual Yet Idiot* piece making it to policy, leading to purges! https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.33vi3omtv @Scaramucci ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/VrN93LovGV”> pic.twitter.com/VrN93LovGV Permalink 11:52 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb I name names elsewhere & uncover think tank fabricators. Check twitter feed @falameufilho Permalink 10:17 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Marseilles (Marsa) and Ramatuelle are Phoenician names @ekinilvalentino Permalink 7:32 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb There were Phoenician settlements among the Ionians, such as Miletus. There were also (I suspect) in Crete @alejand06640904 @PVanderHallen Permalink 7:31 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Read tweet as: Greeks mostly East, Phoenicians mostly West. @InjuredThales @PVanderHallen Permalink 6:23 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Plus Ibiza, Cadix, Catalunia, etc. It is an overall tendency. The Phoenicians were pushed West by the Greeks. @PVanderHallen Permalink 6:12 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Greek settls: Lybia, Syria, Alexandria, E Sicily, S Italy. Phoenicians: N. Africa, Spain, Malta, Sardinia, Corsica, W Sicily @PVanderHallen Permalink 6:06 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The absurdity is that Hannibal, a Phoenician from the West, took refuge in Syria, which was then Greek. Permalink 6:04 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Mediterranean du Jour: The Phoenicians had a tendency to build settlements West and North. The Greeks went South and East. Permalink 5:50 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@Kaushal_75 Ah the lucid prose this man @nntaleb can write and what atrocious obscure tweets!!https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.croixxv1o Permalink 5:31 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@nntaleb I just published “The Syrian War Condensed: A more Rigorous Way to Look at the Conflict”https://medium.com/p/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d Permalink 3:41 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@ibrahimshahed2 “final messages” in #Aleppo (@Mr_Alhamdo @Linashamy @BilalKareem @AlabedBana) From @IntheNow_tweet by @AnissaNow pic.twitter.com/Lc85RkdxvD Permalink 2:08 AM – 15 Dec 2016
@kyleschen a while ago i collected 44 of my favorite @nntaleb tidbits, here they are:http://thoughtcatalog.com/kyle-eschenroeder/2014/03/44-thought-provoking-aphorisms-we-should-all-live-by/ Permalink 5:05 PM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Application of the minority rule: all it takes is a ~3% minority for “Merry Christmas” to become “Happy Holidays”https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.h7vafrmnd Permalink 3:11 PM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb For many brain tumors, there is statistical significance. But no clear result for others yet because very few trials. @saifedean @ascarbs Permalink 2:50 PM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Les journalistes francais ne savent pas faire la difference entre affaires et rentes de situation etatique. Permalink 12:02 PM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb C’est faux. Trump s’entourre de gens d’affaires, pas de bureaucrates, comme promis- ceux qui font tourner le monde.http://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2016/12/14/l-equipe-trump-attachez-vos-ceintures_5048768_3232.html Permalink 11:59 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Should I change the website for the Real World Risk Certificate? “Temporary” lasted 1y! http://www.realworldrisk.com Permalink 11:35 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@letwit @nntaleb I linked to your Syria war table on a pro-gov & a pro-rebel reddit: got banned on both! I think it’s a good sign. Permalink 8:34 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb You may not get rich by being honorable; but you will probably stay rich by being upright. Permalink 7:11 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb It was not the 2012 edition but the 2016 reprint. @guardianhttps://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/dec/14/nassim-nicholas-taleb-hits-out-at-chinese-printers-censorship-of-his-book?CMP=twt_a-world_b-gdnworld Permalink 6:57 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The reason Islamists took over the rebels in Syria: Minority rule. Add an Islamist to a nonIslamist group and…https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.4tt8tqes1 Permalink 6:41 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb Explains Syrian Conflict In One Propaganda Free Chart http://swarajyamag.com/insta/nassim-nicholas-taleb-explains-syrian-conflict-in-one-propaganda-free-chart via @swarajyamag Permalink 6:02 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb .@IsikOzturkeri This was corrected in V2. My spellchecker defauts to SaudiBarbaria Permalink 6:00 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb A more rigorous look at the Syrian conflict (Version 2, corrected thanks to comments) pic.twitter.com/1aPbYM4Psi Permalink 5:39 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Table is comparative: As bad as left column (Assad) can be, there’s nothing on right col (rebels) that is not worse pic.twitter.com/o4VaMwOM5I Permalink 5:23 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb RIP Tom Schelling. You were deeply right about the world. And you were a true scholar.https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/808871100335669248 Permalink 5:06 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Draft of a table to make the Syrian conflict clear & remove propaganda financed by SaudiBarbaria pic.twitter.com/Dvf7AJ59lN Permalink 4:41 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Robert Fist has the courage to debunk the MSM bullshit. Your rebels “heroes” slaughtered civilians pic.twitter.com/KnGBJAtdtU Permalink 4:28 AM – 14 Dec 2016
