Monthly Archives: October 2013

Friends, some advice. It looks like a few academic presses…

Friends, some advice. It looks like a few academic presses are interested in publishing my mathematical book (with some peer-reviewing). It would be the technical version of the INCERTO and I will keep the copyright to include as appendices in the consolidated volume.
Which title works best?

a- Lectures on Probability
b- Probability and Risk in the Real World
c- Treatise on Risk and Probability
d- Treatise on Risk
e- Probability, Risk, and (Anti)Fragility
f- Probability, Fat Tails, and Fragility
e- ?

I will keep a free copy here or TBA
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B_31K_MP92hUVjNBUFB5VDZOMDg/edit?usp=sharing

Friends, some advice. It looks like a few… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

This fellow obviously wished he were a Talmudic scholar instead of a real estate mogul…

This fellow obviously wished he were a Talmudic scholar instead of a real estate mogul. If true, I wonder how many “successful” people are leading the life the environment (and others) want them to lead.
True, one has to assume that many “I wish I did x instead of y” are episodic rather than deep; but in general it is more painful to see misrouted success than misrouted failure.

nytimes.com

Mr. Reichmann took enormous business risks, made and lost billions of dollars and built extensively in Toronto, New York and London.

This fellow obviously wished he were a Talmudic… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

THE VINDICATION OF SKEPTICISM (AKA SKEPTICAL EMPIRICISM)

THE VINDICATION OF SKEPTICISM (AKA SKEPTICAL EMPIRICISM): knowledge grows by 1) negative empiricism, or 2) “tight” logical/mathematical proofs and arguments (not “loose” as in social science using naive mathematics), certainly not by confirmatory empiricism. This is the problem of induction in the making. The current understanding of science mistakes it for “naive” empiricism instead of skeptical empiricism, largely negative.
http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21588069-scientific-research-has-changed-world-now-it-needs-change-itself-how-science-goes-wrong

THE VINDICATION OF SKEPTICISM (AKA SKEPTICAL… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.