Monthly Archives: June 2011

Nassim Taleb Papers – Recent Revisions

NNT’s Author Page at SSRN.

New: A Map and Simple Heuristic to Detect Fragility, Antifragility, and Model Error Date posted: June 15, 2011

The Future Has Thicker Tails than the Past: Model Error as Branching Counterfactuals Date posted: May 24, 2011

Finiteness of Variance is Irrelevant in the Practice of Quantitative Finance Date posted: June 09, 2008 ; Last revised: June 08, 2011

The Illusions of Dynamic Replication Date posted: May 09, 2005 ; Last revised: June 08, 2011

Errors, Robustness, and the Fourth Quadrant Date posted: February 14, 2009 ; Last revised: June 08, 2011

Antifragility, Robustness, and Fragility, Inside the ‘Black Swan’ Domain Date posted: August 31, 2010 ; Last revised: June 06, 2011


 

Protect Your Tail Page 2 of 2 – Forbes.com

In July Universa intends to tap the financial adviser market by offering its own black swan ETF. The fund will mimic some of the strategies employed by its institutional-only hedge fund and will have an expense ratio of 1.5%.

Will Universa be able to repeat its outsize returns in another crash? Clifford Davis, head of equity derivatives at BNP Paribas
(
BNPQY.PK

news


people
), is skeptical. “A true black swan event is by definition different from all previous crises, and markets don’t react in the same way.”

Spitznagel is unruffled as he sits in his office listening to classical music and losing money each day. He is ready and waiting for the next black swan to arrive.