The debate roared back and forth, with Summers pressing Taleb to go beyond enunciating what he thought was wrong and instead come up with a better solution than the one used to bring the financial system off the brink after Lehman Brothers failed.
“I’m for more capital, I’m for more liquidity, I’m for more pressure from the government to have proper risk models that recognize fat tails as part of our regulatory system,” Summers said. “I’m for stress testing that makes much more data available so that analysts outside of institutions can judge the risk. I’m for the development of living wills and procedures that if an institution fails it can be resolved.”
“I’m not for the government designing the compensation systems of financial institutions. I’m not for the government running financial institutions,” he said. “I’m for making them much more failure-proof and more safe for failure when they do fail. What are you for?”
Taleb advocated a system where banks are run more like utilities and excessive risk-taking is limited to hedge funds and investment banks.
“Let’s go back to when banks were boring and were utilities and were not taking too much risk with taxpayer money,” he said. “A utility should not be a casino. It’s a very simple point.”
Monthly Archives: May 2014
Too-big-to-fail battle between Larry Summers, Nassim Taleb – The Tell – MarketWatch
Summers told Taleb that he was for more capital, more liquidity, living wills for banks and procedures to wind them down. “What are you for?” he challenged.
“I’m for punishment,” Taleb replied.
Taleb outlined a system in which everyone would know which systemically important banks would be bailed out, but would presumably see strict oversight of bonuses and operations afterward. Other institutions would be left to fail, he said.
Summers countered that such a system was in place prior to the financial crisis. But when push came to shove, Bear Stearns, an investment bank that wasn’t envisioned as systemically important, was rescued. And then we all know what happened when Lehman Brothers failed.
Summers said that building a system is sort of like saying you’ll never pay ransom to kidnappers. It sounds good in practice, but in reality sometimes even the Israelis pay ransom, he said.
Taleb had the final word, saying the system should be designed so that you can’t get upside without being exposed to the downside.
The audience seemed split between the antagonists, with each getting smatterings of applause in the back-and-forth debate.
via Too-big-to-fail battle between Larry Summers, Nassim Taleb – The Tell – MarketWatch.
My impression of Las Vegas: mostly prediabetic men wearing shorts.
My impression of Las Vegas: mostly prediabetic men wearing shorts.
via My impression of Las Vegas: mostly prediabetic… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
The most important aspect of fasting is that you feel deep undirected gratitude when you break the fast.
The most important aspect of fasting is that you feel deep undirected gratitude when you break the fast.
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Every human should learn to read, write, respect the weak, disrespect the strong when warranted, and fast.
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via The most important aspect of fasting is that you… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
When Did Nassim Taleb Cut Off Our Balls? | Portrait of the Economist as a Young Man
So the question is: when did Nassim Taleb cut off economists’ balls?
The article is dated June 1998. His first popular book, Fooled by Randomness, came out in 2001 and contains attacks on Scholes and Merton, so this evolution in thought must have come about very rapidly.
My best guess is that the key event that changed his perspective was the bail out of Long-Term Capital Management in September 1998, orchestrated by the New York Federal Reserve. Scholes and Merton were principals in LTCM, and indeed, Taleb criticizes them strongly for this failure in Fooled by Randomness.
via When Did Nassim Taleb Cut Off Our Balls? | Portrait of the Economist as a Young Man.