@illacertus If your anger decreases with time, you did injustice; if it increases, you suffered injustice. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) Permalink 5:29 PM – 13 Dec 2016
@IntheNow_tweet Independent Canadian journo totally crushes MSM reporter on what’s actually going on in Syria pic.twitter.com/DVbd1LxEzD Permalink 11:00 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Robert Fisk has it right. There is more than one truth to tell in the terrible story of Aleppohttp://www.independent.co.uk/voices/aleppo-falls-to-syrian-regime-bashar-al-assad-rebels-uk-government-more-than-one-story-robert-fisk-a7471576.html Permalink 9:39 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@yaneerbaryam Looking forward to the winter school, a chance to talk about important global developments with great speakers http://necsi.edu/education/school.html Permalink 5:48 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Ancient Philology Du jour: دفتر from Greek for “second”, or “to repeat”.https://twitter.com/mMeyer62/status/808656481583333376 Permalink 4:57 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb U.S. author rejects Chinese censorship over Taiwan | Taiwan News http://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3050598 Permalink 4:36 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb I added a comment to the Syria piece. Salafism is too dangerous to let my grudge rule https://medium.com/opacity/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.fc4knfg4w ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/tRXZcVLtXp”> pic.twitter.com/tRXZcVLtXp Permalink 4:05 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Assad the father blew up our house in Amioun in 1982. Yet I will not use this to stand w/the Jihadis. @DalrympleWill Permalink 3:59 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Putting the Syrian conflict under some serious auditing / shedding Saudi PR firms https://medium.com/opacity/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.fc4knfg4w @DalrympleWill Permalink 3:51 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Even my friend the great & insightful William Darlymple fell for alQaeda propaganda. These are Qaeda fighters. @DalrympleWill Permalink 3:40 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Most authors I was told complied. I assume hundreds kept their mouth shut. Not me. @yangfulei Permalink 2:58 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Thank you @SAlhir for exploring the concept furtherhttps://twitter.com/_Antifragility_/status/808617994276536321 Permalink 2:56 AM – 13 Dec 2016
@nntaleb A simpler solution a precision brain surgery on @LouiseMensch to improve her reasoning abilities.https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/808466941434359808 Permalink 4:50 PM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb This has nothing to do with Taiwan, but with censoring a US writer in the US!https://twitter.com/lilith289/status/808454534129446912 Permalink 3:42 PM – 12 Dec 2016
@ceydak Must read.. via @EHSANI22 pic.twitter.com/wdsEiJSPj9 Permalink 12:47 PM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Lindy Effect: if you make it 1000 years you have >95% chance proba to make it 2000 @holland_tom Permalink 10:15 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The outrage is that a *US* author has his books *sold in the US* censored by the government of China because the book is printed there! Permalink 10:02 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Someone said that I am intransigent because I have F*** You money. No no no I have F*** You money because I have always been intransigent. Permalink 9:56 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@StephenFleming PSA: @nntaleb ’s superb “Antifragile” is on sale for two bucks in the Kindle store today. No excuses now.https://read.amazon.com/kp/embed?asin=B0083DJWGO&preview=newtab&linkCode=kpe&ref_=cm_sw_r_kb_dp_6aTtyb3E8A4PM&tag=techsquare-20 Permalink 8:29 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb … εἰ γὰρ αὐτῆς πειρήσαιο, οὐκ ἂν δόρασι συμβουλεύοις ἡμῖν περὶ αὐτῆς μάχεσθαι, ἀλλὰ καὶ πελέκεσι.”@jgmahoney @saifedean Permalink 6:42 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Any human who decides to voluntarily become a slave for enhanced lifestyle will *always* stay a slave, regardless of wealth. @saifedean Permalink 6:03 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Newt’s position repeatedly is that Trump should avoid hiring IYIs. @GadSaad @newtgingrich @seanhannity Permalink 5:53 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@ashokatluri @realDonaldTrump, you have company!