What we commonly call “success” rewards, status, recognition, some new metric is a consolation prize for those both unhappy and not good at what they do.
Monthly Archives: July 2012
It is a great compliment for an honest person …
It is a great compliment for an honest person to be mistaken for a crook by a crook.
Friends, the only…
Friends, the only technical section of the book showing EXACTLY how economics fragilize. I wonder if it is clear only for those into these things
NOTES, AFTERTHOUGHTS, BIBLIOGRAPHY…
Implies the finished work will be a hefty 450 pages!
NOTES, AFTERTHOUGHTS, BIBLIOGRAPHY. The only part of the book that felt like work. May still have mistakes.
www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notes.pdf
via NOTES,….
NONLINEARITY FROM WEALTH
NONLINEARITY FROM WEALTH
We can certainly attribute the fragilizing effect of modern globalization to complexity, and how connectivity and cultural contagions make gyrations in economic variables much more severe —the classical switch to Extremistan. But there is another effect: wealth. Wealth means more, and because of nonlinear scaling, more is different. We are prone to make more severe errors because we are simply, wealthier. Just as projects of one hundred million dollars are more unpredictable and more likely to incur overruns than five million dollar ones, simply, just by being richer, the world is troubled with more unpredictability and fragility. This comes with growth —at a country level this Highly Dreamed Of GDP Growth. Even at an individual level, wealth means more headaches; we may need to work harder at mitigating the complications arising from wealth than at acquiring it.