On the tail risk of violent conflict and its underestimation

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On the tail risk of violent conflict and its underestimation. A statistical picture of violence: no, the frequency of violent conflicts and their risk did not decline. The “long peace” is not seen in the data. With Pasquale Cirillo.

http://fooledbyrandomness.com/violence.pdf

Source: On the tail risk of violent conflict and its… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb

2 thoughts on “On the tail risk of violent conflict and its underestimation”

  1. Richard Dias

    Can you kindly re post another PDF? For some reason the first page is not downloading properly.

    Kindly
    rd

  2. John Post author

    It’s working for me. Try getting it through NNT’s Facebook post which is the lower link. Best, JohnH

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