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/808297983246823426 Permalink 5:42 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Random House was supportive and we changed printer!https://twitter.com/Newyorkez/status/808299597579816961 Permalink 5:17 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb This was the printer *in China* for US edition of #AntiFragile doing censorship of works published *in the U.S.*!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/808297983246823426 Permalink 5:14 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Printer of #Antifragile in China asked me to replace “Taiwan” w/”China, Taiwan”. I (angrily) said “No censorship!” pic.twitter.com/CDqcBV4fnW Permalink 5:10 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Yes, #skininthegame, but not necessarily everywhere pic.twitter.com/nPcuCJmWda Permalink 4:24 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb There is something shabby and frankly pathological in the “left”‘s romance with Sunni Islamists.https://twitter.com/salamamoussa/status/808267859969318914 Permalink 3:34 AM – 12 Dec 2016
@nntaleb I much prefer Andy Bolton to John Bolton. Sorry, but I do.https://twitter.com/andybolton1008/status/789138860055728129 Permalink 6:11 PM – 11 Dec 2016
@thackerpd Why do you polling guys still have jobs? And if you still have jobs, why are you tweeting with such confidence?https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/807960202821648384 Permalink 12:12 PM – 11 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Evidence that @sapinker is a charlatan. He wrote this AFTER our papers Nontechnical paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/K6kmjqDIgx”> pic.twitter.com/K6kmjqDIgx Permalink 8:52 AM – 11 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Reviewers/BSvendors have trouble getting real life & why I will not let them review my next book @Scaramucci pic.twitter.com/yCcv1DdB4G Permalink 7:23 AM – 11 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Fat Tony!https://twitter.com/gabrielmgst/status/807924860135632896 Permalink 5:22 AM – 11 Dec 2016
@DavidBCollum And not reading @nntaleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”…https://twitter.com/Independent/status/807927917120393216 Permalink 4:43 AM – 11 Dec 2016
@nntaleb About anyone who knows anything in finance spent time w/Wall Street firms. I worked for 5 (UBS,CSFB) yet fiercely independent @Scaramucci Permalink 1:22 PM – 10 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Respect is fragile & path dependent; regaining respect is much harder than gaining it.https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/807591808448466945 Permalink 10:58 AM – 10 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Never expected guiltless Schadenfreude: Krugman *defines* the IYI Intellectual Yet Idiot https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.u40oqpe53 https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/807591808448466945 Permalink 9:51 AM – 10 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 5 additional books I recommended pic.twitter.com/hhRW6Kabtg Permalink 4:16 AM – 10 Dec 2016
@nntaleb THE GORDIAN KNOT: Why Donaldo should never hire an academic economist except to take exams. pic.twitter.com/ucfbDqe863 Permalink 3:22 AM – 10 Dec 2016
@nntaleb This has been going on since Antiochus Epiphanes! Random harassing raids by desert fighters on Syrian border towns.https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/807370864387887104 Permalink 4:07 PM – 9 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Hiring academics for economic advice is equivalent to hiring Trappist monks for special military operations.https://twitter.com/econhedge/status/807251823182704640 Permalink 2:14 PM – 9 Dec 2016
@GhassanDahhan I think the history of the Syrian uprising needs a lot of revision. Read this incredible story.http://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/article/syria-civil-war Permalink 8:13 AM – 9 Dec 2016
@MaxAbrahms The truth is Aleppo citizens were never as anti-Assad as mainstream media tried so hard to get people to believe.https://twitter.com/maytham956/status/807178471600431104 Permalink 6:13 AM – 9 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Even the wise Simon Schama fell for Qatari financed lies by the fraudster Charles Lister.https://twitter.com/simon_schama/status/805481780216299521 Permalink 4:48 AM – 9 Dec 2016
@nntaleb You can manipulate the uncorruptible by giving him the chance to refuse a bribe. Permalink 4:02 AM – 9 Dec 2016
@nntaleb You can grease the palm of the uncorruptible by giving him the chance to refuse a bribe. Permalink 4:00 AM – 9 Dec 2016
Full article: The Syrian War Condensed: A more Rigorous Way to Look at the Conflict
Note 1. Assad father’s operatives blew up my house in Amioun when my grandfather, then MP, voted for Bashir. In Skin in the Game I discuss this as “acting against one’s interest” (the opposite of conflict of interest). So as a scientist and a humanist, I have been setting my grudge aside in considering the far, far, far, greater cancer of Salafism or Islamofascism.
