We need to feel a little bit lost somewhere, physically or intellectually, at least once a day.
via We need to feel a little bit lost somewhere,… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
We need to feel a little bit lost somewhere, physically or intellectually, at least once a day.
via We need to feel a little bit lost somewhere,… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
Mark Spitznagel and Nassim Taleb started the first equity tail-hedging firm in 1999. Since then these two friends and colleagues have helped popularize so-called “black swan” investing, with Spitznagel as the founder and CIO of hedge fund Universa Investments and Taleb as an academic and author of The Black Swan. The two men recently sat down to discuss Spitznagel’s new book, The Dao of Capital, as well as their reactions to and criticisms of Thomas Piketty’s book, i. Here is a transcript of their conversation:
Nassim Taleb: Mark, your book is the only place that understands crashes as natural equalizers. In the context of today’s raging debates on inequality, do you believe that the natural mechanism of bringing equality — or, at the least, the weakening of the privileged — is via crashes?
Mark Spitznagel: Well straight away let’s ask ourselves: Are we really seeking realized financial equality? How can we ever know what is the natural or acceptable level of inequality, and why is it even the rule of the majority to determine that? That aside, one can absolutely say logically and empirically that asset-market crashes diminish inequality. They are a natural mechanism for this, and a cathartic response to central banks’ manipulation of interest rates and resulting asset-market inflation, as well as other government bailouts, that so amplify inequality in the first place. So crashes are capitalism’s homeostatic mechanism at work to right a distorted system. We are in this ridiculous situation where utopian government policies meant to lessen inequality are a reaction to the consequences of other government policies — a round trip of market distortion. After we’ve been run over by a car, the assumed best treatment is to back the car over us again.
IS OCCASIONAL FEVER NECESSARY? (A topic for discussion/exploration of the research literature.)
Let us discuss if fever suppression is necessary beyond the potentially lethal, or if it is harmful.
I experienced yesterday the first bout of fever in about a decade. Having read Antifragile, I wondered if there was a real need to lower it (other than the discomfort) and avoided antipyretic drugs. But it raised an interesting question: if we are made to be subjected to occasional episodes of fever, can we live completely without them? We get mild infections all the time and tend to supress fevers… Now I can understand that the antibacterial benefits of fever can be dealt with with pharma products, but how other benefits, such as thermal variability, or the heating up of the cells?
I cannot ethically report on my own experience (sample of 1) except to intimate that it was not negative (far from it), except for an outpour of bad aphorisms as I was not able to read at all.
Let us go through the medical evidence-based literature, combined with rigorous logic of Jensen’s inequality and nonlinear responses.
via IS OCCASIONAL FEVER NECESSARY? (A topic for… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
The only way you can ascertain that you are truly rich is if you prefer to drive a slightly worn out nondescript car without letting others know that you are doing it “by choice”.
{Bed of Procrustes, 2nd ed}
via The only way you can ascertain that you are… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
A hotshot is someone temporarily perceived to be of some importance, rather than perceived to be of some temporary importance.
{Lindy Effect, Bed of Procrustes, 2nd ed}
via A hotshot is someone temporarily perceived to be… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.