Monthly Archives: May 2014

Rupert Read and I wrote a short piece on religion…

Rupert Read and I wrote a short piece on religion as conveyor of intergenerational convex heuristics. Instead of putting technical stuff we just conveyed results from “Silent Risk”.

http://econjwatch.org/articles/religion-heuristics-and-intergenerational-risk-management


Religion, Heuristics, and Intergenerational Risk Management · Econ Journal Watch: Risk…
This article does not concern what might be termed ‘the religious side of religion’ (each of us has written about that elsewhereSee Taleb (2010b, 18-21) and…
econjwatch.org

via Rupert Read and I wrote a short piece on… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

In the U.S., when I look at a room with hotshot businessmen in 2014…

In the U.S., when I look at a room with hotshot businessmen in 2014, I know that the 2024 one will be different (except for businessess subject to bailouts). The same cannot be said in Europe or in places where the state is powerful. And if I look at the bureaucratic and academic establishments, the only people who would drop out of the 2014 cohort are the retired/deceased ones.
Static measurements of inequality are defective (in addition to their traditional lack of mathematical rigor). True equality in income is probabilistic: it requires downward mobility. This should map to opportunity. I quickly wrote down the sketch of what such a true measurement of equality would be like.

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B8nhAlfIk3QIX3AzcHFkaGtORkU/edit

In the U.S., when I look at a room with hotshot… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.