I just published “The Syrian War Condensed: A more Rigorous Way to Look at the Conflict” https://t.co/KlvRXg0fwG
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) December 15, 2016
@nntaleb 12 months @Jmanos195Manos Permalink 12:54 PM – 8 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Waited 12 m for this: Amsterdam has, for the nondietaryfatphobic, the best steak in the world (Holstein). pic.twitter.com/Wai9d048Y8 Permalink 12:34 PM – 8 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Evidence @djrothkopf boss of Foreign Policy is for sale. Shameful that our foreign policy is manipulated by Jihadis.https://twitter.com/bitsquare_/status/806924154171637760 Permalink 10:15 AM – 8 Dec 2016
@nntaleb You can start filtering out Mainstream Media by blocking any article w/”populist” or “populism” in it, citing someone from a think tank. Permalink 9:43 AM – 8 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Rich people aren’t necessarily incorruptible; but they can be much, much more expensive to bribe. Permalink 3:36 PM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb This reveals much. Names named: the way to go. Includes Rothkopf How Saudi Arabia captured Washington http://www.vox.com/2016/3/21/11275354/saudi-arabia-gulf-washington?utm_campaign=vox&utm_content=feature%3Afixed&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter via @voxdotcom Permalink 3:29 PM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb How many believe this independent BS? Fraudster @emile_hokayem secretly paid by Bahrain for “independent” promotion https://twitter.com/emile_hokayem/status/806593003615899650 Permalink 2:09 PM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb 1/Western Syria’s population [C on the map] act, look, & eat like Mediterraneans/Southern Europeans, includes Sunnishttps://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/806497987404906497 Permalink 9:54 AM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Now this explains bombardment of pro-Jihadi articles by this goon: @emile_hokayem who works there!!! Shame! Shame!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/806510667087876096 Permalink 9:37 AM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Back office people don’t know that there is a difference between front and back office. Everyone else does.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/806487322728472576 Permalink 7:12 AM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb They tried to hide it! Never trust thinktanks. British thinktank received £25m from Bahraini royals, docs revealhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/06/british-thinktank-iiss-received-25m-from-bahraini-royals-documents-reveal?CMP=share_btn_tw Permalink 6:48 AM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Physicists take something complicated & make it simpler. Psychologists take something very complicated & make it even more complicated. Permalink 5:39 AM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Recent rebellion/Trump: Front office pple (most of us) don’t want to be controlled by *back office* clercs. Kapish?https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.yy4z897cd Permalink 5:15 AM – 7 Dec 2016
@CDcaritas @leverageisgreat @nntalebhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/06/british-thinktank-iiss-received-25m-from-bahraini-royals-documents-reveal Permalink 12:45 AM – 7 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Think tanks financed by Qatar/Saudi Barbaria want people to believe this crap. Many do!https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/15/syrian-president-bashar-al-assad-bigger-threat-than-isis?CMP=share_btn_tw Permalink 12:33 AM – 7 Dec 2016
@RiskMinds RiskMinds Live starts in 1 hr! It’s not too late to register to watch @nntaleb and others live from #RISKMINDS: http://spr.ly/60168yy38 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/nZ85h5jYcr”> pic.twitter.com/nZ85h5jYcr Permalink 11:10 PM – 6 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Transforming an unbounded into a bounded martingale (by Ito’s lemma), thanks to airline delays. pic.twitter.com/LXxzhTh4k8 Permalink 4:28 AM – 6 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Can someone explain to this fellow that forall their flaws dentists know their stuff >> than policymakers/Krugmans?https://twitter.com/louis_giannone/status/805936971591938048 Permalink 5:03 PM – 5 Dec 2016
