Monthly Archives: September 2015

Автор теории «черного лебедя» назвал причины для инвестиций в Россию Подробнее на РБК | rbc.ru

(Google translated)

The author of the theory of “black swan” named reasons for investment in Russia
Alexander Krasnov
Russia has the ability to “go through hell and survived,” and this makes it less fragile than other countries, said American economist Nassim Taleb in a lecture at the Moscow School of Management “Skolkovo”
Economist Nassim Taleb

talebMoscow
Photo: Yekaterina Kuzmina / RBC
Russia is the best country for investment than Saudi Arabia, he said Saturday economist Nassim Taleb lectures “Swan Lake”, organized by the Moscow School of Management “Skolkovo”. “Saudi Arabia has never been in hell. We do not know whether we can survive the crisis. But if we take the countries of the former Soviet bloc, they have been through hell. They do not fall apart if face hell again. That’s why I prefer to invest in Russia, not in Saudi Arabia. Russia has the ability to pass through hell and survive, “- said Taleb.

Hazyvat specific targets for investment in Russia did not become an economist. “In all my books I write, that if you do not want to hurt others with your advice, just tell me what you have in the portfolio. I do not give advice, “- said Taleb, answering the question of RBC.

A native of Lebanon Nassim Taleb – American economist and investor. More than 20 years Nassim Nicholas Taleb was a floor trader and specialized in options. He has worked in financial corporations such as Credit Suisse and BNP Paribas.

In 2006, Taleb took up the study of the theory of probability. Three of his books – “Black Swan,” “Fooled by Randomness” and “Antihrupkost” – became a bestseller.

Currently, Taleb is an honorary professor of risk analysis of the Polytechnic Institute of New York University.

Taleb invented the theory of “black swan” considers difficult to predict, and rare events. The essence of the theory is that the less complex systems subject to less risk. As an example, he cited the book and desktop computers – are still the first and the second driven out laptops and tablets. The same theory can be applied to countries, says an economist.

http://top.rbc.ru/business/12/09/2015/55f41c069a79470d63db37df

Amazon.com: N N Taleb “Nassim Nicholas Taleb”‘s review of Collected Fictions

From NNT’s Amazon book review of Borges’s “Collected Fictions
5.0 out of 5 starsHow literature and philosophy can be saved by parables, September 16, 2015
This review is from: Collected Fictions (Paperback)
This is something very hard to find, almost by definition: a literary writer who thinks in abstract terms (the only other such author I’ve read is Stanislaw Lem). These are philosophical thought experiments in their purest form, yet somehow magically delivered in a playful literary athmosphere. Borges is a mathematical philosopher, first and last. Ignore the “Latin American” categorization and the nonsense about his background and personal life: one should resist embedding him in a socio-cultural framework; he is as universal as they come. It is good to read a short story once in a while to see how literature and philosophy can be saved by the parable.

Source: Amazon.com: N N Taleb “Nassim Nicholas Taleb”‘s review of Collected Fictions
HatTip to Dave Lull

Monsanto, Greek Orthodox, Panic, Syria

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/643141575405604868

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/642109563454533632

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/641906197004730369

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/641731997497487361

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/641415057792962561

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/641347134814470144

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/641207027507683328

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/640858690304798720

Monsanto kept pushing the balloon under water for years using devious schemes. The Black Swan usually comes quickly. https://t.co/d1XiSigVvL

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) September 13, 2015
Which sorts of explains why we sort of connect Russia. (Picture of Greek Orthodox Levantine service) pic.twitter.com/yLoPX69ATE

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) September 10, 2015
The *only* way to survive is to panic & overreact early, particularly that those who “don’t panic” end up panicking & overreacting late.

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) September 10, 2015
Monsanto worse than Chipotle by 30%, explains negative publicity. Shameful losers. @thefoodbabe @consumerfreedom pic.twitter.com/ioWwSkv8xm

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) September 9, 2015
Nitpicking is the unmistakable mark of cluelessness.

— Taleb Bot (@TalebBot) September 4, 2015
By apologizing Hilary Clinton broke rules #1 *Always apologize except if you did something wrong* & #2 *Politicians should never apologize*

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) September 9, 2015
Migration: “The Nation State: apartheid while staying politically correct.” (Bed of Procrustes, aphorisms). pic.twitter.com/3Ghn2xbQ2h

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) September 8, 2015
Over time past extremes will necessarily be surpassed. At ESREL in ETH. pic.twitter.com/nvhJNOCsx0

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) September 8, 2015
Because the world cannot bring peace to Syria, Syrians are looking for peace elsewhere. Solution is working on settling Syrians in Syria.

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) September 7, 2015

An Uberized education is when…

An Uberized education is when –as in antiquity — one goes to a specific teacher to get lectures, bypassing the university. The students and the teachers are thus matched. If a piece of paper is necessary, it would be given by *that* teacher, or a group of teachers. It is not too different from the decentralized apprentice model.

This already works well for executive “education”. I give short workshops in my specialty of applied probability (I have given a few with PW, YBY and RD, though only lasting 1-2 days), limited to professionals. An Uberization would consist in making longer workshops, say of 2-3 week duration, after which the attendees would be getting a piece of paper of sorts.

From my experience, both students and lecturers are more sincere when they bypass institutions. And, as with other Uberizations, it would be much, much efficient economically.

A full education would be a collection of such micro-diplomas, which can be done on top of a conventional one.

Finally I would personally like to attend such workshops in disciplines outside my specialty. After my experience with Aramaic/Syriac last summer, I have a list of subjects I would be hungry to learn *outside* university systems…

via: Facebook