Traffic expressed in time to travel from point A to point B is convex to the number of cars. If you raise the number of cars by 1% you increase travel time by a lot more than 1%. Obviously, the solution is to spread traffic and avoid concentration. 2-3% fewer cars in one area can mean a lot. Google map is doing just that. It allows the collective of citizens to divert traffic and that small number makes a huge difference. This beats the planners/bureaucrats who have at least in NYC proven that cannot possibly comprehend nonlinear responses.It is the same problem of nonlinear harm in nature. Consuming just a little less of some items, and switching to other food groups, or constantly changing pollutants just as changing routes thanks to Google maps can bring back stability to the system.
NOTE 1: Optimally it would make people switch AWAY from cars.
NOTE 2: travel time is a negative; it is convex so we are concave to it => FRAGILITY.
NOTE 3: This is the same general idea of distribution of stressors/avoidance of concentration.
Monthly Archives: May 2013
Fragile Reasoning in Nassim Taleb’s “Antifragile”: An Enlightenment Transhumanist Critique | QL | Gennady Stolyarov II
Never before have I set out to read a book with such high expectations, only to encounter such severe disappointment. As an admirer of Nassim Taleb’s earlier books, Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan, I expected to find insight and wisdom along similar lines in Antifragile. While Taleb’s latest book does contain some valid observations and a few intriguing general strategies for living, the overwhelming thrust of the book is one of bitter distaste for modernity (and, to a significant extent, technological progress), as well as an abundance of insults for anyone who would disagree with not just Taleb’s ideas, but with his personal esthetic preferences. While sensible in the realms of finance and (mostly) economics, Taleb’s prescriptions in other fields venture outside of his realms of mastery and, if embraced, would result in a relapse of the barbarisms of premodernity. Perhaps as the outcome of his own phenomenal success, Taleb has become set in his ways and has transitioned from offering some controversial, revolutionary, and genuinely insightful ideas to constructing a static, intolerant, totalistic worldview that rejects deviations in any field of life – and the persons who so deviate.
Success in all endeavors is requires…
Success in all endeavors is requires absence of specific qualities. 1) To succeed in crime requires absence of empathy, 2) To succeed in banking you need absense of shame at hiding risks, 3) To succeed in school requires absence of common sense, 4) To succeed in economics requires absence of understanding of probability, risk, or 2nd order effects and about anything, 5) To succeed in journalism requires inability to think about matters that have an infinitesimal small chance of being relevant next January,
…6) But to succeed in life requires a total inability to do anything that makes you uncomfortable when you look at yourself in the mirror.
via Success in all endeavors is requires… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Facebook.
Time for the education system to realize…
Time for the education system to realize that slow learners are deeper, more robust, and unlike fast ones, make small, rather than large mistakes.
via Time for the education system to realize… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Facebook.
Anger is a convex heuristic…
Anger is a convex heuristic; it is not a reaction to be judged by its small mistakes, but by the total payoff, assuming you direct it at things that offend your sense of ethics. Forget the dictum that anger is madness, to be controlled, etc. If you systematically vent your anger at things that offend you deeply, you may have small regrets, but the upshot is that you will never feel corrupt, hypocritical, or unprincipled. This is the only life worth living. (ANTIFRAGILE HEURISTICS)
via Anger is a convex heuristic; it is not a… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Facebook.