@jgmarcel () “experienced” & “professional” politicians are just as desirable as professional lovers, that is, prostitutes. — Nassim Taleb (@nntaleb) pic.twitter.com/rc4kjcHphc Permalink 4:00 PM – 5 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Almost…https://twitter.com/bryanappleyard/status/805885857416810496 Permalink 1:26 PM – 5 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Debunkkng conspiracy Assad-ISIShttps://twitter.com/ehsani22/status/805816603489292288 Permalink 12:56 PM – 5 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The episodic John Gray appreciation dinner w/ @BryanAppleyard @rorysutherland & McGilchrist at Gray’s favorite rest pic.twitter.com/vz3a4PRLYv Permalink 12:54 PM – 5 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Another squid ink risotto. Pasta is better. pic.twitter.com/fMdTF5DkUk Permalink 6:02 AM – 5 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Squid ink risotto pic.twitter.com/y4a0V6PzIm Permalink 5:44 AM – 4 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The point of paying is to guarantee a room: no optionality. There is an asymmetry: if the client cancels he pays… not them! @Expedia Permalink 5:03 PM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Beware @Expedia. Prepaid a suite in London, very late arrival &… the hotel sends me to another part of town, tiny room w/o refund. Permalink 4:51 PM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb People discovered the NYT was effectively fiction; trash fiction sells the most! https://twitter.com/rcallimachi/status/804450963268444160 Permalink 5:45 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Dear @stevenstrogatz , an accolade coming from a mathematician is worth >10^3 compliments by other mortals. Permalink 5:36 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@dellajoNYC @borzou @jackshafer He attacked you because you are a propagandist for Al Qaeda, the folks who gave us 9/11, and therefore human skum. FYI. Permalink 5:34 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Number of casualties is not *statistical* data/estimates? Explains Brexit: Brussels IYIs shd limit activities to driving Uber c (carefully).https://twitter.com/nicolas_veron/status/805032648959787009 Permalink 5:13 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The day flight to London. pic.twitter.com/aWy6RcaK2Z Permalink 4:46 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Exactly: “People are better neighbors than roommates” @JohnGaltPattaya Permalink 4:43 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Utopism: make pple hold hands & sing mawkish songs Realism: structures to allow interactions w/o harm:#skininthegamehttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/804949462217007104 Permalink 4:20 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Mr @borzou-fabricator, did you realize you called Trump a tyrant when he has never held office. Did they have basic IQ screening at the FT? Permalink 4:11 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Philology du Jour: a word (the obvious) that has survived 4000 years in Semitic languages. “N***” in Akkadian… pic.twitter.com/f9ig37tszx Permalink 1:25 AM – 3 Dec 2016
@alxpr1c3 @nntaleb a #vianegativa approach would then be – the aim of “peace” is to avoid lethal conflicts? Permalink 11:35 PM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The aim of “peace” is to make people interract while hating one another the way the French hate Germans/English, not to sing campfire songs. https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/804335904009711616 Permalink 11:24 PM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb You can spot a (low IQ) crypto-Jihadi such as @sahdihamid at his geopolitization of conflict ag. Islamists.https://twitter.com/shadihamid/status/804779650463531008 Permalink 5:01 PM – 2 Dec 2016
@cdipaola62 @nntaleb @SteveRattner teaching birds 2 fly. Citizens don’t need complex formulas to detect BS of IYI’s who use first order math to scare. Permalink 4:58 PM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Elementary 2nd order accounting: Employees in US happen to *pay* taxes; or spend money => others who pay taxes.https://twitter.com/SteveRattner/status/804414616520359937 Permalink 12:56 PM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb If, against experience, you still read the #NYT, remember it was the conveyor of the most destructive fake news: Iraq. @nyinvesting @han0z Permalink 12:04 PM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb #SkinintheGame shows how, in absence of saints, we’d rather pick the rich (contact w/reality), to those who *want* to get rich. @Scaramucci Permalink 10:56 AM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The other argument is that those who *need* a salary are vulnerable to lobbying /revolving door bribery.https://twitter.com/SenSanders/status/804131401528287232 Permalink 10:33 AM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Yes, Gibbon has mistakes. So does Thucydides! On top of his skeptical charm, he led me to find holes in his acct. My favorite prose style! Permalink 8:06 AM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Does this make the “news” part of Holywood?https://twitter.com/ancientsyrian/status/804690299821891584 Permalink 6:41 AM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb The disproof of a fabrication is not as visible as the fabrication. Why U.S. ‘News’ Media Shouldn’t Be Trusted http://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2016/12/02/why-us-news-media-shouldnt-trusted.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter Permalink 4:05 AM – 2 Dec 2016
@nntaleb When I stood next to H’s code felt knowing it in Akkadian & reciting it w/original sounds. Code abt #skininthegame requires authenticity. pic.twitter.com/4ggFhO8K6v Permalink 7:16 PM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Conspiracy theory Assad=ISIS is a great IQ test: it proves incapacity to make up something remotely plausible.https://twitter.com/BradRHoff/status/804509487713439746 Permalink 6:46 PM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Finally got to read Hammurabi in the original Semitic rythm (thanks to the method of Albert Naccache) https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/hammurabi.mp3 Permalink 5:58 PM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb People are starting to understand the difference between “denocracy” and governance @normonics @bill_easterly Permalink 10:29 AM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Only Gibbon: Twenty-two acknowledged concubines, and a library of sixty-two thousand volumes, attested the variety.. pic.twitter.com/GeCTFO9cyc Permalink 8:38 AM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb When people ask me “what should I read”, I used to avoid responding. Now, here is something necessary in anyone’s ed pic.twitter.com/mxmabxeiTG Permalink 8:16 AM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Effectively there was *inverse* ethnic cleansing after Qaeda left Aleppo.https://twitter.com/CamilleOtrakji/status/804342907960487936 Permalink 7:16 AM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb COMPLEX SYSTEMS: Problem of Oslo is top-down (diplomatic) solution for bottom-up problem. @yaneerbaryam pic.twitter.com/KNQCgGTzx8 Permalink 6:46 AM – 1 Dec 2016
@internetactu Le plus intolérant l’emporte toujours : la dictature de la plus petite minorité par @nntaleb http://www.internetactu.net/a-lire-ailleurs/le-plus-intolerant-lemporte-toujours-la-dictature-de-la-plus-petite-minorite/ Permalink 5:33 AM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Gingrich doesn’t want IYIs in government. https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.qd6ryx4q4 https://twitter.com/BoustanyMazen/status/804187163122397184 Permalink 5:01 AM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb Gingrich doesn’t want IYIs in government. https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.qd6ryx4q4 https://twitter.com/BoustanyMazen/status/804187163122397184 Permalink 5:01 AM – 1 Dec 2016
@nntaleb A visit to the NYU Philosophy department (logic) wd confirm that butchering, whether for 8 or 15 y, = butcher. Kapish? @ianbremmer Permalink 2:55 PM – 30 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Yet Barak Hussain Obama is not called “the butcher of Washington”.https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/804049099528040448 Permalink 11:48 AM – 30 Nov 2016
@DrCirillo If you missed it, my recent not-too-technical paper on armed conflicts and their tail risk, joint with @nntaleb. https://ssrn.com/abstract=2876315 Permalink 10:07 AM – 30 Nov 2016
@nntaleb People in political “science” & policy wonks such must attend so they know why we think they are clueless.https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/803987190980235264 Permalink 7:42 AM – 30 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Friends, anyone knows of a transcription of the Accadian of Hammurabi’s Law into Hebrew or another Semitic script? Permalink 7:40 AM – 30 Nov 2016
@nntaleb De Finetti was a smart cookie. How to forecast elections. pic.twitter.com/w7d050sQgT Permalink 4:55 AM – 30 Nov 2016
@nntaleb The tragedy of our time is the monoculture of ideas: all people are forced to believe the *same* bullshit. Permalink 6:42 AM – 29 Nov 2016
@MaxAbrahms It’s funny when media outlets interview multiple fellows from the same think tank for intellectual diversity. Permalink 4:22 AM – 29 Nov 2016
@nntaleb #IDreamOfAWorld where “science” promoters understand the difference between science and scientism.https://twitter.com/neiltyson/status/802673096876494849 Permalink 8:03 AM – 28 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Probability & Medicine: Presenting 2 papers at U Penn S Med at 12 noon P-value https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.07532v3.pdf Antifragility http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/medicine.pdf Permalink 8:01 AM – 28 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Voila! “Small is beautiful” in the moralists! Vauvenargues: “men are not born to love large things”. #LindyEffect pic.twitter.com/W7WsC0cahK Permalink 3:10 AM – 28 Nov 2016
@nntaleb The only fiction I read in 2016 was reports on the Syrian “moderate” rebels.https://twitter.com/tylercowen/status/802130988407070720 Permalink 6:32 PM – 27 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Ready! pic.twitter.com/losrlULOtl Permalink 5:06 PM – 27 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Mr Borzou Daragahi, it is much, much more difficult to bullshit a statistician than your followers. Kapish? @borzou Permalink 1:24 PM – 27 Nov 2016
@nntaleb These “journos” fabricate numbers, yet are employed by FT & LA times. https://medium.com/opacity/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.8nk0gt745 https://twitter.com/borzou/status/802981041891868672 Permalink 1:13 PM – 27 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Final version of our paper on “drop” in violence w/@DrCirillo (published by Nobel Foundation, forth 2017) https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315 Permalink 11:29 AM – 27 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Skin in the game,Trump, Theology and the experience machine: Nothing is real unless there is risk. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10154363970418375 Permalink 9:11 AM – 27 Nov 2016
@nntaleb More evidence IYIs collect my books without reading them. https://twitter.com/chloerlaw/status/802920034297331716 Permalink 9:08 AM – 27 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Unlike with other disciplines, protecting Philosophy from attack against Philosophy is unphilosophical.https://twitter.com/I_I_Rubin/status/802874079393050625 Permalink 6:14 AM – 27 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Greeks would be horrified at claim that some nerd at Harvard can teach you to be a man. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paideia @bardiasoroudi @NoahRFeldman Permalink 3:29 PM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb .@bardiasoroudi @NoahRFeldman Violating law of logic: if some professors help doesn’t mean school is monopoly for humanities. Pitiful arg, Permalink 2:08 PM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Exactly:Harvard-Soviet illusion is identity school=knowledge;school=humanities (Lecturing birds how to fly chapter)https://twitter.com/sahilz79/status/802609383691714565 Permalink 12:54 PM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Found “less is more” (ag bigdata) in ancients #LindyEffect “Nimium allercando veritas amittilur” Publ Syr Excess details[words] hide truth Permalink 12:29 PM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Actually I showed in #Antifragile the biggest intellectual productions came from country priests (s.a.Bayes) @alexgiannotti @GhassanDahhan Permalink 11:50 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Nerds do NOT understand #skininthegame. “Life is not about winning an argument [with a nerd like you] but about winning.” @NoahRFeldman Permalink 11:38 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb If you knew more latin & logic you’d realize that equating academia to authority IS ad hominem. @jtepper2 @NoahRFeldman @ChinchewPalsu Permalink 11:21 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Words that describe unerudite IYIs like you who think Harvard doesn’t provide ZERO intellectual credibility @NoahRFeldman @ChinchewPalsu Permalink 11:13 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Elnlightenment: Diderot Voltaire Rousseau Hume d’Allembert were NOT academics. Sorbonne was for idiots. @OriginalRamsFan @NoahRFeldman Permalink 11:09 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Fucking idiot it takes half a century (Lindy) to know about influence. @NoahRFeldman @ChinchewPalsu Permalink 11:05 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Leibniz was trained as a legal scholar. He learned math in his mid 20s and (co) invented Calculus @GhassanDahhan Permalink 11:03 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Influential thinkers were scholars but NOT in academia: Darwin Marx Einstein (relativity) Freud Mandelbrot.. @ChinchewPalsu @NoahRFeldman Permalink 10:45 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb You forgot the “subsequently”…”from commercial activity”. An idiot playing strawman with me?@BorisMarkovich Permalink 10:04 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@AssalehAmer “You are not getting the point that in risk we don’t give a fuck what people in “medical sciences” do, math prevails. kapish?” – @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/802492382608588800 Permalink 5:16 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb My talk Monday at U Penn School of Med http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/medicine.pdf Lancet study on statins was ‘fundamentally flawed’http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/24/lancet-study-statins-fundamentally-flawed-critics-say/?WT.mc_id=tmg_share_tw Permalink 4:41 AM – 26 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Is McFarland a neocon or close to neocons or likely to mutate into a neocon? [Please corrigere my Latin] Permalink 3:03 PM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb IYI profs want you to believe one cannot read books without them; just like Taxi groups resist uber. Read classics. @ja_furman @NoahRFeldman Permalink 2:02 PM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb People who get good grades in “prestigious” nonSTEM majors are just signaling high ability to bullshit. @JamesMarsh79 Permalink 9:40 AM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Nothing was funding since the fund went to 0. Counterparties synchronized the liquidations. @MarcoCraveiro @mattyglesias Permalink 8:31 AM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb LTCM was NOT a TAXPAYER bailout, but a Fed-coordinated liquidation w/counterparts & banks. Kapish? @MarcoCraveiro @mattyglesias Permalink 7:39 AM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Corollary: when a paper that engages in propaganda (W Post) accuses others of propaganda, is it propaganda?https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/801960686876323841 Permalink 7:37 AM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb IYIs don’t get that: HedgeFund-ers have big #skininthegame, little hidden risk Less monoculture No taxpayer bailouthttps://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/802149869150466048 Permalink 6:09 AM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb #LindyEffect: 2y of INCERTO Fooled by Randomness (blue) is 16 y.o., TBS ~10. 99.9% of bestsellers don’t survive 2y. pic.twitter.com/eIZ2trE2mC Permalink 5:19 AM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Political “scientists” & Policy goons s a @dandrezner shd attend these courses so they know why we call them idiots.https://twitter.com/NECSI/status/801518855382302724 Permalink 4:17 AM – 25 Nov 2016
@nntaleb The meta question: is the news that Russia is spreading fake news fake news. Permalink 5:28 PM – 24 Nov 2016
@nntaleb I avoid reading nonmath recent books. But if I do, best heuristic: avoid books on the NYT list of “Notable Books”http://nyti.ms/2fSH7i2 Permalink 12:15 PM – 24 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Please note that @Charles_Lister is paid to fabricate numbers. Liar.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.rkwi12iz1 Permalink 8:27 AM – 24 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Ian, you should man up: stop whining, and cease to play arbiter of “adulthood”. Will feel better. @ianbremmer Permalink 7:31 AM – 24 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Happy Thanksgiving everyone! My 36th: I came to America to embrace the system & pledged to defend it. Will keep defending it. With Gratitude Permalink 7:15 AM – 24 Nov 2016
@nntaleb The plot thinckens. 2000 war casualties inflate over time to 30-40,000. Imbecile journos. https://medium.com/@nntaleb/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.gd9ozor7k ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/JH6InUEliq”> pic.twitter.com/JH6InUEliq Permalink 6:36 AM – 24 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Say something important, genuinely important. Hard for journos.https://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/801476728732454912 Permalink 5:37 AM – 24 Nov 2016
@jbmacluckie Le mec (@nntaleb) m’a tellement influencé que j’ai deux références à lui encrées sur moi : pic.twitter.com/xDVXt5DGdM Permalink 11:09 PM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Is it me or is the Beaujolais Nouveau 2016 very very good? Permalink 3:11 PM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Trying to solve a difficult integral (one of those again). For those & only those into integration.http://math.stackexchange.com/q/2027844/88078?stw=2 Permalink 12:35 PM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Huffington Post, please explain *propaganda*. If you can. Thank you.@HuffPostGreece @HuffingtonPost pic.twitter.com/AwU0YWkhNX Permalink 11:32 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb No Huffington Post. pic.twitter.com/v6FSUimAkx Permalink 8:45 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Reason I don’t want Huffington Post to publish my work is the revelation that it “covertly” helped Hillary.Unethicalhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/801412424792477696 Permalink 7:55 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Well… it does!https://twitter.com/ArtVigRue/status/801447851033317376 Permalink 7:34 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Syriac version Malalas <= “eloquent” pic.twitter.com/I1WZJveNBJ Permalink 7:10 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Levantine du Jour: The Great John Malalas had Aramaic name: Malal = orator. (New dictionary) pic.twitter.com/Y4PBrDlbkK Permalink 7:04 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb The ugliest of humans looks better than the prettiest cockroach; the worst of businessmen looks more real than any professional politician. Permalink 6:54 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb They don’t know what “religion” means. Salafi isn’t a race. It isn’t a “religion”. It is a criminal organization.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/we-dont-know-what-we-are-talking-about-when-we-talk-about-religion-3e65e6a3c44e#.coa8tomua Permalink 6:38 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Media idiots don’t realize that Alt-Right people are far, far more moderate than the “moderate” Salafi Islamists they are protecting! Shame. Permalink 5:37 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb World finally discovering that “experienced” &”professional” politicians are just as desirable as professional lovers, that is, prostitutes. Permalink 5:17 AM – 23 Nov 2016
@nntaleb Huff Post trying to make me look as if I wrote FOR them. I don’t write for them! Ο Διανοούμενος Πλην Όμως Ηλίθιος http://www.huffingtonpost.gr/nassim-nicholas-taleb/-_8521_b_13167866.html Permalink 5:09 AM – 23 Nov 2016